Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy

There are those in the fantasy community that follow the “When in doubt, Thursday is out” philosophy. Thankfully I am not a member of that line of thinking, especially considering I write this article weekly.

There are certainly variables to consider when setting your weekly lineup that includes players scheduled to be in action on a Thursday. First and foremost, not unlike any other matchup you need to watch the injury reports. If you have to choose between a questionable player and a player that is good to go of similar value, well you don’t need me to tell you which player to insert into your lineup.

One overlooked piece when setting a lineup that includes Thursday night action is your flex spots. Fill your positional spots on Thursday and leave your flex spots for Sunday. Lots can happen leading up to any given Sunday, and having the ability to be flexible with roster construction is an advantage you don’t want to give away.

Don’t let a Thursday matchup scare you. I get it, your fantasy assets are coming off a short week, but remember so are the defenses they matched up against. Good players typically are good players and good matchups are typically good matchups. The same can be said for the opposite. Long story short, my advice is don’t over think it. If player “X” was going to be in your lineup on Sunday, they should be in your lineup on Thursday as well.

Thanksgiving week is my favorite week of the season, every season. What is better than a day full of football in addition to the day full of football on Sunday? There are three games on the schedule. We start off with the Chicago Bears in Detroit, followed by Las Vegas visiting Dallas, and we wrap the day with Buffalo in New Orleans. I have a start and sit at each position for you this week that I believe will help you bring home a victory in Week 12.

1. Quarterback

Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy
Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy


Start

Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys

Last week in Kansas City, Dak Prescott finished with 4.64 fantasy points, his worst outing since a 3.80 point Week 11 in 2017. I fully expect Dak to bounce back on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas.

Las Vegas is the 11th worst fantasy defense against the quarterback. The Raiders have given up on average 19.8 points to the position after ten games. In those games they have yielded 256 passing yards a game and a total of 19 passing scores. In addition, they have allowed five quarterbacks to score 18-plus fantasy points, including four with more than 20 points.

Normally, Dak would be a slam dunk, must start. This week, however, it is possible he is down his two elite wide receivers in Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Cooper is out and Lamb is practicing in an attempt to beat the concussion protocol in time for Thanksgiving. Despite the Cowboys being short staffed this week, I have Dak ranked at QB5. I believe Prescott will get enough out of his remaining pass catchers to make the Raiders pay.

Sit

Derek Carr – Las Vegas Raiders

For my sit this week, we stay in the same game. Derek Carr is reeling in recent weeks, and as a result, so are the Raiders. I would expect the slide to continue this week in Dallas.

Dallas is the 10th best fantasy defense against the quarterback. The Cowboys have given up on average 17.8 points to the position after ten games. In those 10 games, they have yielded 269 passing yards a game and a total of 14 passing scores. Since Week 5, Dallas is the No.1 defense against the QB, and just held Patrick Mahomes to 8.5 points last week.

Carr’s totals have averaged to just 12.4 fantasy points in his last three games against the Giants, Chiefs, and Bengals. Carr should only be considered as a starter in multi-quarterback leagues this week.

2. Running Back

Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy
Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy

Start

David Montgomery – Chicago Bears

My RB start this week is David Montgomery, and it’s a smash start. Since returning to the Bears lineup off his knee injury he has been ok. Monty has scored 17.7 PPR points combined in Weeks 9 and 11.

This week, the Bears face the Detroit Lions and their 30th ranked fantasy defense versus the running back position. Detroit has given up a total of 1,427 scrimmage yards and 17 touchdowns to the position in 10 games this season.

In Week 11, David Montgomery was on the field for 95% of the Bears offensive snaps, the highest percentage of all backs that suited up. Monty is a true every-down back that needs to be in your lineups. I am starting Montgomery with confidence, as he comes in as my RB10 on the week.

Sit

Zach Moss – Buffalo Bills

Zach Moss has seen his usage and point totals decrease in recent weeks. Making matter worse is the fact that Buffalo has abandoned their two-headed backfield approach for a three-headed one. In Week 11, it was nearly a perfect split. Devin Singletary played 37% of the team’s snaps, followed by Matt Breida (31%), and Moss at 30%. The touches were split as well, with Singletary seeing 7, Brieda 6, and Moss 4.

This week the Bills are in New Orleans to face Saints. New Orleans enters the week as the 3rd best fantasy defense versus the running backs position. On the season, the Saints have given up 18.7 points to the position. New Orleans has given up a total of 1,084 scrimmage yards and 6 touchdowns to the position in 10 games this season.

Sitting Moss is a fairly easy call this week. I would sit all the Bills backs here if possible. I have Singletary ranked the highest at R38, followed by Moss at RB41, and Brieda at RB45. There nothing more than desperation flex plays in 12 team or larger leagues.

3. Wide Receiver

Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy
Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy

Start

Stefon Diggs – Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills’ star WR enters Week 12 ranked 9th overall in PPR scoring with 173.30 points—an average of 17.3 points per game. Since the Bills Week 7 bye, Diggs is the WR6 and his average has jumped to just under 20 points a game (19.5).

The Bills lock up with the Saints this week. As I indicated above, teams have struggled to run on New Orleans this season, leading to an increase in passing plays. That works for a Bills offense that would rather chuck it anyway. The Bills enter Week 12 as 6th in attempts with 390 in 10 games this season. New Orleans is the 11th worst fantasy defense against the wide receiver position. The Saints have given up on average 37.3 points to the position after 10 games. In those 10 games, they have yielded 1,810 yards and 10 scores.

I have Stefon Diggs ranked 3rd this week behind only Cooper Kupp and Davante Adams. Diggs is getting hot at the right time for your fantasy team. Ride Diggs all the way to your fantasy playoffs.

Sit

Marquez Callaway – New Orleans Saints

The Buffalo Bills are tough on opposing wide receivers, Trevor Siemian isn’t good, and Marquez Callaway is a fade as a result. Expect Bills shut down corner Tre’Davious White to be on Callaway all night in this one.

The Bills are league’s best defense against their opponents wide receivers, allowing on average 25.9 PPR points a game to the position. They are giving up a league best 117 passing yards a game and have only allowed 3 WRs to score in 2021, also a league best.

Callaway, the preseason darling, has hit double digits in PPR points on three occasions in ten games this season, and has been held under 50 receiving yards seven times. I would expect Week 12 to be another disappointing week for the Saints pass catcher. I have Callaway at WR51 this week.

4. Tight End

Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy
Start or Sit These Players on Thanksgiving to Win Week 12 Fantasy

Start

Dalton Schultz – Dallas Cowboys

It’s a beautiful thing when opportunity and a “plus” matchup collide. That is exactly what we have here on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas. Dalton Schultz should be leaned on by his QB Dak Prescott in a game where Dallas is likely missing their two top pass catchers. Add to this the fact that the Las Vegas Raiders are the league’s third most giving defense to the tight end and you have a winning formula.

The Raiders are giving up 6.3 receptions, 66.7 yards, and .6 touchdowns a week to the opposing TE. Schultz is the league’s TE9 entering the week and should be able to get to these numbers with an increased target share. I have Schultz ranked as my TE5 this week, and I am starting him everywhere I roster him.

Sit

Cole Kmet – Chicago Bears

I like Cole Kmet, and I believe he is a future fixture in the top-12 at his position in the years to come. Kmet enters the week as TE25 averaging 5.8 points a week. There is no doubting the fact that Kmet sees more targets from QB Justin Fields than he does from QB Andy Dalton. Fields is out with a rib injury this week and Dalton will be under center Thanksgiving Day in Detroit.

In addition, the Detroit Lions’ defense has played the TE position well this season. The Lions are 10th best against the tight end position this season, holding the opponents’ TEs to 11 points a game. Kmet comes into this week as my 19th ranked TE, so keep him on your bench.

Thank you for reading Start or Sit These Players on Thursday Night to Win Week 11 Fantasy.

For all your start/sit questions be sure to reach out to me on Twitter @RotoHeatSully.

For more great Fantasy Football content, follow RotoHeat on Twitter, subscribe to our website, and YouTube Channel. Engage with 2,100+ passionate dynasty managers and let the RotoHeat content team know what topics YOU want to hear about by visiting our ROTOHEAT – Dynasty Fantasy Football Community.