Fantasy Football Week 11 Start and Sit
Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 112 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast, I am your host, I am Rob Sullivan. Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.
Week 11 start and sit recommendations Different week same drill, 2 starts and 2 sits at each position and as always we fire it up with the Quarterbacks.
Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers
Sully’s Rank QB4
After missing most of last week while on the COVID-19 list, Roethlisberger threw four touchdowns and scored a season-high 29.32 fantasy points against the Bengals. He’s now scored 25-plus points in two straight games, and this week’s game in Jacksonville is a beauty of a matchup. The Jags defense has allowed a quarterback to score 24-plus points six different times this season. On Sunday Ben makes it 7.
Jameis Winston – New Orleans Saints
Sully’s Rank QB12
Dust off those Jameis Winston shares Heat Seekers! Winston is in line to get his first start of the season, as Drew Brees is dealing with multiple injuries. Winston the famous 30/30 club member was the fifth-best quarterback in fantasy last season, Winston is in the starting conversation when the Saints host the Falcons. Their defense has allowed an average of 325 passing yards and the second-most points to quarterbacks (26.3 PPG) while on the road. This game should be a high-scoring affair, with an over/under of 51. Start Jameis Winston.
Ryan Tannehill – Tennessee Titans
Sully’s Rank QB16
As a Ryan Tannehill manager in multiple leagues I can tell you that his numbers have taken a nosedive in recent weeks. He’s failed to hit the 18-point mark in each of his last four games. Week 11 against Baltimore is not what his managers need. Their defense has allowed an average of fewer than 18 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. You need to look for an alternative to Ryan Tannehill this week.
Philip Rivers – Indianapolis Colts
Sully’s Rank QB19
My BFF Philip Rivers has scored 16-plus fantasy points in three of his last four games, including two games with more than 20. Is it possible that I was right all along here? Not Sully it’s not. The Packers have been tough against opposing QBs allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points. Teams are too busy running all over the Packers is a Kiely reason. Green Bay’s defense has held Matthew Stafford, Tom Brady, and Matt Ryan to fewer than 17 fantasy points in 2020. Sit old man Rivers and if need be, feel free to drop him.
To start the Bears own the Vikings. In addition, their defense has surrendered just 10 touchdown passes, and the fourth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. Drew Brees his the only QB to have scored more than 16.9 points against them in 2020. Sit Kirk Cousins, and man if the Bears only had an offense.
2. Running Backs
D’Andre Swift – Detroit Lions
Sully’s Rank RB8
The Lions finally gave Swift a featured role last week, he played 43 snaps, had 21 touches, and a 47 percent share in a win over the Football Team. If the Lions are smart, which sadly we know they are not, this offense will run through Swift. The Panthers have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs this season. Six different runners have produced more than 22 points against them. Swift is a slam dunk this week. Don’t screw me Matt Patricia.
Mike Davis – Carolina Panthers
Sully’s Rank RB11
Staying in this game I am also starting Mike Davis. Davis failed to get the job done last week for his fantasy managers, but here’s the good news … he still led the Panthers backfield in snaps and saw a 31 percent touch share while missing a few plays with a minor thumb injury. That volume should continue in the absence of Christian McCaffrey, who will miss another game with a shoulder ailment. Need more encouragement? The Lions have allowed the most points to running backs this season.
Ronald Jones –Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sully’s Rank RB25
Oh the RotoHeat hate for Ronald Jones continues. RoJo went off last week in Carolina, scoring 24.8 fantasy points. It is important to note that 64 percent of those points came on a 98-yard touchdown run. Jones had also drastically out-snapped by Leonard Fournette, the previous two games. This backfield is tough to predict, making it hard to trust either back, and the Rams have allowed five touchdowns and the seventh-fewest fantasy points to runners. Just say no to Rojo.
Melvin Gordon – Denver Broncos
Sully’s Rank RB28
Gordon’s fantasy managers got some good news last week; he dominated Phillip Lindsay in snaps and touches. The bad news is that Melvin Gordon stinks. He has failed to score more than 12 points in 5 of his last 6 starts. Game script could be a problem against the Dolphins. Drew Lock has been terrible and there is also a chance he doesn’t play. I will be doing my best to avoid Gordon and all members of the Broncos this week.
3. Wide Receiver
Diontae Johnson – Pittsburgh Steelers
Sully’s Rank WR11
Diontae Johnson went berserk last week. He hauled in catching six passes for 116 yards and one touchdown. His production continues to be solid (when he’s healthy), and D.J. should remain in all fantasy lineups when the Steelers travel to Jacksonville. Their defense has struggled against receivers lined up on the outside (seven have put up 14-plus fantasy points against them in 2020). I’d start Johnson, Chase Claypool, and JuJu Smith-Schuster this week. After all there is a reason that I have Ben ranked at QB4 this week!
Amari Cooper – Dallas Cowboys
Sully’s Rank WR20
Amari Cooper’s numbers haven’t been all that good since the Cowboys lost Dak Prescott; Cooper was WR8 with Dak and has been WR39 without. The expected return of Andy Dalton and a matchup versus my Minnesota Vikings makes him a relevant option this week. The Vikings have struggled against receivers, as the position has put up the sixth-most fantasy points against them. Game script could be in Cooper’s favor this week as well, so I’m rolling with him as a WR2 this week.
Jerry Jeudy – Denver Broncos
Sully’s Rank WR31
Jerry Jeudy is seeing plenty of targets in recently, that’s the good news. The bad news is Drew Lock has anything but accurate, and the Broncos might have to start Brett Rypien because Lock has injured ribs. Jeudy is in tough regardless of QB this week. The Dolphins and cornerback Xavien Howard are tough. Miami has allowed just four touchdowns to receivers, and it’s held down DeAndre Hopkins, Robert Woods, and Tyler Lockett. Week 11 is not a week for Jerry Jeudy.
T.Y. Hilton – Indianapolis Colts
Sully’s Rank WR57
This one is rather obvious in my opinion. The days of T.Y. Hilton being a relevant fantasy option are no more. He’s fallen behind Michael Pittman Jr. in the pecking order among Colts wideouts, and his longest catch (28 yards) shows that he’s not the field stretcher he was in the past. Hilton also has a tough matchup this week, as the Packers should get cornerbacks Jaire Alexander and Kevin King back from injuries. For now, Pittman is the Colts wideout to roster (and start).
4. Tight End
Hayden Hurst – Atlanta Falcons
Sully’s Rank TE3
This one should make my pal Jacob Wallace happy. JayWall and I have a bet this season that Hurst won’t be a top10 TE. He has no problem updating me on his standings each week. He is TE7 entering Week 11. Hurst has scored 10-plus points in each of his last four games. He faces a Saints defense that’s struggled against tight ends. The position has put up an average of nearly 15 fantasy points per game, and six players have scored 10-plus points. Fire him up, but just know I am hoping he sucks.
Dallas Goedert – Philadelphia Eagles
Sully’s Rank TE6
Plain and simply Dallas Goedert was a disappointment in his first game after the Eagles bye week. What I like despite the poor production, he was targeted six times and ran more routes than Richard Rodgers. I’m going to continue to lean on him this week. The Eagles face a Browns defense that’s been generous to tight ends. They’ve given up 10-plus fantasy points to the position six times, including 10.1 points to Pharaoh Brown a week ago. Keep the faith in Goedert this week.
Jonnu Smith – Tennessee Titans
Sully’s Rank TE14
Jonnu Smith was a TE that I rank in the top-12 this preseason and most thought I was nuts. I am, but hey Jonnu is currently TE4, go figure. Smith has scored a touchdown in two straight games and is tough to sit, at a position where two feet and a heartbeat are the usual requirements. Temper all expectations when the Titans visit Baltimore. Jonnu has seen just eight targets in his last two games, and one of his touchdowns came on a run. That won’t happen often. The Ravens haven’t allowed more than 14.8 points to a tight end, and just four have put up more than 10.3 points. Smith is a great season play but he’s a fade in Week 11.
Tyler Higbee – Los Angeles Rams
Sully’s Rank TE15
Higbee is coming off his best fantasy performance since Week 2, and he scored a modest nine points in a win over the Seahawks. I’m sitting him this week. He’s averaged 4.3 targets over his last six games as the Rams have gone to more of a run-based offense. L.A. is 24th in the league in pass percentage. The Bucs defense hasn’t been great against tight ends, but Higbee’s usage makes him a risk.
That’s going to do it for today’s episode, thank you for reading Fantasy Football Week 11 Start and Sit.
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I will be back next week with my Week 12 Start and Sits. Until then, good luck in week 11, stay safe and stay healthy Heat Seekers.