Next up in our “Dynasty Outlook” series is the Jonathan Taylor 2021 Dynasty Outlook. In Dynasty, there are certain players that tend to hold more uncertainty, or are more divisive, than others. The Dynasty Outlook series takes a deeper dive into the players that the RotoHeat community are most interested in hearing about. Engage with 1,900+ passionate dynasty players and let the RotoHeat content team know what topics YOU want to hear about by visiting our RotoHeat Facebook page.

Jonathan Taylor 2021 Dynasty Outlook

Jonathan Taylor
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – DECEMBER 07: Jonathan Taylor #23 of the Wisconsin Badgers runs the ball in the Big Ten Championship game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Lucas Oil Stadium on December 07, 2019 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

Jonathan Taylor had an amazing 3 years as a Wisconsin Badger, racking up all kinds of awards. He made the First-Team All-Big Ten all 3 years, won the Doak Walker Award, which is the top college RB in the nation, First-team All-American, and Big 10 RB of the Year his final 2 years. He also won Big 10 Freshman of the Year after he became the all-time freshman season rushing record leader. He finished his 3 years with 6,174 yards and 50 TDs on 926 attempts while adding 42 receptions for 407 yards and 5 TDs.

With the 41st pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the Indianapolis Colts selected Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin.

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Taylor was highly sought after in fantasy rookie drafts last season, but Clyde Edwards-Helaire was seen as more valuable when he was drafted at the end of the 1st round by the Kansas City Chiefs. From a talent aspect, Taylor was a much better player, and sitting behind Marlon Mack to start the season hurt his value in 2020. Unfortunately, Mack ruptured his achilles in the beginning of week 1, but that helped JT’s value jump quickly. Looking back, JT is the best RB in the 2020 class after season 1.

Jonathan Taylor finished as the RB6 in PPR formats, as he finished with 252.8 fantasy points. He ended with 1,169 yards rushing and 11 TDs while catching 36 of 39 targets for 299 yards and 1 additional TD. He had a bit of a fumbling problem in college, but only fumbled the ball once in his rookie season. He put those accusations to rest, which bodes well for him remaining on the field and being the true three-down back in Indianapolis.

His sophomore season will be full of top 5 RB expectations. Who the Colts get at QB will play a small role in JT’s 2021 outlook. He’s got one of the best O-Lines in the game and with that, he’ll be pushing to lead the league in rushing. He doesn’t have much receiving upside with Nyheim Hines in the backfield with him. Fortunately, he has the “2020 Derrick Henry” upside to him in 2021.

Jonathan Taylor
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – JANUARY 03: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs for a touchdown during the fourth quarter of the game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium on January 03, 2021 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images)

Jonathan Taylor’s Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2021

Jonathan Taylor has the most promising future of all young RBs. He’ll be a top 3 fantasy RB asset until his rookie contract is up with the possibility of it extending further than that. Like I said before, JT doesn’t have the best shot at getting fantasy production catching balls out of the backfield, but he has the upside that Derrick Henry has provided for the past couple years. He will be a RB that many will be dying to get their hands on.

On the other side of things, we need to be realistic on his usage. He has a lot of tread on his tires from college, and if he gets overused by the Colts, we’re bound to see injuries begin to pile up. This is the only concern I have with him going forward, but Hines will probably help minimize the possibility of them happening. If he does suffer a serious injury in the future, you may be able to trade for him for a considerable discount, so keep your eye out for that.

Jonathan Taylor
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – DECEMBER 13: Running back Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts scores on a 3-yard touchdown run against outside linebacker Cory Littleton #42 and strong safety Johnathan Abram #24 of the Las Vegas Raiders in the second half of their game at Allegiant Stadium on December 13, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Colts defeated the Raiders 44-27. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

Value

According to the RotoHeat team, Jonathan Taylor’s ADP is #19 overall and #12 among RBs in 1QB PPR formats. His ADP in SuperFlex formats is #27 overall and #10 among RBs. It is important to note that these are the 2020 rankings, not 2021, so the team should have him much higher now. I imagine he’s a top 5 RB option and around top 10 overall. His value in picks in both 1QB is 2 top 5 draft picks and SuperFlex is a top 5 pick and a late 1st rounder.

In 1QB leagues, players comparable in value to Jonathan are Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, Davante Adams, DK Metcalf, Tyreek Hill and Dalvin Cook. Here it comes down to whether you have a WR or RB need. If you have a WR need, I’d prefer Adams and Metcalf over Taylor, while Hill would be less desired. Tyreek is 26 years old and once he loses his speed, he won’t be as productive, or if Mahomes gets injured, his value would drop. The only RB I’m taking over JT is CMC. He’s built different and will last a long time in this league. Kamara and Cook only have a couple productive years left while JT is just getting started.

Players with similar value to Taylor in SuperFlex leagues are also Cook, McCaffrey, Hill and Metcalf. Some others would be Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray. I’m definitely trading JT for Mahomes here. Lamar can be hit or miss and isn’t a great passer, so he’s someone I’ve never bought into his value in fantasy. I’d personally rather have Taylor than Jackson. Murray is the in-between for me, but with his passing and running ability, he’s a better fantasy option than JT.


Thank you for reading the Jonathan Taylor 2021 Dynasty Outlook. For more rankings for the RotoHeat team visit Dynasty Rankings (2020).

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