Next up in our Dynasty Outlook series; D.K. Metcalf 2020 Dynasty Outlook .In Dynasty, there are certain players that tend to hold more uncertainty, or are more divisive than others. The Dynasty Outlook series takes a deeper dive into those players that the RotoHeat community noted as the guys they are most interested in hearing about. Engage with 1,500+ passionate dynasty players and let the RotoHeat content team know what topics YOU want to hear about by visiting our RotoHeat Facebook page.
DK Metcalf 2020 Dynasty Outlook
DeKaylin Zecharius “DK” Metcalf was selected by the Seattle Seahawks in the second round (64th overall) of the 2019 NFL Draft–the ninth of 28 wide receivers. Seattle struck a deal with the Patriots that sent a third-round pick (No. 77) and a fourth-round pick (No. 118) to jump back into the second round to select Metcalf.
Prior to joining the Seahawks, Metcalf spent parts of three seasons at Ole Miss. Metcalf struggled to stay healthy and remain on the field in college, which is one reason why he slid down the board during the 2019 NFL Draft.
As a freshman at Ole Miss in 2016, Metcalf appeared in the first two games of the season before suffering a foot injury which ended his season. He was granted a redshirt following his injury. He had two receptions for 13 yards with both of the receptions going for touchdowns. In 2017, he had 39 receptions for 646 yards and seven touchdowns. During the 2018 season, Metcalf had 26 receptions for 569 yards before sustaining a season-ending neck injury against Arkansas. After his 2018 season, Metcalf declared for the draft, forgoing his last two years of college football. He finished his college career with 67 receptions for 1,228 yards and 14 touchdowns.
Another reason why Metcalf may have slid down the board on draft day was his NFL Scouting Combine showing. He started off the combine in dominating fashion. Metcalf ran a 4.33 40-yard dash. Men his size are not supposed to run that fast. Metcalf measured in at 6’3, 228 pounds. He had a 40.5-inch vertical and did 27 bench press reps. His vertical was the 3rd best for the WRs and his bench press was the best.
By the end of the combine, Metcalf showed he was human after all with bottom-tier numbers in agility exercises like the three-cone drill (7.38 seconds) and 20-yard shuttle (4.50 seconds). He left the combine as a big, fast WR with limited agility and a limited route tree in the minds of many.
In his rookie season, Metcalf finished with 58 receptions on 100 targets for 900 yards and 7 touchdowns. He was WR33 with 187.1 PPR points. DK was the third highest scoring rookie WR in 2019 behind A.J. Brown (217.1) and Deebo Samuel (189.1). Metcalf also finished the season as one of only 20 rookie receivers in NFL history 22 years old or younger to complete a season with 900 receiving yards and seven or more touchdowns.
Metcalf took his game to the next level in the Seahawks Wild Card win against the Eagles where he snagged seven catches for 160 receiving yards and a TD while also setting a postseason single-game record for a rookie.
As we approach his sophomore season, Metcalf has only scratched the surface of his full potential at the receiver position. The Seahawks have plans to move DK all around in the offense in 2020 looking to maximize his speed. As a result, look for Metcalf to work out of the slot at times and move all over the formation, thus creating even more match-up issues for opposing defenses in 2020.
Playing with one of the best quarterbacks in the game in Russell Wilson is a boost for all Seahawks pass catchers, and Metcalf will certainly benefit from Wilson even more in year two. The Seahawks will remain a run first offense in 2020, but when the time comes to go to the air, Metcalf and Tyler Lockett will remain the top two targets.
In 2019, Metcalf saw 19.3% of Wilson’s pass attempts. In 2020, I would expect that number to grow closer to 25%. 25% of Wilson’s 2019 volume equates to 130 targets.
D.K. Metcalf will continue to develop in 2020 and should find himself finishing the season as a top 24 WR.
DK Metcalf Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2020
When we enter 2021, D.K. Metcalf will be 23 years old. He will remain a key component of the Seahawks attack and will supplant Tyler Lockett as the top WR in Seattle. Metcalf has a top 12 fantasy wide receiver ceiling
Entering the 2019 season, Metcalf had a start-up ADP of #63, and a rookie ADP of 1.05. Entering the 2020 season, his ADP is up to #37 and he is listed at WR16.
I currently have Metcalf ranked 36th and as my WR19 in 1QB PPR rankings. The RotoHeat consensus rankings have Metcalf ranked 39th in 1QB and 60th in Super-flex.