During this 8-part divisional series, I utilize the ADP from the RedZone 96 league startup drafts to determine 2 guys, I am buying, 2 I’m selling, and my flyer off each team.  Buying and selling have nothing to do with my opinion of the player and everything to do with my perceived value of the player vs. ADP.

Part 2: AFC North 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Two players, I am buying;

Ben Roethlisberger – Overall ADP 180 QB 24

Ben Roethlisberger is a steal at 180 in my opinion.  With arguably the top offensive weapons in the league to choose from; Antonio Brown, JuJu Smith-Shuster, and James Washington at WR.  Vance Mcdonald, Jesse James at TE, and Le’Veon Bell and Jaylen Samuels at RB, Ben and this offense will excel once again in 2018.  Ben provides excellent value at this draft position not only this year but likely a year or two more. I’d happily select Ben here and start him as my QB1 this season.

James Washington – Overall ADP 107 WR 48

Washington last season’s Biletnikoff Award (college football’s top wideout) winner out of Oklahoma is quite possibly the most talented WR in this year’s draft class.  Drafted as a WR4 this rookie has the potential to exceed expectations and finish as a WR3+ this year.  Washington has the speed to blow by the opposing DB and will be a complimentary deep threat to Antonio Brown this season in Pittsburgh.

Two players, I am selling;

Le’Veon Bell – Overall ADP 10 RB 6

I must start by saying I love Le’Veon.  The love that I have for this RB cannot overshadow the fact that he is likely at the start of his decline.  Now don’t go giving him away, he’s not going to fall off a cliff.  I see the workload year over year piling up on a back that the team has little to no investment in.  Likely his last season in Pittsburgh I feel that Bell is still a top 10 RB, but no longer in that top 3 RB conversation.  Selling him now gives you the opportunity to maximize the return.

James Conner – Overall ADP 184 RB 57

Not all the players you sell in fantasy bring you a king’s ransom. James Conner is an example of a player that still holds some value.  That value I believe is going to diminish this season with the emergence of Jaylen Samuels.  Conner a third-round selection in the 2017 NFL Draft is coming back from an MCL injury for the second time in three years.  I do not see much of a role for Conner in this offense.  I would prefer passing on Conner and selecting Peyton Barber (RB59), Austin Ekeler (RB61), or Ito Smith (RB63).

Take the Flyer;

Jaylen Samuels – Overall ADP 222 RB73

Selected in the 5th round of this past NFL draft, Jaylen Samuels is a Swiss Army knife type of player.  The former NC State Wolfpack “fullback”, saw snaps at WR, RB, & TE in college.  I would anticipate that the Steelers add Samuels into the offense in all these scenarios this season.  His versatility should increase his value in relations to his draft position.

Baltimore Ravens

Two players, I am buying;

Alex Collins – Overall ADP 72 RB 30

Alex Collin has been the subject of some good debate amongst the Dynasty RedZone staff, and I am firmly on #teamcollins.  Collins selected as an RB3 provides RB1 upside, runs hard and looks like a beast.  I look for Collins to build off his break out season from a year ago, push Kenneth Dixon into the rear-view mirror and Buck Allen into insignificance.   At this ADP I would certainly be buying all day long!

Willie Snead – Overall ADP 237 WR 99

Hard to buy into any part of the Baltimore passing game, to be honest, but if there is one based on ADP value alone it’s Willie Snead.  Snead fell out of favor in New Orleans last season after a suspension to start the year and then by showing up out of shape.  The WR put up a 72 catch 895-yard season in 2016 and looked like a potential break out candidate in 2017.  Long gone are the days of having Hall of Fame to be Drew Brees targeting him, and the reality is that Joe Flacco isn’t about to inspire anyone.  With that being said, Snead gives Flacco a solid target to throw to.  Still only 25 years old, Snead at a WR8 value is one to go after.

Two players, I am selling;

Michael Crabtree – Overall ADP 102 WR 47

As mentioned, it is hard to get excited about any part of this Ravens passing game, and Micheal Crabtree is certainly not going to change my mind.  At the age of 30 coming off a down season in Oakland that led to his release, I see little reason to buy into this draft position.  Crabtree is two seasons removed from a 1000-yard campaign, I would remind those owners that you are trying to sell him to of that. 

Kenneth Dixon – Overall ADP 154 RB 51

Dixon the fourth-round selection of the Ravens in 2016, is attempting to come back off a season lost to suspension and injury.  As a rookie in 2016, Kenneth Dixon averaged 7 carries for 31.8 yards and 2.5 catches for 13.5 yards in the 12 games he appeared in.  Unable to get out from behind Terrance West in his rookie season, I see little from Dixon that leads me to buy into this draft position.  I believe that Dixon is firmly behind Alex Collins and will battle with Javorius Allen for touches this season.

Take the flyer;

Jordan Lasley – Overall ADP 244 WR 101

This one is pure upside flyer.  Lasley became the number one target for Josh Rosen last season at UCLA. He has decent athletic abilities but has been known to drop passes.  He has a troubled past as well having been suspended twice in college.  This one is a dart throw for future years in Baltimore when the QB page turns to Lamar Jackson.  In time I feel that Lasley can give you low WR3 high WR4 production.  Worth the flyer at 244 overall.

Cincinnati Bengals

Two players, I am buying;

Tyler Boyd – Overall ADP 271 WR 116

There is a long list of examples of WR’s breaking out in their third year in NFL history.  That is what I project for Tyler Boyd this season in Cincinnati.  Boyd is expected to man the slot for the Bengals and I would anticipate he has a solid year.  Likely to be a quick target of Andy Dalton, Boyd should deliver you a WR4/5 floor this year and at an ADP of 271 offers great value.

Tyler Kroft – Overall ADP 275 TE 37

I don’t have all that much faith in the Tyler Eifert and his ability to remain healthy (more to come on that).  Kroft returned decent production as the TE1 for the Bengals for most of the season last year. Kroft put up TE2 numbers a year ago and given the opportunity again this year I would expect a repeat performance.  Anytime you can select a player with TE2 upside playing behind an often-injured starter with the 275th selection, I would recommend you buy that.

Two players, I am selling;

John Ross – Overall ADP 158 WR 70

Perhaps a little premature to be selling a former top 10 overall draft pick.  I see Ross getting lost in this offense and becoming a speed gadget guy a la Tavon Austin. Ross suffered from shoulder and knees issues last season and is still waiting to haul in his first career reception.

Tyler Eifert – Overall ADP 159 TE 18

The reality here is I don’t see Eifert being able to stay healthy enough to justify a TE18 ranking.  Eifert has appeared in 24 of a possible 64 games over the past four seasons.  The reason I’m buying Tyler Kroft has more to do with Eifert than it does with Kroft.  Eifert broke out in 2015 with a 13 TD season and has combined for 5 in the two years since in a total of 10 games.

Take the flyer;

Auden Tate – Overall ADP 214 WR 88

Selected 253rd overall by Cincinnati out of Florida State, Auden Tate is a stash for your late rounds or taxi squads.  The owner of 10 TD receptions at FSU last season may surprise with some development on route running as he has good hands but lacks the ability to get separation.

Cleveland Browns

Two players, I am buying;

Antonio Callaway – Overall ADP 160 WR 71

The Browns traded up in the 2018 draft to select Callaway with the 105th overall selection.  Callaway comes with incredible talent and plenty of baggage.  Callaway posted impressive numbers as a true freshman in 2016 (89 catches, 1399 yards, 7 TD).  He followed that up by sitting out the entire 2017 season because of multiple suspensions.  If Josh Gordon has truly cleaned up his act, he can potentially be a great mentor for Callaway.  This kid has all the talent to excel at the NFL level if he can stay out of trouble and stay on the field. 

Tyrod Taylor – Overall ADP 257 QB 32

With all the weapons the Browns are stockpiling this off-season, Tyrod instantly steps into the best situation in his career.  Tyrod has decent vision downfield, an arm that can get it there and great legs that will score you fantasy points.  Tyrod has been a relevant bye week fill-in, and spot starter during his career in Buffalo with a much less talented roster.  I see great value in Tyrod at his current ADP.

Two players, I’m selling; 

Corey Coleman – Overall ADP 129 WR 59

There will only be so many targets to go around in Cleveland this season.  With the addition of Jarvis Landry, Corey Coleman quite possibly becomes the casualty of this offense.  Josh Gordon, David Njoku, Duke Johnson along with Landry likely become the focal point of the offense with Carlos Hyde and Nick Chubb complementing them.  I would be selling Corey Coleman as the 59th WR off the board.

Carlos Hyde – Overall ADP 77 RB 32

I am a fan of Carlos Hyde and his ability to deliver out of the backfield.  With that being said he is a sell for me.  Signed via free agency by the Browns this offseason would indicate that he will have a big role in the offense. Hyde set a career high in receptions with 59 last season, but with Duke Johnson in tow, (and signed to a recent extension) it would indicate that Duke will see the bulk of targets out of this backfield.  The drafting of talented rookie Nick Chubb would also indicate that Hyde may very well be one and done in Cleveland. I anticipate that Chubb’s role increases as the season goes on.  I don’t see a way that Hyde can give you the required return on the investment of RB32.

Take the flyer;

Darren Fells – Overall ADP – Not Drafted

There is not a whole lot of upside here in Darren Fells to be brutally honest.  I’d be willing to take a flyer here in case there is an injury to David Njoku.  Fells showed flashes of competence during three seasons in Detroit and last year in Arizona.  Expectations should remain low regardless.  If given the opportunity Fells may be a plug and play TE in the right matchup this season.  As a basically free player add, he’s worth the shot IMO.

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