Next up in our Dynasty Outlook series; Zack Moss 2020 Dynasty Outlook. In Dynasty, there are certain players that tend to hold more uncertainty, or are more divisive than others. The Dynasty Outlook series takes a deeper dive into those players that the RotoHeat community noted as the guys they are most interested in hearing about. Engage with 1,800+ passionate dynasty players and let the RotoHeat content team know what topics YOU want to hear about by visiting our RotoHeat Facebook page.
Zack Moss 2020 Dynasty Outlook
In high school, Zack Moss committed to the University of Miami before decommitting and committing to the University of Utah.
Moss started just 3 games his Freshman year, scoring twice on 84 attempts for 382 yards. He took a big leap into his Sophomore season, rushing for 1,173 yards in 13 games, then for 1,096 yards his Junior year in just 9 games after suffering a season ending injury on his knee. He was back with vengeance his Senior year posting his third consecutive 1,000 yard season finishing with 1,416 yards and earning Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year.
With the 86th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Buffalo Bills selected Zack Moss, RB, Utah.
He came into 2020 with speculation that he may take over for Devin Singletary. Through the first 10 games for the season, Moss is RB44 while missing 3 games due to injury. He’s had his highs and lows, scoring as few as 2.7 fantasy points in Week 10 against a great Cardinals run defense but posting a big 20.1 points against the Patriots in Week 8. Like many thought, he’s become the lead back in touches, though it’s more of a 1A to Singletary’s 1B.
He’s averaging 8.9 fantasy points per game and is very TD dependent this season. He’s not someone who’s going to be a flex option this year barring a Singletary injury.
Zack Moss Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2020
Zack Moss has a real shot at taking over for Singletary in 2021. They currently have a 60/40 share, but it could become a 75/25 share in the 2021 season. He’s proven he can run well and has a nose for the endzone.
The biggest worry for Moss going forward is the Bills offense. They’ve become very pass heavy behind breakout QB Josh Allen. The RB value in Buffalo, no matter who the RB is, will be low for the next few years unless they make designed runs more of a priority.
According to the RotoHeat team, Zack Moss’s ADP is #128 overall and #39 among RBs in PPR formats. His value in picks in both 1QB and SuperFlex is an early 2nd rounder. I love the price tag here since he could be their starter by the end of the year.
In 1QB leagues, players comparable in value to Zack are Ronald Jones, Julian Edelman, James White, Preston Williams, Corey Davis, Daniel Jones and Tyler Higbee. The only player I’m targeting here is Preston Williams. He’s a project still like Moss, but both have great potential. The others I like here are Davis and Higbee, but I’d ask more than just them for Zack. With Fournette in Tampa, it hurts Rojo’s value, but if you’re a believer, then shoot your shot, though Moss has greater potential in my eyes. Edelman and White are guys who only have a couple relevant years left, and Jones may have even less time.
Players with similar value to Moss in SuperFlex leagues are T.Y. Hilton, Austin Hooper, Denzel Mims, Bryan Edwards, DeVante Parker and Laviska Shenault. For those in win now situations, go after Parker. I’m staying away from Hilton, Hooper and Edwards here. Mims and Shenault are interesting trade targets here as all 3 guys have potential to be really good fantasy producers. My order is Shenault, Moss then Mims.