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Rashaad Penny 2020 Dynasty Outlook

Rashaad Penny
LARAMIE, WY – DECEMBER 03: Rashaad Penny (20) of the San Diego State Aztecs stretches for a touchdown against the Wyoming Cowboys during the second half of San Diego State’s 27-24 win on Saturday, December 3, 2016. The Wyoming Cowboys hosted the San Diego State Aztecs in the Mountain West championship game. (Photo by AAron Ontiveroz/The Denver Post via Getty Images)

Rashaad Penny played 4 years at San Diego State where he started for 2 years. His junior year campaign he rushed for just over 1,000 yards (1,005) on 135 attempts and 11 TDs. He added 224 yards on 15 receptions and 3 TDs through the air. His 7.4 YPC were impressive, but he topped it his senior year.

Penny’s 2,248 rushing yards during his senior season was good enough to be ranked #1 in all of college football, while his 7.8 YPC ranked 6th in the nation and 23 TDs placed him 2nd. His receiving stats took a dip as he caught 19 balls for 135 yards and 2 TDs. He showed another skill set by adding 3 TDs on returns (8 total return TDs in his college career). The awards came flowing in as he was named First Team All-MWC, MWC Offensive Player of the Year, and a Consensus All-American. He ended up finishing 5th in the Heisman Trophy voting. This was a very impressive resume coming into the 2018 NFL Draft.

Rashaad Penny was seen as a versatile RB by many teams around the NFL and was coveted by most. One NFC regional scout had high praise for him saying, “You know exactly who he is when you watch the tape. I don’t think there are going to be any surprises when you get him into our league because you know he is going to make guys miss and he’s going to run hard every snap.”

With the 27th pick in the 2018 NFL draft, the Seattle Seahawks selected Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State.

In his rookie year, Penny saw the most offensive snaps in Week 1 with 44%, but then it was downhill from there. He failed to record an offensive snap in 4 games. He did pop off for 108 yards on 12 carries and a TD against the Rams in Week 10, but failed to get double digit carries for the rest of the year. Showing potential, he was confident to prove himself in his sophomore season.

Again in 2019, he was underutilized for a majority of the season; it wasn’t until a season ending injury to Chris Carson that he got his shot. In week 12 against the Eagles, Rashaad Penny was named the starter and put up 129 yards on 14 carries while adding a TD. He posted big numbers again in week 13 against the Vikings with 74 yards on 15 carries and a TD, while adding 4 catches for 33 yards and another TD through the air. His fantasy value was skyrocketing heading into week 14 until he tore his ACL 3 minutes into the game, ending his season. Even in his 2 games as the starter, Penny was only part of 46% and 47% of offensive snaps.

It’s a shame to see what he is capable of, but how he’s been so underutilized by the Seahawks. Many 1st round picks see over 50% of snaps in their first game, and he hasn’t seen that many in his first 2 years in the league. What will his dynasty outlook be going forward? Will the Seahawks take advantage of the stud they have in Penny or will they waste his talent?

Rashaad Penny
PITTSBURGH, PA – SEPTEMBER 15: Rashaad Penny #20 of the Seattle Seahawks rushes for a 37-yard touchdown in the third quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers on September 15, 2019 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

Rashaad Penny Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2020

In 2020, look for Penny to potentially get 12-15 touches a game. He is definitely undervalued and has serious upside. I believe he has the talent to take over for Chris Carson by 2021 if given the opportunity. A lot depends on how he heals from the ACL tear. You always have to be aware of injuries from players who have struggled with them over the course of their playing career. Fortunately, this is his first major injury, so let’s hope that’s where it ends.

Looking far into the future, Rashaad Penny is a first round talent and has proved it when given the chance. He is a sleeper and a definite dynasty stash player. If another injury occurred to Carson, he would undoubtedly take over as the lead back. We just have to wait and see how and if the Seahawks utilize him.

Value

Rashaad Penny’s ADP is #168 overall and #52 among RBs in PPR formats. In 1QB leagues and SuperFlex leagues he is valued as a mid-range second round pick. I think it is worth the price tag here, as he is a low risk, high reward kind of player.

When it comes to comparable player values, those in 1QB leagues will look to buy/sell for Anthony Miller, Ronald Jones II, Alexander Mattison, Julian Edleman, Marvin Jones, Sam Darnold or Robby Anderson. If I’m selling him, I like what I see in Miller and Jones II a lot, with Jones being another possibility if you need WR depth.

For SuperFlex players, the comparisons are similar in Ronald Jones II, Alexander Mattison and Robby Anderson. Some new faces include: Preston Williams, Sterling Shepard, Irv Smith Jr., O.J. Howard and Jarrett Stidham. Those first two names have just as much, if not more potential than Rashaad Penny.

The former first round pick was expected to have higher value by now, but we can only hope he has a breakout season here soon. With his talent, it’s definitely possible.

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