Wide receiver consistency is one of those topics that I think it is tough for people to truly gauge without the data in front of them. We remember the big weeks that a player puts up, but we forget almost everything else. On top of that, what would be considered “consistent” and what truly makes a player “boom or bust”?

The first thing we have to look at is that not every week is created equal. For example, in two weeks, all it took was 7.5 PPR points to be a WR3. In another it took 13.8. That is a full touchdown difference. Here is what it took to be a WR1-WR3 in 2019.

RankMinMaxAverage
WR116.524.319.8
WR211.417.114.5
WR37.513.810.9
Weeks 1-17

When we look at a WR weekly ranking it is important to note that it is not a fair to gauge simply on weeks as a WR1, WR2 or WR3. For example, in week 1 there were eight wide receivers that topped the 19.8 WR1 average, but fell in as WR2 because it took a 24.3 average to be a WR1. Were those receivers really any less valuable because they scored between 21.7 & 23.5 points?

8Weekly WR1 Weeks

PHILADELPHIA, PA – DECEMBER 23: Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins #10 of the Houston Texans celebrates against the Philadelphia Eagles in the second quarter at Lincoln Financial Field on December 23, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images)

There were 13 players that had 5 or more WR1 weeks with Michael Thomas blowing the field away with 11 himself and 2nd coming in with only 6.

Player#WR1 Weeks#WR1 AVG (19.8 Pts)Difference
Michael Thomas1110-1
Robert Woods65-1
Davante Adams65-1
DeAndre Hopkins65-1
Julio Jones65-1
Kenny Golladay65-1
Allen Robinson55Even
Julian Edelman55Even
Chris Godwin55Even
A.J. Brown55Even
Cooper Kupp55Even
DeVante Parker55Even
Mike Evans54-1

As you can see, about half of the field had a -1 when compared to the WR1 Average. When using the average of the threshold, we find 11 receivers with more weeks above the average than actual WR1 weeks.

Player#WR1 Weeks#WR1 AVG (19.8 Pts)Difference
Amari Cooper45+1
Calvin Ridley34+1
Michael Gallup34+1
D.J. Moore23+1
Terry McLaurin23+1
Alshon Jeffery23+1
Chris Conley23+1
Adam Thielen12+1
DK Metcalf12+1
Tyrell Williams01+1
Brandin Cooks01+1

We also see 10 players, that were not in the tables above, who lose WR1 weeks compared to the average.

Player#WR1 Weeks#WR1 AVG (19.8 Pts)Difference
Deebo Samuel43-1
Stefon Diggs43-1
Dionte Johnson32-1
John Brown32-1
Zach Pascal32-1
Cole Beasley21-1
Mohamed Sanu21-1
Jaron Brown10-1
Allen Lazard10-1
Jakeem Grant10-1
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