Rondale Moore’s dynasty value is just too low right now. One year ago he was a hyped prospect that was 79th overall in SuperFlex ADP and the 39th wide receiver. His rookie year was disappointing, but this is why he is the next one up in my seven unvalued wide receivers series. None of these players have an ADP under 100 and none are top 36 at the position according to DLF SuperFlex ADP.
Current ADP: 174
Positional Rank: 65
Rondale Moore Has Dropped 95 Spots After One Season
I get that Moore’s rookie season in an Arizona offense was disappointing, but it wasn’t without its bright spots. He started the season with a 68 and 114-yard performances. He had five games where he received at least five targets.
- Week 1 – 5 targets, 10.8 PPR Points
- Week 2 – 8 targets, 24.4 PPR Points
- Week 5 – 6 targets, 14.7 PPR Points
- Week 9 – 5 targets, 7.5 PPR Points
- Week 11 – 11 targets, 16.1 PPR Points
The problem for Rondale Moore was that as a rookie, it was hard for him to earn consistent targets in an offense that featured DeAndre Hopkins (64), Christian Kirk (103), A.J. Green (92) and Zach Ertz (81). Even the running back duo of Chase Edmonds (53) and James Conner (39) commanded 92 targets.
Heading into 2022 there will be 220 targets vacated with Hopkins suspended, Kirk in Jacksonville, and Edmonds in Miami. Marquise Brown will fill a large void, but the remaining targets are up for grabs between Moore and these guys;
- Antoine Wesley – 32 Career Targets
- Greg Dortch – 3 Career Targets
- Darrel Williams – 47 Receptions in 2021 were actually more than Chase Edmonds
So, other than Darrel Williams, there isn’t much competition.
What is his 2022 Outlook?
We don’t really need Moore to take even a large portion of those vacated targets to really improve his weekly standings as a starting WR. We know that he produces starting numbers when he gets 5+ targets, so if he can improve his weekly targets from last year’s 4.57/game, to 5.5-6.5, 30-35 more targets on the season, he could be a dangerous fantasy option.
What has to happen though, is Kliff Kingsbury not solely keeping Moore around the line of scrimmage. This has been an overall issue in the Cardinals’ offense the past few seasons. They are fast, but everything is congested at the line of scrimmage on a lot of plays. Hollywood should help stretch the field and that will create more room for Rondale Moore.
But get this, according to Moore’s Player Profiler page, he commanded a solid 14.3% target share, but only a 5.9% Air Yards Share. So, he ranked 62nd in the NFL in target share, but 98th with a 3.3 ADOT. REALLY? No wonder Rondale Moore’s dynasty value is so low heading into 2022.
A positive sign is that his targets per snap ranked 30th in the entire league, but he was 111th in the league with a 47.5% snap share. That snap share should increase significantly in 2022.
Keys to Fantasy Success for Rondale Moore
The key to Rondale Moore’s dynasty value rising in 2022, and beyond, is to be a consistent producer for Arizona before the return of Hopkins. He has to take the increased opportunities and literally run with them so that it is A.J. Green and others that lose opportunities. This offense can sustain multiple wide receivers for fantasy, but Moore can’t mess up the chance he is about to get.
Rondale Moore’s Dynasty Value is Too Low in 2022 Conclusion
Dropping from 79th overall to 174 overall was way too drastic in my opinion. We saw glimpses of the upside Moore possesses, he just needs to get those consistent reps. There is no reason that in May of 2023 we are looking at another top 100 overall ADP for this guy. One more year of experience and a little improvement in overall usage and we could see a huge improvement from a fantasy perspective.
If you are trying to win your dynasty league in 2022, Rondale Moore is a FLEX that you can get for WR6-7 value.