Welcome to the Week 12 Start Sit IDP 2020 from RotoHeat!
Whether it is RotoHeat community members asking us some week specific IDP questions or questions on general IDP topics, we answer them all. Let us know on Twitter, Facebook or Discord if YOU have questions you want us to answer! Now let’s get to the questions!
*Disclaimer: Start/Sit results are subject to change do to injury reports and other factors leading up to game time. Any rankings and scoring discussed is based off the RotoHeat IDP Scoring we have discussed.
Start one: Chris Jones or Justin Houston
Houston is coming off a nice game last week but is very hit and miss this year, with half his games this year netting fantasy owners 3 or fewer points; he is also getting a low 60s snap share. The Titans, the Colts’ Week 12 opponent, allow the 15th fewest points to opposing defensive ends. On top of that, All-Pro defensive tackle DeForest Buckner is out for the Colts, which hurts Houston.
Jones has been a disappointment for fantasy owners this year, with 6 out of 9 games giving you 4.50 or fewer points. He does have a mid 70s snap share, but Tampa Bay is a bad matchup, with the 9th fewest points allowed to opposing defensive ends. That said, starting Tampa Bay center AQ Shipley is going on injured reserve and unfortunately likely done for his career. Starting guard Ali Marpet and starting tackle Donovan Smith are both uncertain to play. With all of that, give me Jones this week.
Start one: Stephon Tuitt or Sheldon Richardson
In what may be a cop out answer, I am taking Sheldon without much consideration. Tuitt has a very nice match-up and if I knew that game was going to happen, I would pick him. He is getting the playing time, Baltimore is a great matchup and he destroyed them in their Week 8 meeting. The problem is this game is currently now scheduled for Tuesday, and with more issues Baltimore may not be able to field a team; with all the concerns around that game right now, I am taking the player we know is going on.
Richardson also has a good matchup (Jacksonville gives up the 12th most points to opposing defensive tackles) and is getting a nice snap share for the season for a defensive tackle at 72%. If we find out the Baltimore/Pittsburgh game is for sure happening I play Tuitt, but with the uncertainty we have, give me Richardson.
Start one: Carl Lawson or Olivier Vernon
Lawson faces the Giants, who give up the 8th most points to opposing defensive ends; on average for the season he is seeing a snap share in the mid 60s. Vernon faces Jacksonville, who give up the 3rd fewest points to opposing defensive ends; for the season his snap share is in the mid 80s. In his past three games Vernon has 15.50, .50 and 28.50 points. This has been par for the course this year for him, as he has 3 games at 11.00 or above, and all of the rest are 3.00 and below.
To be honest, I don’t like either option that much, but if I had to pick one it would be Vernon. He is seeing a higher snap share and has has more, better games as of late compared to Lawson. Lawson’s match-up is better, but has been lackluster much of the year, even more so than Vernon.
Start one: Ashtyn Davis or Kyle Dugger
The Patriots face the Cardinals, who give up the 10th most points to opposing safeties, and the Jets face Dolphins who give up the 9th fewest points to opposing safeties. Davis has been getting nearly a 100% snap share for the past few weeks, while Dugger was at 9%, 85% and 78% the past three weeks. It is worth noting that while Dugger is questionable to play, he did practice on Friday.
With these two, I am playing Dugger. He is getting a lower snap share, but the match-up is much better and with how Arizona plays I think he sees the field a lot. I don’t mind Davis as a play this week with the playing time he is getting and linebacker issues ahead of him, but I like Dugger more this week.
Start one: Nick Kwiatkoski or Joe Schobert
Schobert gets a revenge game this week, as the Jaguars face the Browns. A starter all year, he averages 8.4 points/game, a snap share in the high 90s and the Browns give up the 9th most points to opposing linebackers. Kwiatkoski has played in 8 games this year, but has played more in the past 4 games for the Raiders. During those he is averaging almost 92% of defensive snaps and 10 points a game. The Raiders face the Falcons, who give up the 5th fewest points to opposing linebackers.
While Kwiatkoski has clearly played more and better as of late, I am sticking with Schobert. He has the better matchup and has we all know the Browns love to run. The Raiders game has more of a chance of being a blowout, within which I like Kwiatkoski less. I think he is a fine play this week if you need to start him, but of these two give me Joe.
Start one: Darius Leonard or Fred Warner
Warner is out LB 23 for the year, but has been inconsistent in scoring week to week; he has 5 games in double digits and 4 games at 6.50 or below, in 10 games. His snap share is at 87% for the year. Leonard averages a 97% snap in the 7 games he has finished. He left one game early and missed two games. Despite that, he is our LB 25 on the year. Both have similar matchups; Titans face the Colts give up the 16th most points to opposing linebackers, while the 49ers face the Rams, who give up the 12th most points to opposing linebackers.
I like both plays, but Leonard is the better option to me. He averages 10.75 points/game (including the one he left early), while Warner averages 9.00. Leonard has been more consistent since coming back from injury (in the four games since then he averages 14 points/game).
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