A.J. Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook

0
1904

In Dynasty, there are certain players that tend to hold more uncertainty, or are more divisive than others. The Dynasty Outlook series takes a deeper dive into those players that the RotoHeat community noted as the guys they are most interested in hearing about. We will look on a player-by-player basis at their immediate outlook, future outlook, and current value. Engage with 1,300+ passionate dynasty players and let the RotoHeat content team know what topics YOU want to hear about by visiting our RotoHeat Facebook page.

Tennessee Titans receiver A.J. Brown impressed during his rookie season. The team’s second-round draft pick out of Ole Miss led all rookies with 1,051 receiving yards in 2019. He also had eight touchdown receptions among his 52 catches, and he added 60 rushing yards with another score. He was the only NFL rookie since 1970 with 1,000-plus receiving yards and an average of 20-plus yards per reception.

A.J. Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook

Brown finished the season as WR 21 in PPR scoring with 217.1 points. He exceeded expectations, expectations that were lowered when the Tennessee Titans called his name on draft day. The landing spot was thought to be a poor one, drafted by a team that was clearly run first and often a club with uncertainty at the quarterback position. Through the first 6 weeks of 2019, Brown totaled 53.3 points and ranked as WR53. In week 7, the Titans moved on from Marcus Mariota and started Ryan Tannehill. In weeks 7 through 16, Brown totaled 141.4 points ranking as WR12. He led the NFL with 605 receiving yards over his final six games of the regular season.

A.J. Brown, along with the Titans offense, took off and his landing spot became a mere afterthought. Heading into the 2020 season with recently re-signed Ryan Tannehill back under center, Brown appears to be poised to pick up where he left off in 2019. I believe that Brown will regress in 2020 and the A.J. Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook won’t be as rosy as his owners would like.

Brown was targeted 84 times in 2019 catching 52 of them. His targets were 46th, and his receptions 43rd among all wide receivers. His yards per reception, (20.21) ranked 2nd of all receivers with 20 receptions or more. His 1051 yards were 21st. Brown’s five 100-yard games led all rookie receivers in 2019 and were the most by any NFL rookie since Amari Cooper (five) in 2015. He became the fourth rookie since 1970 with at least four touchdown receptions of 50+ yards. These are numbers that simply are not sustainable, and without a large uptick in targets Brown will regress next season.

A.J. Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook
ATLANTA, GA – SEPTEMBER 29: A.J. Brown #11 of the Tennessee Titans rushes in for a touchdown after the reception in the first half of an NFL game against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on September 29, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images) A.J. Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook

A.J. Brown Dynasty Outlook – Beyond 2020

Regression or no regression in 2020, the future is very bright for A.J. Brown. Brown started the 2019 season slow and he improved as the season went along. He did the same during the Titans run to the AFC Championship game. Brown had three catches for 51 yards in the team’s AFC Championship Game loss to the Kansas City Chiefs after just two catches for 13 yards in the team’s first two postseason games.

He became just the 18th rookie in NFL history to record over 1,000 yards receiving, with his final numbers placing him ahead of the likes of Mike Thomas and Keenan Allen, and closely behind Odell Beckham Jr. and Michael Thomas for receiving yards in a rookie year. His eight touchdowns also have Brown tied for 17th for rookie receiving touchdowns in the league’s 100-year history. A.J Brown may slide back in 2020, but he is here to stay.

Value

If you are an A.J. Brown owner, this is not a time to panic, it’s time to rejoice. The Tennessee Titans passing attack has lacked a number one receiver for as long as I can remember. A.J. Brown is the number one receiver the Titans have been desperate for. Brown’s rookie numbers weren’t just impressive for 2019. What Brown was able to accomplish in his first year has his name up there with some historic rookie pass-catchers. I would be looking for a 2020 first round pick plus for A.J.Brown–he’s special.

Thank you for reading A.J.Brown 2020 Dynasty Outlook. Follow me on Twitter @RotoHeatSully, and subscribe to the Sully’s 2 Cents Podcast for more of my fantasy football content.

Liked it? Take a second to support RotoHeat on Patreon!