Week 10 Start/Sit
We enter week 10 this week; most of our leagues are in crunch time. Typical leagues will start their playoff schedule in week 14, so you have 4 weeks to make that push to get into the dance.
Week 9 saw 4 teams on bye which certainly made our start and sit selections more difficult. The reward for surviving week 9 is a week 10 schedule that sees 6 teams off this week.
Denver, Houston, Jacksonville, New England, Philadelphia, and Washington are all on bye. There are some key fantasy assets unavailable to you once again. Hopefully we can find some viable candidates to get you through, and bring home another W!
1. Start of the Week
Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens QB3 209.22 Fantasy Points
Lamar Jackson displayed his athleticism for the world to see on Sunday night. He led the Ravens to a victory over previously unbeaten New England.
This week the Ravens MVP candidate gets the winless Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals give up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (21.6) per game. In addition, Cincinnati allows the most yards (435), rushing yards (177.6), and 22nd most passing yards (258.1) per game this season.
Jackson should be able to do whatever he wishes in this one. Last time he was afforded this amount of freedom he posted 33.56 points in week 1 vs Miami. Start him with the utmost confidence.
Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals QB7 170.46 Fantasy Points
I wasn’t sure what to expect out of Kyler Murray going up against one of the top defenses (San Francisco), in week 9. The rookie delivered 23.04 fantasy points raising his average on the season to 18.94 points/game.
In Week 10 the Arizona Cardinals face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa allows the 4th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks (23.4), and they allow 371.6 passing yards per game.
On the flip side, the Bucs allow 78.1 rushing yards a contest which ranks 1st in the NFL this season. Kyler might not use his legs for rushing on Sunday, but he will use that mobility to allow his receivers to get open all afternoon. He is an easy start for me this week.
Jimmy Garoppolo San Francisco 49ers QB20 124.44 Fantasy Points
Listing Jimmy G as a start is a little risky. Last week Jimmy shredded the Arizona defense to the tune of 317 yards and 4 touchdowns. The 28.88 fantasy points were easily his season high.
The Niners look to remain as the only unbeaten team on Monday Night when they host the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle allows the 11th most points to the QB position (20.2) this season. The Seahawks rank 28th in the league against the pass (278.1 yards/game), and 13th against the run (278.1).
I buy into the theory that Garoppolo’s knee is finally nearing 100%. San Francisco prefers to be run heavy and I do expect them to run in this one, but it’s the passing game that I believe they use as a dagger here.
Jared Goff Los Angeles Rams QB17 137.28 Fantasy Points
Perhaps the bye week did Jared Goff some good. My gut tells me if it did it wasn’t enough. Goff leads the Los Angeles Rams across country to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers in week 10.
Since the arrival of Mika Fitzpatrick, the Steelers have become a legit pass defense. They are currently allowing on average 17.7 fantasy points per game to the opposing QB which ranks them in 14th in the NFL. In addition the Steelers rank 3rd in the league in sacks, and we have seen Jared Goff in recent weeks struggle when under pressure. I am staying away from Goff here, as there are just too many better options this week like Philip rivers, Matthew Stafford and Matt Ryan to name a few.
Kirk Cousins Minnesota Vikings QB11 156.08
Entering the week 8 matchup vs the Washington Redskins, Kirk Cousins was on a roll playing at a level one could argue he has never played at before. He was also heading towards a nationally televised primetime game. Entering week 8 Cousins’ all-time record in nationally televised games was 4-12 including losses in all three of his primetime matchups in a Vikings uniform.
The Vikings won in week 8 and Cousins is now 5-12 in those contests. Week 10 Minnesota travels to Dallas to play the Cowboys on Sunday Night. Dallas has a respectable defense and a defense that just held Saquon Barkley to 28 yards rushing, and QB Daniel Jones to 12.80 points. Dallas is 5th best in points allowed vs opposing team’s quarterbacks this season (14.4)
Minnesota will also likely be without WR Adam Thielen for the second consecutive week. When the Cowboys take Stefon Diggs away, the Vikings will be forced to lean on Dalvin Cook and the run game more than even they want to. As a result sit Kirk Cousins here.
Sam Darnold New York Jets, QB33 60.08 points
At some point, the New York Jets have to find a bright spot in a dark season. Sam Darnold threw for 260 yards with a touchdown and interception in an underwhelming performance against the Dolphins on Sunday. He’ll have another favorable matchup with the New York Giants.
Le’Veon Bell had an MRI on his knee Monday. Although his absence would hurt the Jets’ short passing game, Gang Green would have to rely on Darnold to move the ball through the air.
Facing a Giants defense that’s allowed three touchdown passes in consecutive outings, Darnold could break out of a sophomore slump and deliver a fantasy gem.
Baker Mayfield Cleveland Browns QB23 108.02 Fantasy Points
Entering the season I was one of the highest on Baker Mayfield, if not the highest here at RotoHeat. Well let’s just say after week 9 I am legitimately concerned about Mayfield.
He faces the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. The same Bills that are allowing 12.2 fantasy points per game against opposing quarterbacks this season. Cleveland averages 225 passing yards a game and Buffalo allows 184.65 per game. The way that the Browns are being coached combined with the paly of Baker Mayfield this season, I struggle to find anything positive regarding the second year QB here. Mayfield is averaging 14.84 fantasy points over his last two weeks and 13.50 points on the season. I’d be surprised if he hits either of those totals this week vs. the Bills.
3. Running Backs
Devin Singletary Buffalo Bills RB42 67 PPR Fantasy Points
Devin Singletary finally got the work fantasy owners have been waiting for as the running back had 20 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown against the Redskins. The rookie back gets another nice match up against a Browns defense that is allowing the third most rushing yards in the league. It feels like it is only a matter of time before Singletary takes over the lead back role from Frank Gore.
If you started Singletary last week you were happy, and I am banking on that happiness carrying over into Week 10 and beyond.
David Montgomery Chicago Bears RB24 99.90 PPR Fantasy Points
There is very little to get excited about these days when it comes to the Chicago Bears offense. The exception however is rookie RB David Montgomery. Most weeks Monty’s biggest challenge is his head coach and not the opposition’s defense. Last week in Philadelphia, David Montgomery turned 17 touches into 76 yards and 2 touchdowns. His 22.60 PPR fantasy points was his second best performance of the season and the second straight week north of 22 points.
Detroit is a team that you can run on, they rank 27th in rushing defense allowing 135.8 yards per game. There isn’t much working in Chicago these days, let’s hope Matt Nagy realises what is and sticks with it.
Kenyon Drake Arizona Cardinals RB34 83 PPR Fantasy Points
I had Kenyon Drake as a sit last week. He was traded on Monday by Miami and starting on Thursday for Arizona. Seriously what could you really expect in terms of productivity? Apparently the answer is 28.20 PPR fantasy points.
I am not going to be chasing points this week. Drake and the Cardinals match up against the league’s best run defense in Tampa Bay. The Bucs are as bad against the pass as they are the run. The secondary is weak and often exploited. I expect that trend to continue this week. Drake will be ok, but he won’t be a RB that will land in the top 24 in Week 10. As a result he’s a sit.
Ronald Jones Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB37 76.50 PPR Fantasy Points
Bruce Arians announced Ronald Jones as the Buccaneers starting running back this week. I apologize if I am not overly excited. It is nice to see he will get the bulk of the work, but the only interesting thing here is the volume uptick.
Jones is coming off his best game of the season last week in Seattle. 16.20 PPR fantasy points. This week he faces the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona has a very beatable secondary and allowing the second most fantasy points to the WR (44.2) position and the most to the TE position (20.9). Against the RB position they have been a solid defense, allowing 20.4 fantasy points per game. I am not a RoJo fan and in a game that should be high scoring, I see a game script that doesn’t have much use for Jones.
Gus Edwards Baltimore Ravens RB58 39.00 PPR Fantasy Points
Facing the Cincinnati Bengals this Sunday, a team that allows 31.2 points per game to the RB position, I see a scenario that has Gus Edwards being relevant. Edwards chipped in 8.70 PPR fantasy points last week (a season high) against the New England Patriots.
There is little reason to pass the ball here against a team starting a rookie 4th round QB that in all likelihood struggles. I like Edwards to compliment Mark Ingram as well as be the primary carrier down the stretch when the Ravens are grinding out the clock.
Derrick Henry Tennessee Titans RB9 137.80 PPR Fantasy Points
Henry had an odd week last week. A week in which he somehow only saw two first half touches, and then bounced back in the second half and totaled 24.90 PPR Fantasy Points.
Henry faces the Kansas City Chiefs a team that on paper would appear to be a beatable run defense. Since Patrick Mahomes went down in the first half vs Denver in week 7, the Chiefs defense has allowed 95 yards per game on the ground. This is a vastly improved defense and a defense that I see causing problems for Henry and the rest of the Titans offense.
4. Wide Receivers
Christian Kirk Arizona Cardinals WR57 73.40 PPR Fantasy Points
Christian Kirk should feast on a Bucs secondary that has had trouble slowing down most receivers. The Bucs give up not only the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers (45.5), they also give up the most to the slot. Kirk should ball out this week.
Kirk is two weeks removed from his return from injury and is poised to go on a run now that he is healthy.
Jamison Crowder New York Jets WR38 89.90 PPR Fantasy Points
Jamison Crowder is set for back-to-back great weeks as Darnold is likely to once again look his way often against the Giants. Crowder had a great week last week, well a great first half. He had 8 catches on 9 targets for 83 yards and a TD. He wasn’t targeted in the second half for some unknown reason.
The Giants are accommodating to opposing wide receivers this season. They allow 42.1 points per game which is 4th worst in the league. All we need is The Jets to give the man some targets the entire game and you’re golden starting him
Jarvis Landry Cleveland Browns WR29 98.50 PPR Fantasy Points
When your starting quarterback is listed as this week’s bust, you are probably in for a long day. Combine this with the fact that the Buffalo Bills are allowing only 28 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
It should come as no surprise that I am a Jarvis Landry truther, I love the guy. The reality for me is that until they can get this offense going and especially Odell Beckham going, Jarvis is going to suffer.
Juju Smith-Shuster Pittsburgh Steelers WR34 94.90 PPR Fantasy Points
It wasn’t supposed to be this way for Juju in 2019. I started the season making an argument for why I felt that Juju could end up the #1 overall WR this season.
The added complexity of being the team’s top target this season has been magnified by the absence of starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Mason Rudolph simply isn’t the answer for the Steelers and he certainly isn’t the answer for Juju Smith-Shuster owners.
The fact that Juju is staring a match up vs Jalen Ramsey in the face this week makes this call that much easier. Sadly Juju is an obvious sit this week.
Zach Pascal Indianapolis Colts WR54 76.30 PPR Fantasy Points
Zach Pascal is more than a one-hit-wonder after notching five catches for 76 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. It looks like the Colts are going to continue to be without T.Y. Hilton, and Pascal appears to be the biggest beneficiary in his absence. Pascal faces a Dolphins defense that yields 38.3 fantasy points a game to the WR position. Their defense from imposing, and he should be in the WR2 range for Week 10.
Corey Davis Tennessee Titans WR51 77.40 PPR Fantasy Points
There are a lot of Corey Davis supporters out there in the community. Truthfully I was once one of them. The key word there is once. I am no longer waiting for Davis to break out in Tennessee; I am waiting for him to break out of Tennessee.
A healthy Marcus Mariota was to be the answer; a switch to Ryan Tannehill certainly would do it. The reality is Corey Davis what he is. He is a nice depth receiver for the Titans. He is not a WR that you should be starting with any confidence as long as he is stuck in this boring run first and run heavy offense.
Davis is averaging 8.60 PPR fantast points per game. He is WR51 on the season, his average points but him at WR67 behind guys like Darius Slayton, Deebo Samuel, and Mecole Hardman.
Don’t be fooled by perceived good matchup vs the Chiefs. KC is playing much better on the defensive side of the ball recently and Davis is quickly becoming an afterthought in his own offense. Hard pass for me here.
5. Tight End
Hunter Henry Los Angeles Chargers TE9 79.80 PPR Fantasy Points
Henry has been excellent since coming back from a lower leg injury. Since retuning in week 6 he is TE1 averaging 17.45 points per game. Overall, he is TE9 on the season in only 5 games.
The Chargers face the Raiders in week 10 on Thursday night. Oakland has allowed 15.8 fantasy points to opposing TE’s this season (3rd worst in the NFL). This all adds up to a nice outing for HH, start the man with confidence.
Jonnu Smith Tennessee Titans TE24 50.70 PPR Fantasy Points
Delanie Walker has shed his walking boot, but he is not expected to play this week vs. Kansas City. As a result, Smith could have another chance to post solid numbers against the Kansas City Chiefs, who allowed seven receptions, 56 yards and a touchdown to Minnesota Vikings tight ends Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith Jr. in Week 9.
Since quarterback Ryan Tannehill replaced Marcus Mariota under center, Smith has led the team in receiving yards (160). Against a defense that’s surrendered 14 scores through the air, he’s a decent streamer option at a position with scarcity in fantasy production.
I like Smith in this one as I would anticipate that the Titans will need to throw and be much more aggressive on offense if they want to hang with the Chiefs on Sunday.
Gerald Everett Los Angeles Rams TE14 67.70 PPR Fantasy Points
The Pittsburgh Steelers are allowing 12.7 fantasy points on average to the TE position this season (12th worst). That is a stat that should get you excited about Gerald Everett this week. The problem I have with this is Jared Goff. Goff is going to struggle and he is going to feed Cooper Kupp as often as he can.
I see this as a game that involves the running backs in the passing game vs the TE. And as a result Everett will suffer.
Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers, TE12 72.10 PPR Fantasy Points
Another perceived good matchup is the one that Greg Olsen has in front of him this week. The Green Bay Packers allow 14.7 points to the opposing TE, (7th worst).
Since Kyle Allen took over as the starting QB in Carolina, Olsen has delivered one double digit fantasy game. In Week 3 Olsen posted 25.56 PPR fantasy points, in the 5 games since he has totaled 22 PPR fantasy points. Olsen may be the TE12 on the season, but when you peel back the layers of the onion you see that since that his week 3 total inflates his value and production. The 22 points from week 4-9 have him sitting as TE39. He should also be sitting on your bench this week vs the Packers
Irv Smith Jr. Minnesota Vikings TE36 39.70 PPR Fantasy Points
This one is a bit of a homer pick, but hey it’s my article. With Adam Thielen out this week vs the Cowboys, the opportunity is there for both Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith to see an uptick in targets.
After Thielen left last week’s game in KC after 9 snaps, Smith was targeted 6 times vs the 5 targets that Rudy saw. The difference was Rudolph scored a touchdown. Irv Smith is the future in Minnesota and I have a good feeling that the future steps up this week.
Dallas has surrendered the 6th most fantasy points to the TEW position this season (14.9), and if I am the Cowboys I would focus my attention on Stefon Diggs similar to the Chiefs last week. Irv Smith is a sneaky sleeper at the TE position this week.
Tyler Eifert Cincinnati Bengals TE32 27.80 PPR Fantasy Points
Eifert left a good taste in fantasy owners’ mouths before his bye in Week 9, scoring 13.4 fantasy points against the Rams. Yet prior to that game, he averaged less than five fantasy points on the season. Eifert will have a rookie quarterback making his first career start throwing him the ball on Sunday. Baltimore has allowed just one lone touchdown to the TE position this season.
Justin Tucker Baltimore Ravens K4 82.00 Fantasy Points
The Bengals are the fantasy gift that keeps on giving. They are giving up 9.3 points per game to the kicking position on the season which is 3rd worst in the league. Justin Tucker is the best kicker in the league in my opinion this week and is a must start here.
Greg Zuerlein Los Angeles Rams K5 81.00 Fantasy Points
The Pittsburgh Steelers as I mentioned above are a good defense vs the pass. I am envisioning some Rams drives stalling and Sean McVay turning to his typically reliable kicker. Zuerlein is averaging 10.1 points per game and that is a number I see Greg “The Leg” exceeding this week.
Adam Vinatieri Indianapolis Colts K20 57 Fantasy Points
When the Indianapolis Colts can no longer count on their future hall of fame kicker, how can his fantasy owners. Vinatieri can safely be dropped, it’s time to stream your next kicker.
Eddie Pinero Chicago Bears K21 56 Fantasy Points
Pinero was a nice story at the start of the season. He appeared to solve the kicking woes of the previous season in Chicago. Unfortunately for the Bears they have bigger issues with their offense. Chicago won’t score many points and based on how that offense is struggling I doubt there will be a lot of field goal opportunities here either. Drop Pinero and stream a better option in week 10.
Baltimore Ravens DST17 57 Fantasy Points
The Baltimore Ravens defense doesn’t look as dominant in comparison to recent years without C.J. Mosley, Terrell Suggs and Za’Darius Smith in the front seven, but this unit has translated takeaways into points.
Over the last two games, cornerback Marlon Humphrey has returned two fumbles for touchdowns. Fellow cover man Marcus Peters logged a pick-six in his debut with the Ravens against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 7.
This week, the Ravens defense should feast on rookie fourth-rounder Ryan Finley. Expect Finley to make plenty of mistakes against an opportunistic defensive group that doesn’t just stop drives but looks to score as well.
Buffalo Bills DST15 62 Fantasy Points
The Bills are a very good defense. Combine that with a Cleveland Browns opponent that has a struggling offense and viola you have a startable defense. In 8 games this season the Baker Mayfield has been sacked 23 times, thrown 12 interceptions. Start the Bills in week 10.
Carolina Panthers DST4 84 Fantasy Points
Sitting the 4th highest scorning defense is typically not the best strategy. This one to be honest is a gut call. The Panthers in the last tow weeks have posted 3 points and 11 points. The 7 point average over the past two weeks is down from the 10.5 average on the season.
Add to that the Green Bay packers are next up for the Cats, and they are an offense that has to be a little pissed after laying an egg in week 9 in Los Angeles. Devante Adams is back and Aaron Rodgers looks to bounce back to how he was performing in weeks 8 and 9. I am betting he dose.
Minnesota Vikings DST6 72 Fantasy Points
The Minnesota Vikings are still one of the better defensive units in the National Football League. With that being said they are no longer the unit they once were, especially away from US Bank Stadium. Simply put this DST doesn’t travel overly well. They face a Cowboys offense that can beat you thru the air and on the ground. I would look for a better option this week.
Best of luck in week 10 everyone. If you are stuck and need some start sit advice prior to Sunday, hit me up on twitter @RotoHeat Sully.