As we move into the 2020 NFL fantasy season, I want to work through a conversation I’ve been having internally and out loud on our Wednesday Night Redraft Stream (you can check it out over on YouTube!). It seems like popular thinking about these 2020 Jacksonville Jaguars is that, if any of your fantasy players are going against them, start them and be successful. What I’m going to attempt to do is debunk that myth, in a sense breakdown what I expect to see from this team in 2020.
As of week 1 of the NFL season, this is the depth chart we are working with (thanks ourlads), so I’ll talk through both the offense and defense, as well as some expectations for some of the key positions and what you can expect if you’re fantasy team has players facing the Jaguars this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Quarterbacks
Gardner Minshew leads this group, and barring injury should get every start in 2020. the 2019 6th round pick came on the scene quickly and ended the season 6-6 as a starter, was 285/470 3,271 yards 21 touchdowns and 6 interceptions (thanks Pro Football Reference). From a fantasy perspective, Minshew had 3 weeks over 25 fantasy points but was comfortable getting you around 20 fantasy points a week, having trouble with some of the better defenses last year. In 2020, I’d expect much more of the same, Minshew is an above average passer, getting you probably 20-23 fantasy points per week, knowing a few weeks will be higher and a few will be lower based on the matchups.
Behind Minshew, Veteran backup Mike Glennon and rookie 6th rounder Jake Luton will be there in case of emergency. Where I begin to really worry is if in fact either of these quarterbacks has to take live reps, as neither really strike confidence in my mind. The 6’6” former Oregon State quarterback comes to Jacksonville following 4 very unimpressive college seasons, he had a solid 62% completion rate but just wasn’t a big play quarterback, averaging just 7 yards per attempt.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Running Backs
This group looks much different from the 2019 incarnation, as the top back heading into week 1 is James Robinson, undrafted free agent from Illinois State. Ryquell Armstead was assumed to be the starter once Leonard Fournette was released, Devine Ozigbo and even Chris Thompson look to become fantasy relevant in 2020. If you watched our video on Robinson, you’ll know that he did well at Illinois State, was impressive at the combine, enough so that the Jaguars brought him in and some in the media believe he was part of the reason the Jags were willing to move on from Fournette.
In the early weeks of the season, Robinson looks to be the guy who will get the between the tackles attempts, with Chris Thompson and newly signed Dare Ogunbowale getting the pass-catching reps. If we look to 2019 as a sample of what to expect, there are 265 rushing attempts vacated and Robinson/Armstead should be the beneficiaries and ultimately can get you RB2 production the weeks they are the unquestioned #1 runner.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Wide Receivers
This is an extremely deep, fantasy-relevant group featuring DJ Chark, Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole, Chris Conley and rookies Laviska Shenault and Collin Johnson. And really this passing game is balanced, where Chark, Westbrook and Conley all had over 90 targets in 2019 and I’d expect more of the same but rookie Shenault should cut into some of those targets, as you can expect him getting involved from week 1 being a 2nd round selection that could’ve been a 1st.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Tight Ends
Tyler Eifert, James O’Shaughnessy and 6th round pick Tyler Davis will man the tight end group in 2020, and really if healthy Eifert should be the top tight end, unfortunately that doesn’t mean much in an offense that doesn’t focus on the tight end much at all. If you’re a fantasy owner looking for tight end help, I’m not targeting any of these options outside of emergency bye week fill-ins.
Jacksonville Jaguars – Offensive Line
This is a big area of concern for people but I’m a bit more optimistic, as this line is in tact from 2019, being manned with 2 2nd round picks in Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor at the tackles, 3rd round picks Brandon Linder and AJ Cann at center and right guard respectively. Andrew Norwell, the highly paid left guard that came over from the panthers a few seasons back needs to step up but ultimately I’m cautiously optimistic the continuity and another year will help all these men step their games up to the next level.
Jacksonville Jaguars – The Defense
I know this defense continues to jettison veteran leaders but there is still players to like at all three levels. Josh Allen, K’Lavon Chaisson are promising young defensive ends that could wreak havoc if the interior can up their game. Myles Jack, Joe Schobert and Leon Jacobs provide options for fantasy owners in need of linebackers and 1st round rookie CJ Henderson will be targeted a lot by opposing quarterbacks in 2020, which could provide you solid fantasy cornerback production.
I did an article breaking down Josh Allen during the offseason (feel free to check it out here on RotoHeat), he produced well in limited snaps as a rookie and Chaisson was their 2020 1st round pick that could step up but is more raw coming in than Allen was as a 1st round pick in 2019. Most of the IDP team here at RotoHeat believes they know what Myles Jack is as a fantasy producer, though I think this linebacking group as a whole is underrated.
Jacksonville Jaguars – In Closing
If you’re looking for help on your fantasy rosters, I believe there are plenty of options on this team to better assist you. Keep up to date with our rankings (offensive and defensive) here on RotoHeat.com, and feel free to reach out to me for more fantasy help over on twitter!