2021 Rookie Draft Picks: Trading Them in Your Dynasty League Could be a Good Strategy
2021 rookie draft picks are an important asset to your fantasy team. Rookie drafts in our dynasty leagues will be following shortly after the NFL Draft for a lot of leagues. This is the time of the year that the value of the draft picks in your league will be reaching their highest value, and some of the current NFL players can be acquired for a discount compared to closer to the start of the season.
There are many questions dynasty players ask themselves entering a rookie draft: “Should you take the best player available or by need at the position?,” “Does landing spot trump talent?,” or “Is the player you are wanting to draft going to be an All-Pro or bust?” What if you asked yourself, “Could I capitalize on the value of the draft picks to acquire a player I want and need that is coming off of a year where they underperformed expectations?”
With the NFL draft around the corner, 2021 rookie draft picks are being a little overvalued as dynasty owners are trying to find this year’s Justin Jefferson or Justin Herbert, both of whom went later in the first round in rookie drafts last year. Some of the more experienced dynasty league owners will actually prefer to trade away their rookie picks for NFL players that have either already shown what they can do in the NFL or players that other dynasty league managers may have lost patience on.
The players that have had a good season or two could be coming off of an injury or in a bad situation that your league mate might not like. For example, Courtland Sutton had a good second season in the NFL with 72 receptions for 1,112 yards and 6 scores, and he did this with 3 different quarterbacks. In 2020, he would have had to compete with rookie wide receiver Jerry Jeudy and tight end Noah Fant for targets. Then he was hurt in the first game of the season. Because of the competition for targets and his injury, some fantasy managers might give up on Sutton, making him worth the 2021 rookie draft picks.
A couple of examples of players that dynasty general managers could have given up on, or were more willing to move for a lower value, could include Tua Tagovailoa, Parris Campbell, or N’Keal Harry. Tua was coming back from an injury in 2020 with no offseason. Fantasy managers could see how he performed last season and overreact, making him a mid-first round pick in Superflex leagues.
I’m not saying I would offer first-round 2021 rookie draft picks for Harry or Campbell, but seeing what their managers are asking for might not be a bad idea. Both are entering their third year and were considered possible first-round rookie picks when they were rookies. Campbell was learning the system his rookie season, then got hurt in his second season, and he is now on his third quarterback in three seasons. N’Keal Harry went from learning New England’s offense with Tom Brady as a rookie to a COVID offseason with a new quarterback with Cam Newton last year. So there could be a chance of a break out at a low price.
Being a manager in dynasty fantasy football leagues means taking risks and doing your research about players. Trading away your 2021 rookie draft picks, or even trading back later in the draft, could be a gamble that could pay off big time down the road. Just remember to have a strategy and stick to it during the rookie draft.
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