Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 115 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast. I am your host Rob Sullivan. The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.

Welcome to Week 13, aka the final week of the fantasy regular season. You are either in your fantasy playoffs, out of the fantasy playoffs or it all comes down to this week. If you are a win and you’re in team, then you need to do everything in you fantasy manager power to get that W. Your lineup should be upside focused, now depending on your opponent the importance of this increases or decreases.

Simply put if you are the favorite this week the floor takes on more importance and if you are the underdog the ceiling is extremely relevant. Without the ability to view all of your rosters and matchups, I am forced to speak in generalities, just know if you don’t feel good about your chances, its time to get creative.

A reminder for all of you that will be entering week 14 and your fantasy playoffs, Brad Menendez and I bring you a weekly Waiver Wire video each Sunday night over on our YouTube channel. We record the video at 9:30 EST and it posts to YouTube shortly there after. Subscribing to our channel and clicking the notification bell is the best way to ensure you don’t miss it. We also have two live streams The Heat Seekers on Tuesday night and the Fantasy Inferno on Wednesday Nights. Both streams go live at 9:30 EST and are a great place to bring your start sit questions, we answer them all!

This week I am expanding on my usual two at each position, its an important week. I will give the the usual two to start and sit at each position, but I will also add addition guys I would start and sit as well. So without further ado lets get into my Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit recommendations, starting with the Quarterbacks .

1. Quarterback

Fantasy Football Week 15 Start and Sit
OAKLAND, CALIFORNIA – DECEMBER 08: Quarterback Ryan Tannehill #17 of the Tennessee Titans looks to pass the ball in the second half against the Oakland Raiders at RingCentral Coliseum on December 08, 2019 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images) Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit

Start

Ryan Tannehill – Tennessee Titans
Sully’s Rank QB6

Tannehill is back on track after a few down weeks. I listed him as a sit the past two weeks and he delivered. He posted 19-plus fantasy points in wins over the Colts and Ravens, and he should be a starter again this week as the Titans host the Browns. The Cleveland defense is getting Myles Garrett back this week, but they have not traveled well this season. The Browns as a visitor have allowed 13 touchdowns and an average of more than 25 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Tannehill in my opinion is a top 10 QB play this weekend.

Taysom Hill – New Orleans Saints
Sully’s Rank QB10

Taysom Hill is bad for fantasy football. With that said he has started the last two games for the Saints, and he’s scored a combined 41.7 fantasy points. In one of those starts against the Falcons, Hill put up 24 points in Week 11. Hill gets to face Atlanta for the second time in three weeks on Sunday. Seven different quarterbacks, including Hill, have scored more than 20 fantasy points against the Falcons this season. As bad as he has been for the Saints skilled position players, he remains a start because of his legs.

Other Starts to Consider
Ryan Fitzpatrick – New York Jets QB11
Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers QB12
Kirk Cousins – Minnesota Vikings QB 13
Derek Carr – Las Vegas Raiders QB15

Sit

Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons
Sully’s Rank QB18

Matt Ryan has been bad recently he has scored fewer than 18 fantasy points in four of his last five games. The Falcons offensive line is terrible, allowing the fourth-most sacks and 34 QB pressures, and Ryan has struggled in games without Julio Jones. I don’t expect Jones to play in Week 13 either. This week is another date with the Saints, who held Ryan to 5.3 fantasy points in Week 11 and haven’t allowed an opposing quarterback to score 17-plus fantasy points since Week 7. Ryan is an easy sit.

Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles
Sully’s Rank QB20

Wentz put up 19.80 fantasy points last week, despite being a sit for me. make no mistake he was horrible and he lucked out with a long Hail Mary touchdown at the end of the game that salvaged his otherwise awful stat line. He’s playing behind a beaten-up offensive line, and his decision making has been awful this year. Sit Wentz against the Packers, who have surrendered fewer than 17 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks.

Other Sits to Consider
Jared Goff – Los Angeles Rams QB17
Baker Mayfield – Cleveland Browns QB21
Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions QB22
Andy Dalton – Dallas Cowboys QB24

2. Running Backs

Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – OCTOBER 08: David Montgomery #32 of the Chicago Bears is chased by Rakeem Nunez-Roches #56 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Soldier Field on October 08, 2020 in Chicago, Illinois. The Bears defeated the Bucs 20-19. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit

Start

David Montgomery – Chicago Bears
Sully’s Rank RB12

David Montgomery had a big day in his return from a concussion last week, scoring 25.30 PPR points against the Packers. He has another great matchup this, as the Bears host a Lions defense that is terrible against the run. No team in the league has allowed more total touchdowns (21) or fantasy points (33.2 PPG) to the position. Montgomery gets almost all the work out of that backfield and believe it or not is RB15 on the season averaging 13.58 points a game.

Wayne Gallman – New York Giants
Sully’s Rank RB15

I am sticking with Wayne Gallman this week. Gallman is the eighth-best fantasy running back since Week 8. He’s tied for third in rushing touchdowns in that time, and he’s seen a 32 percent touch share in the Giants backfield. He is looking like a No. 2 RB or flex at worst in a plus matchup against the Seattle. The Seahawks have allowed 12 touchdowns and close to 25 fantasy points per game to running backs. Keep Gallman in your stating lineups this week.

Other Starts to Consider
Raheem Mostert – San Francisco 49ers RB11
Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints – RB14
J.K Dobbins – Baltimore Ravens RB16
Myles Gaskin – Miami Dolphins RB20

Sit

Ezekiel Elliott – Dallas Cowboys
Sully’s Rank RB24

So as the saying goes always start your studs. It’s a saying I agree with. But here is the deal, Zeke isn’t a stud right now. I totally get the fact that this guy is hard to sit. Chances are you don’t have a better option, but if you do take it. He’s scored single digits in 4 of 6 weeks without Dak Prescott went down. The Cowboys’ offensive line is a mess, and a matchup in Baltimore isn’t favorable. Sit Zeke in Week 13, feels weird saying it.

Todd Gurley – Atlanta Falcons
Sully’s Rank RB26

Todd Gurley missed last week’s game against the Raiders, and he’s questionable to face the Saints in Week 13. Last week I would have started Gurley, this week not a chance. Starting a RB against New Orleans isn’t wise, especially a banged up on. RBs have scored just five touchdowns and have averaged the fewest fantasy points (16.8 PPG) against New Orleans. So Gurley, Brian Hill, and Ito Smith should all be sits in Week 13.

Other Sits to Consider
Giovani Bernard – Cincinnati Bengals RB28
Devin Singletary – Buffalo Bills RB37
Darrell Henderson – Los Angeles Rams RB39
Carlos Hyde – Seattle Seahawks RB41
Adrian Peterson – Detroit Lions RB56

3. Wide Receiver

Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit
DETROIT, MI – NOVEMBER 26: Brandin Cooks #13 of the Houston Texans participates in warmups prior to a game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on November 26, 2020 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images) Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit

Start

Brandin Cooks – Houston Texans
Sully’s Rank WR10

Brandon Cooks is starting to play like I thought he would all season. He has emerged into one of the most reliable wideouts in fantasy leagues in recent weeks, and his ceiling just got higher with the news of Will Fuller being suspended. Fuller leaves behind his 21.4%target share. Some of those targets are heading Cooks way. The matchup against the Colts isn’t great but I am betting on volume this week.

Justin Jefferson – Minnesota Vikings
Sully’s Rank WR12

For the third week in a row my new man crush Justin Jefferson is a start. He has scored 17-plus fantasy points in three straight games, including two with more than 21. This week he gets the Jacksonville Jaguars. Their defense is an absolute mess of injuries, and it’s struggled to stop receivers lined out wide. The WR position has averaged nearly 24 fantasy points a game against them. Jefferson and Adam Thielen are in my top-12 this week.

Other Starts to Consider
Chase Claypool – Pittsburgh Steelers WR20
Jarvis Landry – Cleveland Browns WR24
Corey Davis – Tennessee Titans WR25
Jamison Crowder – New York Jets WR27

Sit

Tee Higgins – Cincinnati Bengals
Sully’s Rank WR38

Tee Higgins was a sit last week and I was almost right, he saved his day with a late touchdown. He’s now scored 14-plus fantasy points in five of his last six games. The presence of Brandon Allen at QB makes Higgins a risk. Higgins also has to face a Dolphins defense that’s given up just eight touchdown catches to wide receivers, so he’s a tough sell. At best, Higgins is a potential low-floor, risk-reward flex starter this week. In a week of this importance I prefer not to take that risk.

Jerry Jeudy – Denver Broncos
Sully’s Rank WR40

Jerry Jeudy has been on the decline in four straight games. That includes last week, when the Broncos started Kendall Hinton at QB, and Jeudy was shut out. Regardless of QB, Jeudy is difficult to start with any confidence against a Chiefs defense that’s been tough on WRs. The position has scored only six touchdowns and has averaged the fourth-fewest points against Kansas City, so Jeudy is a rather easy sit call this week for me.

Other Sits to Consider
Sammy Watkins – Kansas City Chiefs WR50
Russell Gage – Atlanta Falcons WR53
Gabriel Davis – Buffalo Bills WR55
Jalen Reagor – Philadelphia Eagles WR56
Michael Gallup – Dallas Cowboys WR58

4. Tight End

Fantasy Football Week 12 Start and Sit
Detroit Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson (88) carries the ball under the pressure of Indianapolis Colts defense during the first half of an NFL football game against the Indianapolis Colts in Detroit, Michigan USA, on Sunday, November 1, 2020. (Photo by Amy Lemus/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit

Start

T.J. Hockenson – Detroit Lions
Sully’s Rank TE4

T.J. Hockenson has been solid for fantasy managers at a thin position, averaging nearly 12 points per game while scoring nine or more points in all but one game. Nine points doesn’t sound like a lot, but that is all it takes to be a top-12 TE this season. The Bears have been generous to the tight end this year, the position has scored eight times and has averaged 15.6 fantasy points a game against them. Last time Hockenson faced Chicago, in Week 1 he posted 16.6 fantasy points.

Robert Tonyan – Breen Bay Packers
Sully’s Rank TE9

Robert Tonyan has put up two straight games with over 15 fantasy points, and an upcoming matchup against the Eagles puts him in the top-12 conversation. Philadelphia’s defense has struggled to keep the position in check, allowing six touchdowns and the 12th-most fantasy points (13.4 PPG) this season. The matchup is certainly in his favor in this NFC battle, and Aaron Rodgers likes him. Good enough for me.

Other Starts to Consider
Hayden Hurst – Atlanta Falcons TE8
Kyle Rudolph – Minnesota Vikings TE10
Austin Hooper – Cleveland Browns TE12
Mike Gesicki – Miami Dolphins TE15

Sit

Jimmy Graham – Chicago Bears
Sully’s Rank TE19

Jimmy Graham is the No. 12 fantasy tight end this season, but he’s been tough to trust. The fact Graham is TE12 is all you need to know about the position this season. He’s failed to score nine fantasy points in five of his last six games, and his last two contests have resulted in a combined six targets and 6.2 points. Chicago faces Detroit in Week 13 and they been tough against tight ends. TEs have averaged the seventh-fewest fantasy points against them, teams are too busy running all over Detroit. As a result Jimmy Graham is a sit.

Logan Thomas – Washington Football Team
Sully’s Rank TE21

Thomas has scored over 10 fantasy points in two of his last three games, and he’s scored double digits in four of his last six overall. This week’s matchup against the Steelers makes him a sit however. Pittsburgh has allowed just one touchdown to an opposing tight end, and the position has averaged 8.0 fantasy points per game against them. If you’re looking for a streamer, I would look elsewhere.

Other Sits to Consider
Dalton Schultz – Dallas Cowboys TE16
Jordan Reed – San Francisco 49ers TE18
Jordan Aikins – Houston Texans TE20
Jared Cook – New Orleans Saints TE24

That’s going to do it for today’s episode, thank you for reading Fantasy Football Week 13 Start and Sit.

If you have yet to subscribe to Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast you can do so by searching for it pretty much everywhere podcasts can be found.  A rating and review of the podcast is greatly appreciated.

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I will be back next week with my Week 14 Start and Sits next week.  Good luck in week 13, go get the W, and make your fantasy playoffs! Stay safe and stay healthy Heat Seekers, take care.

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