Welcome to the Week 5 Start Sit IDP 2020 from RotoHeat!
We are doing a bit over everything here currently. Whether it is RotoHeat community members asking us some week specific IDP questions or general IDP topics, we answer them all. Let us know on Twitter, Facebook or Discord if YOU have questions you want us to answer! Now let’s get to the questions!
*Disclaimer: Start/Sit results are subject to change do to injury reports and other factors leading up to game time. Any rankings and scoring discussed is based off the RotoHeat IDP Scoring we have discussed.
What do you do with Danielle Hunter?
This is a very complicated question but one worth examining. If you are a team that looks to be contending the next few years, unless you get blown away, I think you have to keep him. Even if he does not play again this year, which looks like a distinct possibility, he should be back next year (with what we know as of this date) and ready to go.
If you are not contending, I would see what you can get for him. He value isn’t as high as it was, but stud defensive ends are hard to find, and a team that is contending, or looks to be next year, may still give you a haul for him. That said, good luck finding someone willing to give up a ton for him.
Neck injuries are historically risky to play with. Hunter turns 26 later this month and should have many years ahead of him. If this turns out to be a lingering issue though, or something he decides to just not risk, your window of production gets severely limited. I wish him the best in a full and speedy recovery and trust him to make the best decision for himself. For fantasy football purposes, it depends on how risk averse you are. I personally would be seeing what I can get for him, and if I can get anything close to his value 3 months ago, I am selling. I just don’t see him having the career we thought he might before this. I hope I am wrong, but neck injuries are just not something to mess around with.
Pick one linebacker: Patrick Queen, Jon Bostic, Micah Kiser, Kenneth Murray, Devin Bush, BJ Goodson, Joe Thomas or Foye Oluokun?
This is a good problem to have. I would go with Kenneth Murray for this week. Washington is giving up loads of fantasy points to opposing linebackers, and Murray has had a decent week each week so far this year (6.00, 9.00, 6.50 and 8.00), even when the matchups haven’t been great. A nice floor, with high upside and good snap percentages (91%, 93%, 88%, 97%), give me Murray this week. That said, if you started Kiser, Bush, Queen or Bostic, I wouldn’t have a problem with it. Many of these guys should have nice weeks.
Pick two: Ed Oliver, Kerry Hyder, Derrick Brown and Leonard Williams?
Kerry Hyder and Leonard Williams are my picks for this one. Ed Oliver has not been fantasy relevant this year, so excluding him is easy for me. Derrick Brown has had a nice start to the year, but the Falcons are not giving up a lot of points to defensive tackles this year; fourth fewest actually. Hyder has been giving you a nice floor each week (9.00, 9.00, 7.50 and 5.00 so far this year), and Miami has been friendly to defensive ends so far this year. Williams gets the Dallas Cowboys offensive line mess, so he is an easy “in” for me.
Pick one edge: Matt Judon or Derek Barnett?
This is an interesting one. Judon has had one ok week (6.00), two bad (0.50 and 2.00) and one great (16.00), while playing in high 50s and low 60s for percentages of snaps. Barnett on the other hand has played in three weeks, with totals of 2.00, 16.00 and 4.50 in those weeks, with snap shares at 48%, 53% and 59%. Neither are having a great season or playing a ton. For this one I will go with Judon, as he has a very nice match-up against a bad Bengals line. Barnett plays Pittsburgh this week, who is middle of the road in terms of allowing scoring to defensive ends. I don’t think either are great plays, but if you have to pick one, go with Judon.
Pick one: Jeremy Chinn or Chuck Clark?
Both players are slightly over 30 points for the year and have been seeing a lot of playing time. Given that, I am going to the better match-up and taking Chinn. The Falcons are giving up the second most fantasy points to opposing safeties this year, while the Bengals are giving up the 6th fewest. Even with Clark playing a hybrid safety/linebacker role, I am going with Chinn, as the Bengals don’t give up many to opposing linebackers (7th fewest). I like both players a lot but give me Chinn this week.
Which defensive backs do you not see holding their current positional value/season standings going forward?
When looking at questions like this, I try to look at current standings compared to how they got there. Someone like Pierre Desir (CB 3 and DB 5), has games of 5.00, 8.00, 1.50 and 25.50 points. To me, Week 4 represents a clear outlier; he has 2 INT, 1 TD, 2 PD, 7 solos and 1 assist. With regard to his situation, he is splitting time (and thus fantasy points) with Blessuan Austin and Brian Poole, and was only forced into more playing when Austin got hurt Week 4. To me, Desir is a clear example of what to look for, in terms of players who won’t hold their value. Someone like the aforementioned Brian Poole however has a better chance to maintain at or near his value (CB 2 and DB 4). He is getting consistent playing time (77% – 99% of snaps each week so far) and producing (15.50, 10.00, 5.00 and 10.00 points) mainly through tackles (23 solo, 1 assist, and 1 TFL). Consistently getting playing time and producing through tackles is what I look for in terms of DBs. This year is different than others (no kidding, it is 2020 and it has been a mess)
Others that fit the “hot start unlikely to continue” list for me for defensive backs are Jaire Alexander (DB 10, 21.50 in one game), Shaquill Griffin (DB 16, 17 points in one game) and Janoris Jenkins (DB 20, 20.50 in one game). Basically, these are CBs with huge games that have skyrocketed them up the charts because we have only had a few weeks. Unless the supplement these hugs weeks with a good base, or just have an outlier season, they won’t maintain this level of value. A safety like John Johnson III who has had weeks of 3.50, 10,.00, 13.00 and 11.00 is more likely to maintain or increase in value without those huge fluctuations.
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