2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6
INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 20: Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers passes during a 23-20 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs at SoFi Stadium on September 20, 2020 in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6

The leap from college football to the NFL is not easy by any stretch of the imagination. While some positions, like running back, have easier transitions, all rookies have to adjust to facing bigger, faster, and stronger opponents. On top of that, they also have to learn a new playbook and system that is likely different from the one they were used to in college.

The Preseason is typically their chance to adapt and get used to the next level of play before the real season begins. Needless to say, an offseason with no offseason field time until August, and no preseason will cut significantly into the much needed experience these rookies will acquire. Expect the rookies even the so called “can’t miss” guys to start off a slower than their fantasy mangers are hoping for.

The 2020 Fantasy Rookie Tracker follows the fantasy production of the 2020 Rookie class and compares their results to the RotoHeat team’s consensus Dynasty Rookie Rankings. In the initial installment of this season long series, I take a look at the Top-20 ranked, list their Week one projection and give you my thoughts on their match-up. As the season progresses the Rookies will be re-ranked based on their year-to-date performance. We review their previous week and take a look at the week to come as we follow this draft class that comes with so much hype and promise.

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Top 20 Rookies

Justin Herbert – QB Los Angeles Chargers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 26
Current Rank: 1
Week 5 Projection: 16.50
Week 5 Actual: 27.36
Season to Date Actual: 90.30
Weekly Average: 22.58
Week 6 Projection: Bye week

Justin Herbert completed 20-of-34 passes for 264 yards and four touchdowns in the Chargers’ 30-27, Week 5 loss to the Saints Monday night. Herbert was the best player on the field, and once again deserved a better fate but the Chargers yet again let one slip away. Herbert had an excellent first half, completing 9 of 13 for 109 and 3 touchdowns. He lost Keenan Allen to a second-quarter back injury and was left with Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and various inexperienced pass catchers. Williams was Herbert’s best WR on the night, hauling in two touchdown passes (4 yards, and 64 yards), and Henry secured one of his own. Herbert has been great since stepping in as the starter and has particularly excelled under pressure.

He now sits a top the 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6, averaging nearly 6 full points more a game than fellow rookie QB Joe Burrow. Herbert is off in Week 6 and returns in Week 7 to a favorable match-up against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

James Robinson – RB Jacksonville Jaguars
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 39
Current Rank: 2
Week 5 Projection: 15.90
Week 4 Actual: 10.00
Season to Date Actual: 86.60
Weekly Average: 17.32
Week 6 Projection: 17.40

Next up is James Robinson who moves up to 2nd on the 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6 after his 13 carries for 48 yards and 5 receptions for 22 yards in Week 5 against Houston. This was Robinson’s worst game after going over 100 total yards the last three weeks. The Jaguars continued to chase points in the second half, and Robinson was held in check on his 18 touches. He didn’t get any red-zone chances this week, with Jacksonville throwing it four straight times inside the five-yard line. As long as he remains involved in the passing game, he will be a volume based RB1. Robinson has a match-up with the Lions in Week 6 who after 4 weeks have allowed the third most Fantasy points to opposing RBs.

CeeDee Lamb – WR Dallas Cowboys
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 4
Current Rank: 3
Week 5 Projection: 13.70
Week 5 Actual: 20.40
Season to Date Actual: 85.60
Weekly Average: 17.12
Week 6 Projection: 14.70

CeeDee Lamb makes his highest appearance season to date this week. He caught 8-of-11 targets for 124 yards in the Cowboys’ Week 5 win over the Giants. Lamb was the guy commanding most of the looks in this one, as he was really doing whatever he wanted in the middle of the field out of the slot. This is Lamb’s second 100-yard game of the young season, and the 11 targets marked a new season-high in that department. Lamb has already emerged as a legit every-week WR2 ahead of a Week 6 date with the Cardinals. How he performs with Andy Dalton under center for the injured Dak Prescott remains to be seen.

Joe Burrow – QB Cincinnati Bengals
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 14
Current Rank: 4
Week 5 Projection: 17.10
Week 5 Actual: 5.32
Season to Date Actual: 83.66
Weekly Average: 16.73
Week 6 Projection: 16.30

Joe Burrow completed 19-of-30 passes for 183 yards, zero touchdowns and an interception in the Bengals’ 27-3, Week 5 loss to the Ravens, also losing a fumble. Burrow’s protection was bad, but his decision-making was equally so, as he routinely held onto the ball for too long. He was lucky to escape with only two turnovers. Week 5 was a reminder that Joe Burrow is a rookie QB, and a rookie QB with a horrible offensive line. Things won’t get any easier against the Colts in Week 6.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 28: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs hands the ball offsides to Clyde Edwards-Helaire #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on September 28, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB Kansas City Chiefs
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 2
Current Rank: 5
Week 5 Projection: 18.00
Week 5 Actual: 11.00
Season to Date Actual: 74.30
Weekly Average: 14.86
Week 6 Projection: 18.70

Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed just 10 times for 40 yards in the Chiefs’ Week 5 loss to the Raiders. He also caught 3-of-8 targets for 40 additional yards. CEH hasn’t scored since Week 1, and his 13 touches marked a season low through five weeks. Another alarming stat for CEH managers is RB Darrel Williams ran 22 pass routes and got five targets in Week 5 against the Raiders. Touchdowns are really the only thing missing for him right now, had his receiving TD stood yesterday there would be much more optimism for the rookie back. Edwards-Helaire will be in the RB1 yet again next week even in a tough match-up against the Bills.

Jonathan Taylor – RB Indianapolis Colts
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 1
Current Rank: 6
Week 5 Projection: 15.90
Week 5 Actual: 15.40
Season to Date Actual: 71.40
Weekly Average: 14.28
Week 6 Projection: 17.0

Jonathan Taylor rushed 12 times for 57 yards and one score, hauling in 2-of-3 targets for 17 yards in Indianapolis’ Week 5 loss to Cleveland. Taylor out-touched Nyheim Hines 14 to 5 but is still not seeing enough work for the Colts. He scored an easy walk-in touchdown in this one, but wasn’t afforded further opportunity since the Browns took a 27-10 lead, forcing Philip Rivers to attempt 33 passes. There are better days ahead for Taylor, who faces the Bengals and Lions over Indianapolis’ next two games.

Chase Claypool – WR Pittsburgh Steelers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 21
Current Rank: 7
Week 5 Projection: 5.80
Week 5 Actual: 42.60
Season to Date Actual: 70.50
Weekly Average: 17.63
Week 6 Projection: 11.90

Last week I mentioned that Claypool would revert back to a boom/bust against the Philadelphia Eagles with Diontae Johnson back in the line-up. Well file this week under the boom category. Claypool caught 7-of-11 targets for 110 yards and three touchdowns in the Steelers’ Week 5 win over the Eagles, adding a rushing touchdown for good measure. Turns out Johnson’s return to the lineup was short lived. Claypool stepped up in a big way after Johnson was sidelined with a back injury. Claypool is a weekly starter if Johnson or any of the other Steelers WR are to miss time. I would be comfortable starting him as a flex in Week 6 when Pittsburgh faces the Browns.

Antonio Gibson – RB Washington Football Team
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 19
Current Rank: 8
Week 5 Projection: 12.30
Week 5 Actual: 10.10
Season to Date Total: 64.50
Weekly Average: 12.90
Week 6 Projection: 14.40

Washington RB Antonio Gibson played 56 percent of the Football Team’s offensive snaps in Week 5. He started the game against the Rams as the focal point of the Washington offense, only to fade late in the first half and into the second half. Gibson finished with 11 carries for 27 yards, adding five receptions for 24 yards. J.D. McKissic played 50 percent of the team’s snaps and saw eight targets, mostly from Alex Smith. Unless Gibson takes over a majority of the pass-catching role out of the Washington backfield, he’s going to be dependent on game script. That is not good news for a running back on a bad team.

Justin Jefferson – WR Minnesota Vikings
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 8
Current Rank: 9
Week 5 Projection: 13.60
Week 5 Actual: 5.30
Season to Date Actual: 62.10
Weekly Average: 12.42
Week 6 Projection: 14.60

Justin Jefferson caught 3-of-5 targets for 23 yards in Week 5 against Seattle. It was a quiet outing for Jefferson after going over 100 yards the last two weeks. He took a backseat to Adam Thielen, who scored twice and had a team-high 13 targets. Kirk Cousins targeted Irv Smith seven times this week, which may indicate a slight change in the Vikings’ passing attack. Regardless, Jefferson is still locked in as the No. 2 option in a great week 6 match-up against the Falcons’ weak secondary in Week 6.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6
NASHVILLE, TN – SEPTEMBER 20: Laviska Shenault Jr. #10 of the Jacksonville Jaguars runs the ball during a game against Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium on September 20, 2020 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans defeated the Jaguars 33-30. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6

Laviska Shenault Jr. – WR Jacksonville Jaguars
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 11
Current Rank: 10
Week 5 Projection: 11.50
Week 5 Actual: 14.90
Season to Date Actual: 61.30
Weekly Average: 12.26
Week 6 Projection: 12.30

Laviska Shenault caught 7-of-8 targets for 79 yards in Week 5 against the Texans. Shenault led Jacksonville in targets but was held out of the end-zone for the fourth straight week. His role continues to grow as the No. 2 option behind D.J. Chark, and he now has at least 70 total yards in three of the last four games. With Chark leaving with an ankle injury in the fourth quarter, Shenault could be in line for a big Week 6 role versus the Detroit Lions.

Tee Higgins – WR Cincinnati Bengals
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 15
Current Rank: 11
Week 5 Projection: 11.30
Week 5 Actual: 10.20
Season to Date Actual: 50.70
Weekly Average: 10.14
Week 6 Projection: 12.0

Tee Higgins caught 4-of-8 targets for 62 yards in the Bengals’ Week 5 loss to the Ravens. If I was to show you Joe Burrow’s stat line prior to this one you would have been thrilled with Higgins’ outcome. He has now seen at least six targets in four straight games and caught at least four passes in three straight. He is averaging 70 yards over his past two games. Even in a tough Week 6 matchup with the Colts, Higgins will have some desperation WR3 appeal.

Brandon Aiyuk – WR San Francisco 49ers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 13
Current Rank: 12
Week 5 Projection: 11.10
Week 5 Actual: 7.40
Season to Date Actual: 46.20
Weekly Average: 11.55
Week 6 Projection: 11.30

Brandon Aiyuk caught 3-of-6 targets for 44 yards in the 49ers’ Week 5 loss to the Dolphins. Aiyuk was held without a rush one week after scoring on a highlight reel run. Raheem Mostert’s healthy return likely had something to do with that, as did the lopsided score. Aiyuk was third in targets behind George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, both of whom had eight. Samuel’s usage bodes poorly for Aiyuk’s value going forward. It’s unclear who will be under center for Week 6 against the Rams, but Aiyuk should be on your bench regardless.

Jerry Jeudy – WR Denver Broncos
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 5
Current Rank: 13
Week 5 Projection: Game Postponed
Week 5 Actual: Game Postponed
Season to Date: 44.40
Weekly Average: 11.10
Week 6 Projection: 9.50

Jerry Jeudy and the Denver Broncos were off in Week 5. The NFL postponed Monday night’s Week 5 game between the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos due to the timing of the latest positive COVID-19 test within the Patriots camp. The game was originally scheduled for Sunday and was pushed to Monday due to a previous positive. Once a new positive acme to light on Saturday that Patriots’ facility was shut down and the Broncos and Pats moved to week 6. Jeudy could benefit from the week off as he was banged up and he could get his starting QB back under center as well.

D’Andre Swift – RB Detroit Lions
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 7
Current Rank: 14
Week 5 Projection: BYE
Week 5 Actual: BYE
Season to Date Actual: 41.60
Weekly Average: 10.40
Week 6 Projection: 6.40

D’Andre Swift and the Detroit Lions were off last week on bye. Swift’s usage thru the Lions first 4 weeks has been a disappointment for his Fantasy managers. He is averaging 3 carries and 4 targets per game. A preseason injury and the addition of Adrian Peterson has impacted his role in this Lions offense. Hopefully we shall see an increase in workload for Swift with the Lions coming off bye and facing the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 6.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – OCTOBER 11: J.K. Dobbins #27 of the Baltimore Ravens runs with the ball during the first half against the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium on October 11, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6

Gabriel Davis – WR Buffalo Bills
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 40
Current Rank: 15
Week 5 Projection: 6.60
Week 5 Actual: 10.80
Season to Date Actual: 43.70
Weekly Average: 8.74
Week 6 Projection: 7.80

Gabriel Davis caught 5 of his9 targets for 58 yards in the Buffalo Bills 42-16 loss to the Tennessee Titans on Tuesday. The 9 targets were second only to the 16 to go Stefon Diggs way. The target total was more than double his previous high of 4 back in Week 3. Davis now has two double digit fantasy games in his young career. Thru 5 weeks, Davis looks serviceable especially in games that John Brown misses.

J.K. Dobbins – RB Baltimore Ravens
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 3
Current Rank: 16
Week 5 Projection: 8.80
Week 5 Actual: 8.50
Season to Date Actual: 40.90
Weekly Average: 8.18
Week 6 Projection: 10.10

J.K. Dobbins remains to be a bit part of the Baltimore Ravens offense. Dobbins rushed one time for 34 yards in the Ravens’ Week 5 win over the Bengals, adding three receptions for 21 additional yards. Despite the big play, this was the second time in three games Dobbins was held to one rush. Mark Ingram’s 11 carries, meanwhile, were the most by any Ravens back this season. A surprising statistic, especially considering how much garbage time the Ravens have had this season. Dobbins seems miles away from fully earning the coaching staff’s trust. With Gus Edwards not going anywhere in this three-man committee, Dobbins remains off the Fantasy radar in Week 6 vs. the Eagles.

Joshua Kelley – RB Los Angeles Chargers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 27
Current Rank: 17
Week 5 Projection: 10.60
Week 5 Actual: 4.80
Season to Date Actual: 39.60
Weekly Average: 7.92
Week 6 Projection: Bye week

Joshua Kelley rushed 11 times for 29 yards in the Chargers’ Week 5 loss to the Saints. He managed a nine-yard catch on his lone target in the pass game. This one was frustrating of Kelley managers, it was Justin Jackson who handled 20 touches and totaled 94 yards while seeing six targets in the passing game. After one week without Austin Ekeler it looks like Jackson is the preferred back. The Chargers now have their bye week ahead of a Week 7 date with the Jaguars. Kelley will be a tough to start in that one.

Darnell Mooney – WR Chicago Bears
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: NR
Current Rank: 18
Week 5 Projection: 7.80
Week 5 Actual: 3.50
Season to Date Actual: 36.70
Weekly Average: 7.34
Week 6 Projection: 8.20

Darnell Mooney caught 2-of-5 targets for 15 yards in the Bears’ Week 5 win over the Bucs. A disappointing performance but he deserved better. He ran a beautiful route on the first play of the second quarter, but QB Nick Foles missed him by 4-5 yards for what should have been a 52-yard touchdown. Mooney has pushed past Anthony Miller on the Bears’ depth chart, but he’s a distant number two behind Allen Robinson. Mooney doesn’t provide any consistent value in the Bears’ inept passing attack.

Henry Ruggs – WR Las Vegas Raiders
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 9
Current Rank: 19
Week 5 Projection: 8.90
Week 5 Actual: 19.80
Season to Date Actual: 30.80
Weekly Average: 10.27
Week 6 Projection: Bye Week

Henry Ruggs caught 2-of-3 targets for 118 yards and one touchdown in the Raiders’ Week 5 win over the Chiefs. Ruggs missed the previous two weeks with a pulled hamstring but made his presence felt in a big way in his return, with a 72-yard touchdown reception. His three targets were tied for third on the team behind Darren Waller and Jalen Richard. Ruggs can run by anyone, but his volume is a question mark. Ruggs gets the bye and will then face the Bucs as an upside WR4 in Week 7.

Devin Duvernay – WR Baltimore Ravens
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 29
Current Rank: 20
Week 5 Projection: 5.70
Week 5 Actual: 7.90
Season to Date Actual: 23.10
Weekly Average: 4.62
Week 6 Projection:

Welcome to the top-20 list Devin Duvernay. Duvernay caught all three of his targets for 21 yards and added a 42 yard run as well. Duvernay has a small role in the Ravens attack and he is not to be trusted on a weekly basis. It is possible that Duvernay could see an increase in opportunities out of the slot. The Ravens are letting Duvernay compete with Willie Snead and James Proche for the No. 3 role. The Ravens should find a way to get Duvernay’s 4.3 speed on the field.

Thank you for reading 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 6. Good luck in Week 6 everyone!

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