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Rookie Risers and Fallers: Week 11


Rookie Risers and Fallers
MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – NOVEMBER 15: Salvon Ahmed #26 of the Miami Dolphins is pursued by Kyzir White #44 of the Los Angeles Chargers during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium on November 15, 2020 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images) Rookie Risers and Fallers

Michael Pittman

A first time riser in my Rookie Risers and Fallers article, Michael Pittman went for 101 yards on 7 receptions. He also took a carry for 21 yards on his way to a 19.2 point fantasy performance. His snaps have been consistently over 50%, so his role has been solid in this Indy offense. His target share is growing as he’s seen his most targets in the past 2 weeks. Look for that to continue, but he’s still a flex option at best with Rivers as his QB.

D’Andre Swift

Doing it both on the ground and through the air, D’Andre Swift quickly became the lead back in Detroit. He posted 81 yards on 16 carries and caught all 5 targets for an additional 68 yards and a TD. His 25.9 fantasy point performance was his second best this season, but the biggest win is his season best 73% of offensive snap share. He’s a weekly starter and looks like a RB2 the rest of the season.

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Antonio Gibson

Gibson again finds himself on my Rookie Risers and Fallers list. He had a fairly well-rounded game catching all 4 targets for 20 yards and rushing for 43 yards and 2 TDs. Most of his 22.5 points came from TDs, but it’s encouraging to see him find the endzone for the third week in a row and 6 of 9 games this year. His 3.5 YPC isn’t great, but he’s still a weekly flex play due to his nose for the endzone, volume he receives and his part in the passing game.

Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins continues to shine coming off his best game so far in his career. He caught 7 of 9 targets for 115 yards and a TD for 22.5 fantasy points. This is his 7th straight double digit fantasy performance showing he’s a reliable fantasy starter week in and week out. The 21 year old is a must start the rest of the season and is matchup proof since he’s arguably Burrow’s favorite target.

Brandon Aiyuk

Continuing to take advantage of the injured 49ers WR room, Aiyuk put up another great game of 19.7 points. He saw a career high 14 targets catching just 7 of them for 75 yards and a TD. His only carry went for -8 yards, but he got in done through the air. You have to love a guy who gets used in more ways than one. He’s heading into his BYE week, but he’s a flex play most weeks.

Salvon Ahmed

Most fantasy managers expected Jordan Howard and Patrick Laird to share carries with Gaskin and Breida out, but Salvon Ahmed was the man Sunday. A first time riser on my Rookie Risers and Fallers list, he ran for 85 yards on 21 carries and a TD while catching his only target for an additional 5 yards. Miami cut Howard following Sunday, so there may be more opportunity in store for Ahmed going forward, but don’t expect much when Gaskin and Breida come back.

Chase Claypool

Like Aiyuk, Claypool got it done through the air but not on the ground. He hauled in just 4 of 10 targets for 56 yards with 2 of them going for TDs and rushed twice for -3 yards. More than half his points came from TDs, but the Steelers love Chase and he’ll continue his big role in their offense. Since his BYE in Week 4, Claypool’s only had one off game and has found himself as a riser most of the season on my Rookie Risers and Fallers lists. He’s a weekly starter without question and has a great matchup against the Jaguars next week.

Justin Jefferson

Another top tier performance from Justin Jefferson who’s making a case for the top rookie WR spot this year. He posted 21.5 fantasy points while not finding the endzone which is impressive in itself. His stat line was a fantastic 8 receptions on 10 targets for 135 yards. I’m going to repeat the what I have been saying in my Rookie Risers and Fallers articles; he’s a boom or bust week to week, but his next 3 games are incredible matchups with big boom possibilities.


Rookie Risers and Fallers
FOXBOROUGH, MA – NOVEMBER 15: New England Patriots defender Chase Winovich and teammates stop Baltimore Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins during third quarter action. The New England Patriots host the Baltimore Ravens in an NFL Sunday Night football game at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA on Nov. 15, 2020. (Photo by Matthew J. Lee/The Boston Globe via Getty Images) Rookie Risers and Fallers

J.K. Dobbins

He found himself as a faller last week in my Rookie Risers and Fallers article with optimism that he wouldn’t be here again this week but here we are. A shockingly dismal performance of just 13 yards on 5 carries and caught 1 of 2 targets for 1 additional yard. His usage has gone down from 15 carries on 66% of offensive snaps in his big game against Pittsburgh 2 weeks ago to 5 carries on 44% this week. Ingram did return to the lineup though. He’s got a very favorable matchup against the Titans this week, but I’m hesitant to start him in my flex with the uncertainty of his volume.

Jonathan Taylor

A measly 5.7 fantasy points is the result of the fewest snap count JT posted so far this season at 24%. On top of that, he averaged a season low 1.7 YPC on 7 carries for 12 yards; most of his points came from his 2 receptions for 25 yards. Unfortunately, JT has become a bench warmer on your team until Frank Reich gives him more touches because he’s clearly the best RB in Indy long term. Dynasty players hold tight because his time is coming. I’m sorry JT truthers, but it’s looking like the end of something that could’ve been great in 2020.

Zack Moss

I’ve been high on Zack Moss this season, but unfortunately he finds himself on the other side of my Rookie Risers and Fallers list. It was a bad day for both Bills RBs though Moss was still the favored back in Buffalo. He managed just 20 yards on 7 carries and caught 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards. He’s a low ceiling, low floor player the rest of the year.

DeeJay Dallas

With Carson and Hyde out again, Dallas was seen by many as the lead back this week, but Alex Collins stole the volume. Both Collins and Homer finished with more fantasy points than Dallas’s 5.1. He only got 2 carries that he took for 8 yards and caught 2 balls for 23 yards. He’s not a play the rest of the season especially with Carson and Hyde coming back soon.

Joshua Kelley

I’ve been low on Kelley in my Rookie Risers and Fallers articles this year, and I’ve been right so far. It’s so bad that Kalen Ballage took over the #1 role with Ekeler and Jackson on IR. While Ballage played 72% of snaps and had 23 touches, Kelley played just 27% snaps with 7 touches. He belongs on waivers in Redraft formats and a hold in Dynasty.

Other Notable Observations

Rookie Risers and Fallers
DETROIT, MI – NOVEMBER 15: Washington Football Team wide receiver Isaiah Wright (83) jumps over Detroit Lions cornerback Justin Coleman (27) while running with the ball after catching a pass during the second half of a regular season game between the Washington Football Team and the Detroit Lions on November 15, 2020 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Scott W. Grau/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images). Rookie Risers and Fallers

Isaiah Wright

Isaiah Wright is a guy I’ve had my eyes on since Week 4 when he played 82% of snaps. He was a new name to watch for in my 2020 Rookie Risers and Fallers: Week 7 article. He failed to produce then got hurt, but he finally put up his first double digit performance that I felt needed to be noted. Washington’s offense is bad, but his potential is there. He caught all 6 targets for 59 yards on 33% snaps. He might be a buy low if you have the space because he could step into something if the injury bug strikes the Football Team.

Tua Tagovailoa

Another low volume passing game for the Dolphins, Tua completed 15 of 25 attempts for 169 yards, 0 INTs and 2 TDs. He’s now 3-0 as a starter, but I’m curious to see if his volume increases in games when his defense doesn’t play well. He had 6 rush attempts for -1 yard which is uncharacteristic of him. He’s a mid-low QB2 the rest of the year unless his game skyrockets in the back half of the season.

Bryan Edwards

Having high expectations for Edwards coming into the year, he found himself as a faller in my 2020 Rookie Risers and Fallers: Week 2 article. He hasn’t played since Week 3 due to injury, so his 1 reception for 16 yards on 27% snaps isn’t surprising but worth noting.

New Names To Watch For

Rookie Risers and Fallers
NASHVILLE, TN – NOVEMBER 12: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine #15 of the Tennessee Titans warms up before a game against the Indianapolis Colts at Nissan Stadium on November 12, 2020 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Colts defeated the Titans 34-17. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images) Rookie Risers and Fallers
  • Rodney Smith – 3 rushes for 13 yards and caught his only target for 2 yards (18% offensive snaps)
  • Reggie Gilliam – no activity (3%)
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine – didn’t catch his only target (15%)
  • Noah Togiai – no activity (23%)
  • Charlie Woerner – no activity (11%)

Thank you for reading 2020 Rookie Risers and Fallers: Week 11. If you have any additional questions about someone I didn’t touch on, make sure to let me know in the comments below! For more articles like this visit RotoHeat. Don’t forget to SUBSCRIBE!