Team: North Dakota State University
Position: Quarterback
Height/Weight: 6’3” and 221 lbs
Eligibility: 2021

Trey Lance
MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – AUGUST 31: Quarterback Trey Lance #5 of the North Dakota State Bison runs against the Butler Bulldogs during their game at Target Field on August 31, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Sam Wasson/Getty Images)

The purpose of this series is to provide a set of positives and negatives for devy prospects. I also provide a suggestion of where I would take this player in a start-up devy only draft and potential fantasy impact. For the purpose of this evaluative player article, a combination of film and analytics were used to formulate my opinion. 

Trey Lance – College Stats

Passing Stats

Sponsored By:
YearCompAttComp %YdsTDINT
201919228766.9%2,786280
201811100%1200

*Data collected from espn.com

Rushing Stats

YearAttYdsAvgTD
20191691,1006.514
201888210.32

*Data collected from espn.com

Trey Lance
MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – AUGUST 31: Quarterback Trey Lance #5 of the North Dakota State Bison passes against the Butler Bulldogs during their game at Target Field on August 31, 2019 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Sam Wasson/Getty Images)

Trey Lance – The Positives

When watching Trey Lance, it felt like I was watching a better version of Justin Fields. Lance has the athleticism to extend plays with his legs, but wants to throw the ball. He has the moxie to play the quarterback position at the next level. What I mean is he can stand tall in the pocket, not force throws to his first target, and if needed, use his legs for a big gain. His accuracy was otherworldly in 2019 as evidenced by ZERO interceptions. Yes, it was in the FCS, but that is a remarkable feat. I was impressed with his ability to hit tight throws on the run and had enough velocity when throwing in non-traditional positions. For being a redshirt sophomore, his decision-making to not force ill-advised throws was well beyond his years. I thought the North Dakota State vs. Youngstown State game showcased several attributes to get excited about. First, he displayed his arm strength when he hit a streaking WR in the middle of the field for a 70 yard TD. He led him perfectly, and seemed to effortlessly throw a 45 yard bomb and allowed his WR to do the rest. He used his legs when needed, and when given a lane, he was not afraid to exploit it. Additionally, when going off-script, he allowed the play to develop and kept his head downfield. Even if he does not take a shot, he seems to be looking to make something happen. I love this quality in a young player. Lastly, he has good size that he pairs with his exceptional on-field athleticism. There is a ton to love with this young man and it is evident consistently on tape in 2019.

Trey Lane – The Negatives

After reviewing tape from his 2019 season, it is hard to find a lot of negatives. Obviously, the first thing that I worry about is the level of competition he faces on Saturdays. He clearly is the most dominant player every week in his match ups. Can his rushing floor translate to the NFL? Will his confidence be rocked if he throws back-to-back interceptions? A lot of these concerns will be eased with another dominant season in 2020. At this point in my evaluation process of Trey Lance, there are no other negatives worth reporting. When the season starts and I review his 2020 tape, I will do another profile to see if he continued his ascension, or if the camera caught any concerning traits. 

Projected ADP (Devy Start-up): Right now, I have him at the end of round 1 in SF formats with a likely rise in his ADP throughout the summer months.

Trey Lance – The Dynasty Outlook

At this point, there is a lot of hype around Trey Lance. It is hard to temper my expectations at this time due to the few flaws in his game, and my only real concern is his competition level. He belongs in the same conversation with Trevor Lawrence and Justin Fields, and has high-end QB1 upside for dynasty purposes.  

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Trey Lance - 2020 Devy Profile 1