Week 3 had many surprises. There were so many upsets that over 73% of the players in the Fanduel.com’s survivor contest were eliminated.
Rookies seemed to dominate the NFL week 3. Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield led their teams to victory. Lions rookie running back Kerryon Johnson did something no other Lion has been able to do for almost 5 years by rushing for over 100 yards in a game. Falcons wide receiver caught 3 touchdown passes against the Saints. That gives him 4 on the year 1 more than Julio Jones had all of last year.
But that was last week, let’s take a look what on tap for this week. First, we have two teams on a way to early bye week in Carolina and Washington. So take any Panthers or Redskins out of your line up.
Here…we..go….

Thursday Night Football:

Vikings at Rams

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So much to be said about this game. The Vikings are looking to rebound offensively after their lopsided loss to the Bills. The Rams are going to try to keep their offense rolling on all cylinders. The Rams are missing their top 2 cornerbacks so the Vikings receivers could have a decent night. The negative for the Vikings defense (and team morale overall) is Everson Griffin being hospitalized on Tuesday. Which means it could be easier for Gurley to break free and score more in this game. The Rams have had the better defense this year, however, with Talib and Peters out, I could see this game becoming more of a shootout with the Rams pulling away late in the 3rd-early in the 4th quarter. For fantasy/DFS the obvious plays are Gurley (can’t bench him no matter what), Diggs and Thielen. I also would look to stack Goff with Cooks, Kupp, and Woods. I could see Cousins and tight end Kyle Rudolph doing well, however, between Griffin impacting the team mentally and the Bills loss looming on a short week might consider looking elsewhere.

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The Sunday 1pm ET games:

Jets at Jaguars

Both teams are coming off of what could be considered shocking losses. The Jets led by Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold lost to the Browns. The Jaguars lost the “Yearly Nail Biter” to the Titans 6-9. I said “Yearly Nail Biter” because early year there seems to be at least one game where neither teams score more than 9 points. The Jaguars defense remains one of the top (if not the top) defensive units in the NFL and fantasy. The Jets defense isn’t far behind them. Leonard Fournette has sat out the last couple of weeks due to a hamstring injury he suffered in week 1 against the Giants. Blake Bortles will look to spread the ball around, but his 2 favorite targets will be Keenan Cole and Austin Seferian-Jenkins. ASJ was finally able to score a couple weeks ago and should be considered the Jags main red zone threat. Darnold’s favorite target this young season has been Quincy Enunwa with 17 receptions for 212 yards and a score. Isaiah Crowell has 171 yards rushing on 38 attempts for a 4.5 average and 4 touchdowns so far this year. If Fournette plays I think the Jaguars will win this game easy, if not they might struggle back and forth for a little bit then pull away. Both defenses should make this a low scoring affair. Except for Fournette and Cole, I would look elsewhere for fantasy production, and starting Fournette is still a little risky for me.

Dolphins vs Patriots

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The records are probably backward for what most teams thought for what these 2 teams would be at this point of the season. The Dolphins are 3-0 and the Patriots are 1-2 right now. The Brady led Pats have struggled these last 2 weeks with losses to the Jaguars and Lions. Even though Miami has given up 15 yards more passing per game than the Patriots, the Patriots have given up over 8.5 more points per and over 54 more rushing yards per game than New England. That being said, I can’t go against go against New England here. The last time they lost 3 games in a row was 2002. The Dolphins schedule has been kind of light to this point of the season, but to start of 3-0 is still good for them. Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson are Ryan Tannehill’s top receiving options there right now with Jakeem Grant worth stashing in dynasty leagues right now. Running Back Kenyan Drake has 30 carries for 104 yards and one trip to the end zone this year. Frank Gore has filled in nicely spelling Drake by adding 24 attempts for 98 yards but hasn’t scored yet. For the Patriots, Brady hasn’t really connected with any of his receivers, not named Gronk, consistently yet. Sony Michel has been starting to see an increase in action but James White is the running back I would start in DFS. Brady trusts him and he has been getting targeted the most out of the backfield, in fact, he has more targets than Gronkowski. This seems like the typical New England rebound where they somehow have the highest score of the week. Because of that, stacking Brady, Gronk and White might be a smart play.

Eagles at Titans

Jay Ajayi has only played in 1.5 games in the first 3 weeks, but has scored as many touchdowns as the Tennessee Titans have on offense. Carson Wentz returned to lead the Eagles last week. He threw for 255 yards and a 1 touchdown. He should improve as the season progresses. Zach Ertz and Nelson Agholor have been leading the way for the Eagles in receptions. While Corey Clement and Ajayi are the main running backs that are getting the attempts. If both Clement and Ajayi can’t go this week Wendell Smallwood will try to fill in for them. The Titans have questions at quarterback. Marcus Mariota has an elbow injury and is questionable for their game against the Eagles. Then backup Blaine Gabbert is also questionable due to a concussion. Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis are the running backs that the Titans like to use in their offense. Lewis is the one I personally prefer for my fantasy team as he catches the ball as well. Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor are the receivers to won for Tennessee with Tajae Sharpe someone worth keeping an eye on. Jonnu Smith is a tight end that should be stashed in all dynasty leagues as well. This game looks to be a close, low scoring game. I think the Eagles will pull it out late in the 4th and win by a field goal. You might want to look elsewhere for fantasy points.

Texans at Colts

2 of the teams with the worst record from 2017 look to face off in the 4th week in 2018. Entering this contest they are a combined 1-5. The 0-3 Texans look to get back on track and win their first game of the season. The Texans have played some tougher defenses and a game against the Colts could be what they need. Deshaun Watson has 5 scores and 871 yards passing to go with 120 yards rushing. The surprising thing for me is that he doesn’t have a pass over 39 yards. With DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller you would think that there would be multiple deep passes connected a game. Lamar Miller has been averaging 58 yards per game rushing and hasn’t scored yet. Andrew Luck is back and has an average of 5.3 yards per attempt. The running backs the Colts have are Jordan Wilkins, Marlon Mack, and Nyhiem Hines. I would like to avoid this situation if possible as it seems to be a running back by committee. TY Hilton has been Luck’s favorite target for years and 17 receptions for 179 yards and 2 scores. Eric Ebron came over from Detroit this off-season, with Jack Doyle out I would look for Ebron to have a decent game. For this game, the players I would look to start are Hopkins, Fuller, Hilton, and Ebron. I think Houston should take advantage of Indy’s weaker pass defense and start pulling away in the second half.

Bills at Packers

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Josh Allen led the Bills to their first victory of the season against the Vikings last week. Since taking over halfway through the week 1 loss he is leading the Bills with 515 yards passing and 97 yards rushing. LeSean McCoy’s status is still up in the air. If he isn’t able to play Chris Ivory and Marcus Murphy to fill the void. Kelvin Benjamin, Zay Jones and Charles Clay will look to lead the team in receiving. Until I see more from any of the Buffalo offense I would look to get my fantasy points elsewhere. The Packers have Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. He has thrown for 832 yards and 6 touchdowns on a bad knee through 3 weeks. Green Bay’s running game has been non-existent with Jamaal Williams and Ty Montgomery leading the way through the first 2 weeks. The returning Aaron Jones gave them a slight boost in offense. Look for Aaron Jones’ volume to increase of the next couple of games. Rodgers 2 favorite targets are Davante Adams and Randall Cobb, followed closely by Jimmy Graham and Geromino Allison. While Adams, Cobb, and Graham could be decent starts this week I see Aaron Jones as a good value start as Green Bay should be looking to run out the clock in the second have and possibly rest Rodgers and his sore knee for next weeks contest with the Detroit Lions.
This will conclude part 1 of Hot Coffey Take: Week 4 Preview. Look for part 2 and other articles on DynastyRedZone.com

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