I recently wrote an article about players that received more than 30% of their teams red zone targets. While doing some research I felt like there were some surprises on the list. So, I thought diving in a little deeper and seeing who were some of the more targeted players within 10 yards were.
8. (29.8%) Michael Thomas, New Orleans
Just like in the previous article I decided to include Michael Thomas here because of rounding up. Inside the 10 yard line he had 12 receptions on 14 targets for 48 yards and 6 scores. Compared to within the 20 yard line, Thomas had 24 catches for 158 yards and 7 touchdowns.
As long as Brees is throwing to him, Thomas should be considered one of the top receivers in the game fantasy and NFL. I don’t see his value changing until Brees retires.
7. (30.6%) Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay
You read that right Chris Godwin, not Mike Evans, was targeted more inside the 10 last year. Godwin was targeted 11 times for 4 receptions gaining 30 yards and 4 touchdowns. Every time Godwin caught a pass within 10 yards of the end zone last year he scored.
Godwin is 6’1″ tall and will be facing the second corner back from opposing defenses as long as Mike Evans is on the other side of him. The concern I have with Godwin would be that he didn’t catch a pass inside 10 yards after week 5 against Atlanta. Which happened to be the first game back for Jameis Winston. 3 of the previous 4 weeks Godwin caught touchdown passes from Ryan Fitzpatrick within 10 yards.
I believe that Godwin will see more targets this season with the departures of DeSean Jackson and Adam Humphries. New head coach Bruce Arians and a full off-season with Jameis Winston could only help Chris Godwin be a valuable asset to obtain now before his value increases through out the season.
6. (30.8%) Davante Adams, Green Bay
Davante Adams is a red zone monster, there really isn’t a another way to say it. Adams scored 12 touchdowns in the red zone during the the 2018 campaign. During that time he also caught 6 passes from 8 targets for 6 touchdowns inside the 10 yard line.
With Rodgers throwing to him and as much trust Aaron Rodgers has in Davante he will be a top end WR1 for the next few years. Can’t really say much more than that.
5. (31.3%) Robby Anderson, New York Jets
Robby Anderson was a name I was not expecting to see on this list. Not because he isn’t a good player, I actually tried to get him in every league I’m in. The reason why I was surprised to see him on here was because I considered Anderson more of a deep threat. However, he did get targeted for 31.3% of the Jets targets inside the 10 yard line. He did this on 5 targets, catching 2 receptions for 12 yards and 2 touchdowns.
The Jets were more balanced from 20 yards out, but when moving closer the seemed to want to run the ball. With Adam Gase at the helm who knows what to expect from this offense. I imagine that Le’Veon Bell well keep defenses honest with the running game and Robby Anderson should be able to beat defenses with his speed with deeper routes.
4. (32%) David Johnson, Arizona
In 2018, David Johnson had 8 targets inside the 10 yard line for 5 receptions and 1 score. Last year was his first year back after his wrist injury. What seems to scare a lot of fantasy players away is the Cardinals offensive line from last year and Johnson’s age. He will be 28 before the season is over.
The Cardinals offense ranked in the bottom of the NFL in a lot of categories last year. Because of this they were able to draft Kyler Murray in the NFL draft. They also brought in new Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these factor should be able to help David Johnson improve upon his stats from last year and help him return to double digit touchdowns.
3. (33.3%) Zay Jones, Buffalo
Zay Jones was targeted 4 times inside the 10 during the 2018 season. He turned those targets into 2 catches for 12 yards and a score. Buffalo had numerous quarterbacks last year. Last year’s rookie quarterback Josh Allen seemed to prefer to run the ball in for a touchdown rather than pass it.
It all depends on the development of Josh Allen. I think Jones is worth the value right now and the chemistry that he could build with Allen could pay off in the long term. A full off-season working with Josh Allen as the starting quarterback can only help out his situation.
2. (34.6%) Corey Davis, Tennessee
Corey Davis is kind of another surprising name on this list. Davis was targeted 9 times for 2 catches for 11 yards and a touchdown. Davis was hurt for part of his rookie season. Last year though, he caught 65 passes for 891 yards and 4 scores. Delanie Walker was also hurt for much of 2018.
It seems as if some fantasy players are giving up on Davis already. For most receivers it takes around 3 years to come in to their own That means this season could be a make or break season for Corey Davis. Marcus Mariota is rumored to be on the hot seat in Tennessee as well due to some lack of production issues.
Davis was hurt for part of his rookie season and Mariota was injured last year. I think this is the year they can put it all together. Rookie AJ Brown should be a good complement to Davis but I wouldn’t be to worried about Davis losing targets to him. The Titans also signed Adam Humphries but I think he will be there to help Brown transition to the NFL and shouldn’t impact Davis. I would be willing to acquire Davis right now and not look back.
1. (35.7%) DeAndre Hopkins, Houston
In 2018 DeAndre Hopkins was targeted 15 times inside the 10 yard line. DeAndre finally has a steady quarterback throwing to him and at times appears to be match up proof.
If you didn’t happen to see may article “Red Zone Monsters…”, I believe Hopkins numbers will not be effected by his receiving corp of Will Fuller and Keke Coutee. Plus, having Watson throwing to him will only help him for the long run. The only threat on the Texans to DeAndre inside the 10 or even 20 in the future could be 3rd round pick Kahale Warring because of his size. However, tight ends normally take a couple years to develop.
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