He is coming off of a season in which he only started 12 games, but in every season in which he has started 15 or more games, he has had at least 7 rushing touchdowns. That is why this is my favorite Lamar Jackson prop bet heading into the 2022 NFL season.
Over on FanDuel, the prop is set at 5.5 rushing TDs and that is lower than all the other sites.
Lamar Jackson Prop Bet: Lines on Other Popular Sportsbooks
| Site | Line | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 5.5 | -112 | -112 |
| BetMGM | 6.5 | -115 | -115 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 | +100 | -130 |
| PointsBet | 5.5 | -120 | -110 |
| PrizePicks | – | – | – |
If Lamar remains healthy like he did in years 2 & 3 in the league, I think 5.5 is almost a smash for him. This is only bolstered by the fact that J.K. Dobbins may not be ready for the beginning of the year.
Take a look at how a $50 bet would payoff on each site if you bet the over or the under.
Lamar Jackson Prop Bet: Profits
| Site | Over | Over Profit | Under | Under Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | $94.64 | $44.64 | $94.64 | $44.64 |
| BetMGM | $93.48 | $43.48 | $93.48 | $43.48 |
| DraftKings | $100 | $50 | $88.46 | $38.46 |
| PointsBet | $91.70 | $41.70 | $95.50 | $45.50 |
If you are confident that Lamar Jackson gets back to the 7 rushing TDs he had in each of the 2nd and 3rd seasons, you can make the even bet on DraftKings and double your money. I myself like to take the 5.5 to give me a little bit of leeway in case he misses a few games.
Disclaimer: Lines, Odds, Props can change, so always make sure to shop around multiple sportsbooks.
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Rick is a huge MLB & NFL fan and enjoys playing DFS & Dynasty more than anything else. He identifies as a huge Cubs & Bears fan but loves the sport first and foremost. You will not convince him that anybody but Mike Trout is the best player in baseball, though his favorite player is Javier Baez.
