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Allen Robinson 2020 Dynasty Outlook

Allen Robinson
UNIVERSITY PARK, PENNSYLVANIA – SEPTEMBER 21, 2013: Receiver Allen Robinson #8 of the Penn State Nittany LIons catches a pass over defensive back Luke Wollet #39 of the Kent State Golden Flashes during a game against the Kent State Golden Flashes at Beaver Stadium in University Park, Pennsylvania. The Penn State Nittany Lions won 34-0.(Photo by David Dermer/Diamond Images/Getty Images)

Allen Robinson played 3 years at Penn State, though he barely played his freshman year. His next 2 years he posted an impressive 2,450 yards on 174 receptions and 17 TDs. This allotted him First-Team All-Big Ten both years along with Richter-Howard Receiver of the Year Award as well. His junior season he was named a Consensus All-American. There was high praise for the receiver coming out of college and into the NFL.

After the Jacksonville Jaguars traded up in the 2014 NFL Draft, they used their 61st overall pick in the second round to select Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State.

Robinson spent his first 4 years in Jacksonville. It was there in 2015 where he got his only Pro Bowl selection when he put up 1,400 yards on 80 receptions and 14 TDs. Though his receptions remained similar in 2016, his yards dropped to 883 and TDs dropped to 6. Then in 2017 he tore his ACL in the first game of the season. The Jags let him sign with the Chicago Bears in 2018 on a three-year, $42 million contract.

With a solid comeback year in 2018, he re-cemented himself as a top WR in the NFL. After posting WR6 numbers in 2015, he broke back into the top 12 in 2019 as WR8 in PPR formats. His stat line was 98 receptions for 1,147 yards and 7 TDs. Entering year 7 in 2020, will he continue to be a WR1 for fantasy owners, or was 2019 just another outlier for him?

Allen Robinson
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – JANUARY 06: Allen Robinson #12 of the Chicago Bears completes a reception against the Philadelphia Eagles in the second half of the NFC Wild Card Playoff game at Soldier Field on January 06, 2019 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

Allen Robinson Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2020

There has been all kinds of hype this offseason surrounding ARob. I think it is warranted considering he was catching the ball from one of the worst QBs in the league with Mitch Trubisky, and could get an upgrade if/when Nick Foles wins the starting role in Chicago. I fully expect him to be a WR1 in 2020, and anywhere from WR8 to WR12 is most realistic, but he’s shown to be a consistent fantasy contributor to your team.

Allen Robinson will be 27 by the start of 2020, which is four years away from when receivers on average start to decline. Look for him to be a WR1 and gradually fall to a WR2 over the next 5 years. He’s a keeper in any league if you have the option. His value will remain high for a while. You can hope that over the next few years the Bears will figure out their QB situation.

Value

Allen Robinson currently has an ADP of #33 overall and #13 among WRs in PPR formats. In 1QB and SuperFlex leagues, his draft pick value is anywhere from 1.03 to 1.05. 1QB leagues are closer to 1.03, and SuperFlex is closer to 1.05.

Players with comparable values to Allen in 1QB leagues include Kenyan DrakeLeonard Fournette, Stefon Diggs, Keenan AllenD.K. MetcalfCalvin Ridley and Lamar Jackson. I’m not buying Diggs for ARob because he’s too inconsistent, and I don’t think he’ll produce WR1 numbers in Buffalo. When talking Metcalf and Ridley, I’d be on the fence if I’m looking to buy them, but it’s definitely close. The other 4 are my favorites here, but I would be aware that ARob has some of the best upside outside of Lamar Jackson.

Similar valued players in SuperFlex leagues would also be the ones listed for 1QB except Lamar Jackson. Instead, the QBs listed are Kirk CousinsDrew LockSam DarnoldJimmy GaroppoloRyan Tannehill and Daniel Jones. These are all great opportunities if you’re in need of a QB outside of Cousins, Darnold, Garoppolo and Tannehill. I would ask for more than just them for Allen Robinson.

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