Week 6 is here and we now have enough of a sample size to take a hard look at the stats and see if they are actually telling us what we think they are.

This is also known as me taking liberties with stats to talk myself into contrarian angles in DFS. These Week 6 hot takes are going to feel like grabbing a hot pan out of the oven, so strap on an oven mitt!

If you want to tell me your opinion on these takes, come join us in our Discord.

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Week 6 Hot Takes
Three Week 6 Hot Takes for the Bold DFS Player 4

The Chiefs Defense is actually not terrible.

This one might be difficult to stomach, but bear with me for a minute. The Chiefs are in last place in the historically not-great AFC West. On top of that, the seemingly horrible defense has given up more points than any other team in football. Let’s try to break down their schedule a bit.

The Chiefs have played, in order, the 6th-tied (CLE), 9th (BAL), 6th-tied (LAC), 17th (22 points on TNF against the Bucs dropped the Eagles some), and 1st (BUF) best offenses in terms of points per game. Clearly playing a suspect defense has helped some of those teams really pump up their scoring numbers, but it has been a pretty rough schedule early on for the Chiefs having to try to slow down the Chargers, Bills, and Ravens.

This week, the Patrick Mahomes led 2-3 Chiefs roll into Washington D.C. to take on the also 2-3 Washington Football Team. WFT has scored 30 plus points only twice this season against the lowly Giants and the Falcons in their two wins. Taylor Heinecke has a decent floor projection-wise, due to his rushing ability, but he has been hit or miss otherwise and could really be pushed to throw more than WFT is comfortable doing against a KC team looking to get right.

My prediction is the Chiefs go up huge early and the Football Team catch a wild beatdown at home. I am actively fading Taylor Heinicke in DFS this week despite his value-y price of $5,800 on DraftKings and middling $7,300 on FanDuel, especially considering ownership projections have him gaining steam as a possible cash game play. The pressure put on opposing offenses when the Chiefs go wild on offense makes life easier on their defense. Heinicke could get to value in garbage time, but I am not counting on this game being a shootout in any way. My hot take is WFT is held to less than 17 points by the “worst defense in the league.”

Week 6 Hot Takes
Chuba has hops

Chuba Hubbard has a huge breakout game against the Vikings

Chuba is starting again with Christian McCaffrey out in Week 6. This take is just as much about the work Chuba is going to get as it is about the Vikings giving up big games to running backs this year at a decent clip. Here is what the generous Vikings defense has given up in 5 games.

Week 1: Joe Mixon went for 127 yards and a touchdown on 29 carries and added 4 catches for 23 yards.

Week 2: The Cardinals rushed for combined 103 yards and a touchdown from Kyler. Chase Edmonds added 5 receptions.

Week 3: The Seahawks’ Chris Carson ran 12 times for 80 yards and a touchdown with 2 catches.

Week 4: The Browns’ dynamic backfield duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt had their way with the Purple Gang. Chubb ran for 100 yards and Hunt had 69 yards and a touchdown.

Week 5: The Lions combo of D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams combined for 108 yards and a touchdown in addition to 8 receptions for 61 yards

Chuba has the advantage of possibly having this Week 6 matchup be his most voluminous yet. Matt Rhule and Joe Brady love to feed their running backs historically, and I think we see Chuba take full advantage this week after getting 65% of the teams snaps and the Panthers releasing 15% snapper Rodney Smith. Chuba may be cash game viable, but I’m going to play many shares in tournaments due to this opportunity as a home underdog as the clear #1 back for one last week. My hot take is Chuba goes for 30 plus DraftKings points.

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Noah Fant is a top 3 fantasy tight end rest of season, starting with a TE1 week against the sad Raiders.

The Broncos offense has been losing wide receivers left and right this year, and Fant has quietly taken advantage coming in at TE11 in PPR scoring. The Raiders have given up big games to the likes of Mike Gesicki (10 catches 86 yards) and the Chargers’ combo of Jared Cook and Donald Parham (6/70/1 and 2/17/1). Fant $4,800 on DraftKings is priced just right to get overlooked in my opinion. My final Week 6 hot take is that Noah Fant laps the entire tight end position in Week 6 with an 8/130 2TD week.

Thank you for reading my Week 6 Hot Takes for the Bold Article.

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