Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 80 of Sully’s 2 Cents Dynasty Fantasy Football podcast. I am your host Rob Sullivan.

So, a few episodes ago, episode 76 to be exact I discussed rookie fever, and I specifically used the 1.06 draft slot vs. Lamar Jackson.  That episode it would appear accomplished a few things, 1. I was dead wrong on my Lamar Jackson value, and 2, it appears that you the listeners enjoyed it. Based on a request from our Facebook community member Michael Altman, I am going to take that a little further and break down each draft slot in the first round, hit values and all. 

Last episode I went thru the 1.01-1.06 and today  I will wrap it up with picks 1.07-1.12. Quick refresher, A hit season is any QB that has had a top 12 season, RB that has had a top 24 season, top 36 season for WR, and top 12 for the TE’s.  From 2010-2019 there were 779 skill position players drafted 120 were first round selections.

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1.07

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 7 hole we had 4 RB’s, 5WR’s, and a TE selected.  They averaged 109.87 PPR points a season collectively.  The RB’s – 83.89, the WR’s – 128.52, and the TE 102.53.

The highlight of the 1.07  group was 2016 selection Michael Thomas.  As I mentioned the WR’s averaged 128.52 PPRs a season.  If you back out MT, the 1.07 WR’s the remaining 4 averaged 85.38 points/season. 

That is the power that a WR who has averaged 301.8 over his 4 seasons has. Thomas had his best season in 2019 in which he broke reception records and finished atop the WR fantasy mountain with 374.6 points. 

The other WR’s selected with the 1.07 in the past ten seasons.

2013 – Cordarrelle Patterson

CP’s career average of 81.57 points a season, career high 149.7 in his rookie season.  He finished as WR46. There is nothing to get excited about in terms of Cordarrelle Patterson.

2014 – Jordan Matthews

Career average of 121.8 points a season, career high 230.7 in his second season.  He finished as WR17 that season and it looked like he was on a path to break out in year 3.  Instead he just broke down.  In his next 4 seasons scored 171.4 , 57.2, 62, and 7.3 last season.

2015 – Dorial Green Beckham 

DGB played in a whopping two seasons and averaged 100.05 points.  112.9 in his rookie season, 87.2 in year two. Prior to the 2017 season he was released by the Eagles. 

2019 – Parris Campbell

Last season Parris Campbell appeared in 7 games, starting 3 of them.  24 targets, 18 receptions, 127 yards and a single touchdown.  38.1 PPR points and WR 125.  It’s a little too soon to call Parris Campbell a bust, nit if he doesn’t have a decent 2020, he is going to be very close to it.

The 4 RB’s selected with the 1.07

2010- Ben Tate

Tate played from 2011-2014.  His first season he had 175 carries 942 yards and 4 TDs’.  He added 13 catches for 98 yards as well.   His best fantasy season was 2013 where he finished as RB29. Tate finished 2011 as RB32, 2012 RB66, 2013 RB29 , 2014 split between Cleveland and Minnesota he finished as RB57.  Tate failed to deliver a hit season in his brief career and was a yet another bust of a 1.07 selection.

2011- Daniel Thomas

Thomas played in 4 seasons all with the Miami Dolphins.  He averaged 79.55 PPR points per season.  His best year was a 97.9-point 2013.  He was RB50 that season.

2012- David Wilson

Wilson was the 32nd overall selection in the 2012 NFL draft by the New York Giants.  As a rookie Wilson he finished as WR57 with 71.2 points.  That my friends is a good as it got for Wilson owners.  In 2013 (the year I drafted him in a redraft start-up), he played in 5 games and totaled 23.4 points.  A neck injury ended his season and his career. 

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
DENVER, CO – AUGUST 11: Running back Royce Freeman #37 of the Denver Broncos carries for a 23 yard second quarter touchdown against the Minnesota Vikings during an NFL preseason game at Broncos Stadium at Mile High on August 11, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2018 –  Royce Freeman

Freeman in his two seasons has averaged 121.75 points a season and finished 2019 with 142.2 points (RB36).  His dynasty value took a big kick in the balls this off-season when the Broncos signed free-agent RB Melvin Gordon, pushing Freeman into a RB3 role behind Gordon and Phillip Lindsay in Denver.

The one and only TE selected Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE

2017 OJ Howard

Howard for the most part has been a disappointment.  His rookies season was limited to 14 games and he posted 101.2 points finishing as TE21.  In only 8 games in 2018 he had his best season putting up 120.5 points and finishing as TE14.  Last season, a season in which he best catch came at a Tampa Rays game saw him finish with 85.9 points in 14 games TE29. 

The 1.07’s to date have completed 35 seasons (17%), a total of 6 of them have been hit seasons. Michael Thomas had 4 of his own.  Without MT the 1.07’s were a dumpster fire.  2 hit seasons out of 31 (6.45%). The other two came courteously of Jordan Mathews a member of the stellar 2014 WR class.  Thomas and Mathews also had hit seasons in their rookie seasons. 

1.08

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 8th spot, we had 5 RB’s, 4 WR’s, and a TE selected.  They averaged 137.13 PPR points a season collectively.  The RB’s – 143.11, the WR’s – 136.18, and the TE 111.00.

The 1.08 group is led by Alvin Kamara selected 67th overall in the 2017 NFL Draft by the New Orleans Saints.  Kamara in his three seasons has averaged 306.03 PPR points.  In 2017 he was RB3, R4 in 2018, and RB9 in an injury impacted 2019.  Kamara a draft pick you are thrilled with.  Kamara was not only the gem of the 1.08’s, he has been the gem of the 2017 draft class.

2010 – Golden Tate

Has the most hit seasons of those drafted with the 1.08.  He has delivered a hit season in 5 of his 10 seasons.  A 50% career hit rate is a success.  Tate has averaged 171.45 points/season in his career and between 2014 through 2017, Tate averaged 229.03 points a season.  His best year was 2014, 259.1 points and his lone top 12 season finishing 11th.

2014 – Carlos Hyde 

Drafted in 2014 by the San Francisco 49ers, 57th overall, has played in 6 seasons and has averaged 138.35 points a season.  In his two hot seasons; (2016 & 2017), Hyde averaged 213.05 points a year and finished as RB 18 and RB 8 in those two years. The other 4 years he has averaged 101.73 points a year.  His RB30 season last year is his best non hot season of his career.

The remainder of the 1.08’s

2011- Jon Baldwin

Had to google who this guy was to be honest.  Played in three seasons and averaged a whopping 38.9 points a season.  His best year was 58.5 points and a WR99 finish.  Turns out that Jon Baldwin was the second-best Baldwin entering the league that season.  Seattle UDFA WR Doug Baldwin would have been a much better pick here.

2012- Kendall Wright

Had a 213.9-point second season the best of his 6 seasons and his only hit season.  He was WR 20 that season. The remainder of his career he averaged 125.98 points a season.  If you owned him, you may have plugged and played him a little after his 2013 season but likely with little success.

2013- Montee Ball

Ball’s career lasted two seasons 114.5 points in year one, 36.4 in year two, and see year in year three.  He was a beast at Wisconsin, 5140 yards 77 rushing touchdowns, 598 receiving yards and 6 receiving TD’s.  Denver released him prior to the 2015 season, and he failed to catch on anywhere else other than a brief stint on the Patriots practice roster.  Ball is yet another example of a can’t miss college prospect that did exactly that.

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
JACKSONVILLE, FL – SEPTEMBER 30: T.J. Yeldon #24 of the Jacksonville Jaguars runs for yardage during the game against the New York Jets on September 30, 2018 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2015 – TJ Yeldon

Yeldon has had a 5-year career to date.  His one and only hit season came in 2018.  In a season that Leonard Fournette was limited to 8 games due to injury, Yeldon posted 173.1 PPR points, and finished as RB22. On the season Yeldon had 55 catches that year.

2016 – Kenneth Dixon

Dixon was the 134th overall selection by the Ravens in 2016.  In 12 games in his rookie season he finished as the RB46.  He was suspended to start the 2017 season, was injured and failed to play at all that year.  In 2018 Dixon was well down the depth chart and appeared in 6 games finishing as RB78 with 54.4 points.  He was hurt again entering 2019 was placed on IR, and later released.  Signed by the Jets in December, Dixon failed to appear in 2019 and likely wont anytime soon.

2018 – DJ Moore

A WR 36 finish in his rookie season with 157 points, followed up with a WR 16 230.5-point sophomore season, Moore is well on his way to many more hit seasons, in his young career. 

2019 – Noah Fant

Fant came on strong down the stretch in his rookie season and ended yup finishing as the TE16 with 111 points.  Anyone who follows this podcast and my articles know that I am high on Fant, Drew Lock and Pat Shurmur.

The 1.08’s to date have completed 40 seasons,  a total of 13 of them have been hit seasons.  (32.5%), Golden Tate with 5 leads the way, followed by Kamara with 3 and Hyde with 2.  The only member of this group to give you a hit season in his rookie campaign was Alvin Kamara.

1.09

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 9th spot, we had 2 RB’s, 7 WR’s, and a TE selected.  They averaged 93.74 PPR points a season collectively.  The RB’s – 71.03, the WR’s – 102.09, and the TE 80.7.

The 1.09 group is led by a pair of WR’s; Randall Cobb and Davante Adams.  In Cobb’s 9 seasons he has averaged 162.33 PPR points and has delivered a hit season in 4 of them or 45%.  2012 & 2014 were his best seasons.  2012 he was WR15 with 234.6 points and 2014 he made provided his only top 12 finish to date landing at WR8 with 293.4 points. 

Adams in his 6 seasons has averaged 203.07 points and had 4 hit seasons.  Anytime you can get a WR that delivers a top 36 season 67% of the time you are in business.  From 2016-last year he has averaged 252.88 points and an average WR finish of 12, highlighted by 2018 and his top overall finish at the position. 

The rest of the 1.09’s are not nearly as productive, or successful. 

2010-  Montario Hardesty

Selected 59th by the Browns in 2010, Hardesty was a complete bust.  He played in two seasons and his best finish was 36.7-point 2012 season, good enough for WR89.

2012 – Stephen Hill

The Jets grabbed Hill with the 43 pick in 2012.  He played in two seasons and his best result was 64.3 points in 2013, WR101 that year.

2013 – Justin Hunter

The Titans grabbed Hill at 34th overall.  He played in 6 seasons and averaged 42.56 PPR points a season.  His best year you ask, well it was a 95.8-point WR80 2014 season. 

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
BALTIMORE, MD – NOVEMBER 27: Wide receiver Breshad Perriman #18 of the Baltimore Ravens celebrates after scoring a first quarter touchdown against the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium on November 27, 2016 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2015 – Breshad Perriman

Perriman was the first-round selection of the Baltimore Ravens in 2015.  He has played in 4 seasons to date, failing to make an appearance in his rookie season. 3 seasons as a Raven he totalled 59 catches for 916 yards and 5 touchdowns.  His best season was a year ago in Tampa.  He caught fire once  Chris Godwin and Mike Evans were lost to season ending injures.  In 2019 Perriman had 36 catches for 645 yards and 6 scores in 14 games, 4 of which were starts.  He finished as WR51 with 138.1 points and was WR2 with 76.2 points in his final three games. Now a member of the New York Jets, Perriman finally looks to break out.  I for one hope he does, I added him cheap onto a lot of my rosters.

2016 – Will Fuller

Injures suck.  What maybe could have been for Fuller if he could just stay on the field.  Since 2016 Fuller has missed on average 5.5 games a season every season.  He has scored 16 touchdowns on 159 career catches.  If he could put together a full season his 4 years stats projected out over 16 games is 59 catches for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns (168.5 PPR points).  In 2019 that would have been good for a WR38 finish.  His best fantasy result to date was last season with 134 points in 11 games. 53.7 of those points came in week 5.

2017- John Ross

John Ross was the 9th overall selection in the 2017 draft.  Of all the 120 drafted players studied here, John Ross is the only one to have a negative point fantasy season.  IN his rookie season, Ross had zero catches on his 2 targets, but he did have a run for 12 yards. That 12-yard run ended with a lost fumble and a -.8-fantasy point season. Ross like Fuller has struggled with health.  He missed 13 games in his rookie season, 6 in 2018, and another 8 last year.  He got off to a flying start in 2019. After two weeks he has 11 catches, 270 yards and 3 touchdowns.  He was WR2 overall with 56 PPR points.  The only problem was in his final 6 games he totaled 17 catches and 236 yards without a score.  In those 6 games he scored 39 points and was WR118.  With the addition of Tee Higgins, and the Bengals declining Ross’ 5th year option I would say the writing in on the wall here.

2018- Kerryon Johnson

Let’s keep the if they could only stay on the field thing going here.  KJ has missed 14 games and played in 18 in his brief two-year career.  His 16-game pace is 205 carries, 928 yards and 5 TD’s on the ground with 21 catches, 170 yards and a TD thru the air.  That pace is RB25 last season.  The pace is irrelevant however as his best season saw him play in 10 games and the Detroit Lions just added D’Andre Shift in the draft.  KJ’s future Is not bright.

2019 – TJ Hockenson

Sticking with the Lions we have TJ Hockenson.  I like Hock despite the Lions over drafted him at 8 overall in 2019.  He looked like a world beater in the opener last season 6 catches on 9 targets for 131 yards and a TD.  Only problem was that game was against the Cardinals who bled pints to the TE position and the fact that in Hock’s remaining 11 games he had 26 catches for 236 yards and a score.  His week 25.1 point 1 was 31% of his 80.7-point season.  He was a rookie TE, and his starting QB was lost for half the season and he missed 4 games himself.  He will be just fine, after all it doesn’t take much to be top 12 TE in this league.

The 1.09’s to date have completed 39 seasons,  a total of 8 of them have been hit seasons.  (21%), Cobb and Adams save this group with all 8 hot seasons.  Obviously, they are the only with multiple hit seasons and none of the 10 drafted had a hit season in their rookie year.

1.10

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 10th spot, we had 1 QB, 1 RB, 6 WR’s, and a 2 TE’s selected.  They averaged 137.75 PPR points a season collectively.  The QB – 151.71, the RB – 62.30, the WR’s – 154.29, and the TE’s 127.15.

The 1.10 group is led by a pair WR’s;

Keenan Allen and Allen Robinson. 

In Keenan Allen’s 7 seasons he has averaged 196.93 PPR points and has delivered a hit season in 5 of them or 71%.  2018 & 2019 were his best seasons.  2018 he was WR12 with 260.1 points and in 2019 he was WR6 with 261.5 points.  He enters 2020 with a new quarterback in Tyrod Taylor and quite possibly Justin Herbert.  I find it rather humorous that there are so many people out there that call Phillip Rivers washed and are also concerned about Keenan Allen without him.  For what its worth Allen will be just fine with either of those two QB’s, and Phillip Rivers is going to surprise a lot of folks in Indy this season.

Allen Robinson has averaged 171.83 points in his Adams in his 6 seasons which includes a 2.7-point 2017 season that ended in week 1 with a torn ACL.  Removing 2017, Robinson has averaged 205.66 points in his other 5 campaigns.  He has delivered a hit season in 3 of those year, and he has been saddles with some of the worst QB play imaginable in Blake Bortles and Mitchell Trubisky.  

Torrey Smith and Tyler Boyd are the other multiple hit season members of the 1.10’s.  And you two TE’s represented here Coby Fleener and Evan Engram have one a piece. 

Torrey  Smith

Had back to back hit seasons in 2013 and 2014 finishing as WR22 in 13, and WR28 in 2014.  His best season after that was in 2015 and a WR54 finish.  His 8-year career came to an end after the 2018 season. 

Tyler Boyd

In 4 seasons has averaged 156.15 points a season, 222 over the past two years.  No surprise those were his two hit seasons to date, WR17 in 2018 and WR18 a year ago. 

Coby Fleener  

Fleener’s best season was his 176.4 PPR point 2014 season in which he finished as TE7.  In his career he averaged 117.18 points across 6 seasons.  He was drafted 34th overall by Indianapolis and played 4 his first four seasons with the Colts.  Prior to the 2016 he signed a signed a five-year, $36 million contract with the New Orleans Saints.  In May 7, 2018, Fleener was released by the Saints.

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – DECEMBER 30: Evan Engram #88 of the New York Giants dives into the end zone for a touchdown during the third quarter of the game against the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium on December 30, 2018 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2017- Evan Engram

Injures have been an issue for Engram in his 3 NFL seasons.  He has missed 14 games due to injury in career thus far.  The most games he has played in three seasons has been 15, in his rookies season.  Engram was TE5 that season becoming only the second TE since 2010 to record a hit season in their rookie season. In his other two seasons Engram has finished as TE13 in 2018 and TE 18 in 2019.  The best is yet to come with this TE.

The remainder of the 1.10’s

2010-  Sam Bradford

The first overall draft choice in the 2010 NFL draft by the then St. Louis Rams.  Bradford appeared in 9 injury riddled seasons.  His rookie year was his best.  259.9 fantasy points and a QB19 finish.  His next best season was 2016 with the Vikings as the emergency Teddy Bridgewater replacement.  Bradford was QB23 in 2016. When you are the first overall draft selection one should expect better than a QB19 finish as your top year.

2015 –  Ameer Abdullah 

Selected 54th overall by the Lions, Abdullah has been a bust.  His career average fantasy points per season is 62.30.  His third season was his best season, to date, a season that he scored 124.4 points and finished as RB40.  The other 4 seasons Abdulla has averaged 46.78 points a season.  Primarily a special teams member of the Minnesota Vikings, his fantasy relevance had been dead since his release from the Lions.

2018- Christian Kirk 

Two seasons and a WR58 in 2018 and WR38 in 2019, Kirk has failed to launch thus far.  Limited by injury in both his seasons, 2020 shapes up as a potential breakout season playing alongside Larry Fitzgerald and new teammate Deandre Hopkins. 

2019 – Hakeem Butler

Butler was a highly touted prospect coming out of Iowa St., Butler slide down the board during the 2019 draft to 103rd overall.  Butler as placed on Injured Reserve during the preseason and has yet to play a regular season snap.  Butler is one of two players selected in the first round since 2010 to not appear in a NFL game. 

The 1.10’s to date have completed 48 seasons,  a total of 14 of them have been hit seasons.  (29%), Keenan Allen’s 5 hit seasons and the 3 by Allen Robison make up for the 0 out of Bradford, Abdullah, Kirk and Butler.   

1.11

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 10th spot, we had, 4 RB, 5 WR’s, and a TE’s selected.  They averaged 135.94 PPR points a season collectively.  The RB – 89.61, the WR’s – 170.43, and the TE’s 102.49.

The class of the 1.11’s.  

2012 – Alshon Jeffery 

In Jeffrey’s 8 NFL seasons he has delivered a hit season in 50% of them.  Injuries have robbed Jeffrey owners of more.  He has averaged 178.51 PPR points a season.  He has also averaged 12.75 games a season.  His rookie year he was limited to 10 games, 9 games in 2015.  In 8 season’s Jeffrey has appeared in all of this teams 16 games three times, 2013,2014, and 2017.  His finishes in those seasons; WR8, WR10, and WR20. 

2015 – Tevin Coleman 

Coleman is an interesting cat as he has never held a three down large workload role in his career.  He split time in Atlanta with DeVonta Freeman, and in San Francisco, with Mostert, Brieda and even at times Jeffrey Wilson.  It may surprise you to know and it did surprise me that Coleman has never exceed 200 touches in a single season.  His 199 in 2018 are a career high. Even with a less than desirable workload, Coleman has still given you 3 hit seasons in his 5-year career.  RB19 in 2016, RB22 in 2017, RB18 in 2018.  Coleman has averaged 146.12 ppr points in his career to date.

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
PITTSBURGH, PA – DECEMBER 30: JuJu Smith-Schuster #19 of the Pittsburgh Steelers reacts after a 11 yard touchdown reception in the third quarter during the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Heinz Field on December 30, 2018 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2017 – Juju Smith-Shuster

2 of Juju’s 3 seasons have been exceptionable, and last year was not.  He was WR23 in his 191.7 points rookie season and WR8 in his 269.9 second campaign.  In year 3 AB left the Steelers and Big Ben missed all but 6 quarters of football.  Juju also missed 4 games due to injury.  The result was a disappointing 113.2 WR65 season.  Juju is as solid a 1.11 pick as you will find and will be just fine in 2020 with Ben back and a decent supporting cast.

2018 – Calvin Ridley  

If you follow me, you will know I am currently in love with this WR. WR22 finish as a rookie and a WR27 finish a year ago in 13 games played.  He has a clear path to more opportunity with Mohammed Sanu and Austin Hooper playing elsewhere in 2020.  The hits will keep coming for this man who has averaged 201.9 points and WR24 in his career thus far.

2010-  Jermain Gresham

Jermain Gresham was selected in the first round with the 21st overall selection by the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2010 NFL Entry Draft.  Gresham played in 9 seasons and delivered a hit season in 2012.  He finished that season as TE10 with 165.7 PPR points.  Across his 9 seasons, Gresham averaged 102.49 points a season.

2011- Shane Vereen

Selected by the New England Patriots 56th overall, Vereen played in 7 seasons with New England and the New York Giants.  Injuries played a large role in Vereen’s production.  In those 7 seasons he missed 33 games.  His best season was 2014, a year in which he posted 166.8 PPR points finished as RB20 and delivered the only hit season of his career. 

The remainder of the 1.11

2013 – Marcus Lattimore

I mentioned Hakeem Butler was one of two 1sr round selections not to appear in a game, Marcus Lattimore was the other.  He was drafted in the fourth round, with the 131st overall pick, by the San Francisco 49ers. In August of 2013 he was placed on the reserve/non-football injury list. In November of  2014, Lattimore announced his retirement from the NFL.  His career was over before it ever started.

2014 – Marquise Lee

Selected by the Jacksonville Jaguars 39th overall in 2014, 22 spots ahead of Allen Robinson, has appeared in 5 seasons and has averaged 91.04 points a season.  The closest Lee got to a hit season was his WR42 finish in 2016 when he posted 172.4 PPR points.

2016 – CJ Prosise

Prosise has been a complete bust.  In four seasons he has averaged 27.93 pints and his best season was his rookie campaign when he posted 61 points. Prosise is an injury waiting to happen.  IN 4 seasons he has missed 39 of a possible 64 games and his 9 game 2019 season in a career high to date.

2019 – Deebo Samuel

The 49ers picked the 23-year-oldin the second round, (36th overall) in the NFL draft because he boasted the qualities the 49ers sought: speed, power and versatility. The 49ers and Head Coach Kyle Shanahan had a front row seat to Deebo Samuel in the 2019 senior bowl.  In his rookie season, Samuel turned 71 touches into 961 total yards and 6 touchdowns on route to 189.1 points and a  WR31 finish.  Samuel has a bright future and I would anticipate the hit seasons will come perhaps as soon as 2020.

The 1.11’s to date have completed 44 seasons,  a total of 12 of them have been hit seasons.  (27%), Alshon Jeffrey, Tevin Coleman, and Juju Smith-Shuster account for 9 of them. There remains hope for Juju. Calvin Ridley and Deebo Samuel to make the 1.11 class more respectable in the years to come.

1.12

From 2010 – 2019 Out of the 10th spot, we had, 3 RB, 5 WR’s, 1 TE, and 1 QB selected.  They averaged 95.59 PPR points a season collectively.  The RB – 49.25, the WR’s – 85.25, and the TE’s 84.57.

2010-  Brandon LaFell  

LaFell averaged 126.98 fantasy points a season in his 8 years with Carolina, New England ,Cincinnati, and Oakland.  His best season came in 2014 as a member of the New England Patriots.  In 2014 he put up 953 yards and 7 touchdowns on route to WR22 finish.  His other hit season was in 2016 were his 186 points were good enough for a WR35 season.  The other 6 years of his career he averaged 93.28 points a season and was not fantasy relevant.

Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons
BALTIMORE, MD – SEPTEMBER 17: Tight end David Njoku #85 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates his touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens in the second quarter at M&T Bank Stadium on September 17, 2017 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr /Getty Images) Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons

2017- David Njoku

Njoku in his three seasons has averaged 884.57 PPR points a season.  His rookie year he scored 94.7, followed that with a TE7 finish in year 2, and battled thru an injury filled 2019 in which he posted only 15.1 points.  Interesting to see how the next couple of years play out for Njoku.  To me he is the ultimate buy low TE right now. 

2018-  Courtland Sutton 

In his two seasons with the Broncos, Sutton has averaged 173.95 points a season.  He was WR50 in his rookie season and WR19 a year ago.  I would be expecting plenty more hit seasons from Sutton in what I believe is going to be a good offense in Denver.

2019 – Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray finished last season as QB8 with 297.3 fantasy points. In addition, he won the Offensive Rookie of the Year and became one of just three QB’s  in NFL history to pass for 3,000 yards and run for 500 yards as a rookie. Murray is well-positioned to be even better in 2020. The addition of DeAndre Hopkins was a massive boost to the Arizona passing game, and Kliff Kingsbury’s offensive scheme lends itself well to big numbers from his quarterback. 

In each of the last two seasons, a second-year quarterback took the league by storm on his way to winning NFL MVP. Kyler Murray is going to give three-in-a-row a hell of a run in 2020.

The remainder of the 1.12’s

2011- Delone Carter

My first thought was who?  After a little research I discovered the Carter was selected 119 overall by the Indianapolis Colts in 2011.  He played for two seasons and was gone prior to the start of the 2013 season.  His best season was his rookie season in which he scored 56.5 points.

2012 – Ronnie Hillman 

Hillman was a third-round selection of the Broncos in 2013 and spent 4 seasons in Denver before ending his career in 2016 in Minnesota and San Diego.  Hillman averaged 79.54 fantasy points a season.  The closest he came to a hit season was 2015.  Hillman had 863 yards rushing, 111 yards receiving and 7 touchdowns as he finished as RB25.

2013 – Jonathan Franklin

Franklin played one year for the Packers and posted 23.7 fantasy points. Green Bay elected the former UCLA Bruin in the 4th round 125th overall of the 2013 NFL Draft.  Franklin suffered a neck injury in week 12 of his rookie season and retired after being released by the Packers prior to the start of 2014.

2014 – Cody Latimar

Latimar has played in 5 of a possible 6 season missing the 2018 season due to injury.  His best season was last year when he scored 66 points.  He has averaged 33.12 points a season career to date.  He has had some off field issues this year and I would not be surprised if we have seen the last of Cody Latimar. 

2015 – Phillip Dorsett

Dorsett was an odd selection in the later stages of the first round by the Colts in 2015.  The Colts were not really in need of a WR at the time.  He was dealt to the New England Patriots for Jacoby Brissett in 2017 and now finds himself as a member of the Seattle Seahawks.  Dorsett’s best year was last season in which he posted his only 100+ point campaign.  As the 4th or 5th best option in the Seattle offense I would think Dorsett’s days of fantast relevance are gone for good.

2016 – Leonte Carroo

Mainly a special teams contributor for the Miami Dolphins, Carroo averaged 14.87 points in his 3 seasons. After not being tendered as a restricted free agent by the Dolphins after the 2018 season, Carroo was suspended the first four games of the 2019 NFL season in June 2019.[28] He was reinstated from suspension on October 1, 2019, but remained a free agent.

The 1.12’s to date have completed 36 seasons,  a total of 5 of them have been hit seasons.  Brandon LaFell is currently the only one to have provided multiple hit seasons, and Kyler the only one to do it as a rookie.

Well that’s going to do it for this episode. 

If you have yet to subscribe to Sully’s 2 Cents Dynasty Fantasy Football Podcast you can do so by searching for it on Apple Podcasts, Stitcher, Podbean, Spotify, Google Play, and now Player FM. 

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I’ll be back with episode 81 next week. 

Stay safe, and healthy Heat Seekers. 

Take care.

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80. Round One Rookie Drafts in the Past 10 Seasons 1