During this 8-part divisional series, I utilize the ADP from the RedZone 96 league startup drafts to determine 2 guys, I am buying, 2 I’m selling, and my flyer off each team.  Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP.

Part 7: NFC South

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METAIRIE, LA. – MAY 24: New Orleans Saints wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith (10) participates in drills during New Orleans Saints OTAs on May 24, 2018 at the Ochsner Sports Performance Center in New Orleans, LA. (Photo by Stephen Lew/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

New Orleans Saints

Two players, I am buying;

Sponsored By:

Cameron Meredith – Overall ADP 112 WR 52

Two seasons ago, Willie Snead put up a 72/895/4 line with the Saints as their WR2.  Snead is off to Baltimore and Meredith is brought from the Bears via an offer sheet.  The biggest question regarding Meredith is can he come back from a season-ending knee injury. I am looking forward to seeing what catching passes from Drew Brees will do for Meredith this season.  I would anticipate that he returns value here much better than WR52.

Tre’Quan Smith – Overall ADP 169 WR 73

Smith was a somewhat surprising pick in the third round of the 2018 draft.  He has WR2/3 upside in my opinion and as a result, I am buying at this value.  Currently listed behind Ted Ginn on the depth chart, Tre’Quan will get his shot this season.  I’m betting he takes care of business.

Two players, I am selling;

Brandon Coleman – Overall ADP 352 WR 149

Brandon Coleman has continued to disappoint despite the opportunities he has had in New Orleans.  Coleman continues to slide down the depth chart and at this point I am doubting that he should be rostered.  This is a cheap price, but a price that is too rich for my blood.

Drew Brees – Overall ADP 141 QB 16

 Drew Brees is a slam dunk first ballot Hall of Fame QB that will continue to deliver on this value this season and perhaps next as well.  I feel that the return you can get now is at its peak.  In a dynasty format such as this, I would wait on my QB and look for more future upside.

Take the Flyer;

Boston Scott – Overall ADP 266 RB 85

I love the opportunity that Scott has this season in the Saints backfield.  With Mark Ingram suspended for the first four games of the season, Scott will likely battle with Trey Edmunds and recently signed Terrance West for touches.  I am confident that coming out of camp Scott wins this battle and has a significant role in the New Orleans offense.  Once Ingram returns, Scott will lose work but remain in the picture.  He’s worth the flyer!

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SEATTLE, WA – DECEMBER 04: Tight end Greg Olsen #88 of the Carolina Panthers runs a pass route against defensive back DeShawn Shead #35 of the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field on December 4, 2016 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

Carolina Panthers

Two players, I am buying;

DJ Moore – Overall ADP 62 WR 27

Simply put I feel Moore is the most talented WR in this year’s draft class.  Moore will step in immediately opposite Devein Funchess.  Moore shredded the Combine with 97th-percentile SPARQ results, including 4.42 straight-line speed and an explosive 11-foot broad jump. He is a beast over the middle and a post-catch tackle breaker, Moore has the ability to play all three WR positions and will have an immediate impact this season.

C.J. Anderson – Overall ADP 139 RB 47

C.J Anderson recently signed by Carolina finds himself in a good spot.  Anderson will work out of the backfield along with Christian McCaffery.  The Panthers have given their offense a new look this offseason and the Anderson signing makes sense.  CJ is an upgrade on the released Johanthan Stewart in my opinion.  Stewart carried the rock 198 times for 680 yards last season.  I would anticipate that Anderson achieves the same volume and makes more of it than Stewart did.  I believe that this is a good place to select CJ and that he will return mid-range RB3 numbers as a floor. 

Two players, I am selling;

Greg Olsen – Overall ADP 122 TE 14

Greg Olsen has a very disappointing season in 2017 and as a result, he disappointed his fantasy owners. Olsen missed 9 games last year after missing a combined 2 in his previous 10 seasons.  Slowed by a foot injury, Olsen looking anything but his top 5 TE self after his return.  Olsen will decline off his pre-injury averages and likely deliver mid TE2 numbers.  The possibility of Olsen transitioning to the broadcast booth is also something to keep your eye on.  TE14 is too high for me for a TE that is quite possibly the final season of his great career.

Curtis Samuel – Overall ADP 199 WR 83

The signing of Torrey Smith and the drafting of D.J. Moore would indicate to me that the injury Samuel suffered last season is a concern for the Panthers. Samuel is only 21 and hopefully, he can battle back from this injury.  Reality is that he is now battling for the WR4 on this club.  As a result, I am selling at this stage of the draft.

Take the Flyer;

Damiere Byrd – Overall ADP 403 WR 172

Byrd is likely a player that Samuel will battle for the WR4 role in Carolina.  Heading into his third season, Byrd has not done a lot in his first two campaigns.  I have liked what I have seen in limited opportunities and at this stage of the draft, I am buying.

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ATLANTA, GA – NOVEMBER 26: Peyton Barber #25 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers runs into the end zone for a touchdown past Kemal Ishmael #36 of the Atlanta Falcons during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 26, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Two players, I am buying;

Chris Godwin – Overall ADP 100 WR 46

Chris Godwin aka my dynasty BFF is a player I have been targeting on all my leagues for over a year now.  Godwin is poised to push DeSean Jackson out the door in Tampa and take over as the WR2 opposite Mike Evans.  Goodwin has WR2 upside and at this value, his is a no-brainer buy.

Peyton Barber – Overall ADP 187 RB 59

Peyton Barber took advantage of his opportunities in the later portion of the 2017 season. The undrafted free agent out of Auburn carried the ball 29 times in the first 12 weeks of the season and averaged 15.5 carries from weeks 13 thru 17.  Tampa selected Ronald Jones in the draft this year which has had an impact on BArber’s ADP.  I believe we will see more of a committee style backfield in Tampa this year and Barber still holds value above this ADP.  

Two players, I am selling;

DeSean Jackson – Overall ADP 213 WR 87

DeSean Jackson has had a nice career.  With that being said, I feel he could be released prior to the start of the season.  He may catch on elsewhere but I would not want to roster him this year, especially at his ADP.

Ronald Jones – Overall ADP 54 RB 22

Full disclosure.  I selected Ronald Jones with pick 55 in the Redzone 96 V.1 draft.  I may regret the pick as the vast majority of what I have read since the draft is that Jones lacks the vision and that his running style isn’t exactly tailor-made for the NFL.  I am not overly comfortable with the pick and as a result, I would have to say that if I was to do the draft over again I would have let him go by and select another player.  Therefore, he has to be a sell for me. 

Take the Flyer;

Charles Sims – Overall ADP 340 RB 104

As mentioned I do feel there is a committee brewing in Tampa.  Sims will have a piece of that committee and will bring back modest results.  The results, however, will validate this player’s ADP.

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DETROIT, MI – SEPTEMBER 24: Tevin Coleman #26 of the Atlanta Falcons runs for yardage against Charles Washington #45 of the Detroit Lions during second quarter action at Ford Field on September 24, 2017 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images)

Atlanta Falcons

Two players, I am buying;

Tevin Coleman – Overall ADP 60 RB 26

The two player’s that I am buying off the Falcons this year are linked to one another.  I am buying them both not so much for this season but for the future. Coleman is in the final year of his contract and likely his last in Atlanta.  I can see Coleman being next season’s Jerick McKinnon and landing in a good spot such as Pittsburgh, or Oakland.  He will continue to be a steady contributor this season and likely delivers RB2 value.  This is a good spot to be buying. 

Ito Smith – Overall ADP 193 RB 63

The benefactor of Coleman potentially walking at the end of the season is Ito Smith.  Smith should slide right into that Coleman role next season.  He will have limited opportunities in 2018, and I for one will be watching closely.  He is a good value and one that likely will continue to rise over the next few seasons.

Two players, I am selling;

Julio Jones – Overall ADP 18 WR 8

If you are one of the 434 (and counting) members of the Dynasty RedZone – Fantasy Football Community on Facebook, you are likely well aware of my stance on Julio Jones.  It is important to say, I like Julio Jones, and I would be very happy to roster him on my dynasty team. I do not, however, want Julio at this price.  Julio from 2012-2017 finished 6th,2nd,6th and 7th in PPR scoring.  Julio scored 28% of his 2017 total in two games last season and had 9 games with less than 80 yards receiving and no touchdowns.  In those 9 games, he averaged 4 catches.  Julio is becoming more of the 12 points per game WR and less of the big boom weekly WR.  12 points a week lands you in the backend of the WR2 ranks in 2017.  I am betting that Julio is a WR2 this season and will continue to decline in the coming seasons.

Austin Hooper – Overall ADP 188 TE 26

Week 1 in 2017 Austin Hooper had a 128 yard game vs. the Bears with a touchdown.  The reality is that he had an 88-yard blow coverage TD to massively inflate the numbers in week 1 and all of 2017.  The remainder of the season he totaled 48/398/3.  13% of his 2017 total came on one fluke play.  Hooper finished as TE17 last year and without his play of the year, he would have landed as TE22.  I am not overly impressed with Hooper and his body of work.  He’s a great blocking TE, and an extremely average receiving TE.  I am selling as I feel I can do much better even at this stage of the draft. 

Take the Flyer;

Justin Hardy – Overall ADP Undrafted

Justin Hardy seems to be a highly involved player in the Falcons offense every time I watch them play.  Likely the Falcons WR4 this season is worth the flyer here.  With the injury history of both Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu, it is likely that at some point in the 2108 season Hardy finds himself in line for some production.

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