2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7
JACKSONVILLE, FL – OCTOBER 18: Jacksonville Jaguars Running Back James Robinson (30) runs with the ball during the game between the Detroit Lions and the Jacksonville Jaguars on October 18, 2020 at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7

The leap from college football to the NFL is not easy by any stretch of the imagination. While some positions, like running back, have easier transitions, all rookies have to adjust to facing bigger, faster, and stronger opponents. On top of that, they also have to learn a new playbook and system that is likely different from the one they were used to in college.

The Preseason is typically their chance to adapt and get used to the next level of play before the real season begins. Needless to say, an offseason with no offseason field time until August, and no preseason will cut significantly into the much needed experience these rookies will acquire. Expect the rookies even the so called “can’t miss” guys to start off a slower than their fantasy mangers are hoping for.

The 2020 Fantasy Rookie Tracker follows the fantasy production of the 2020 Rookie class and compares their results to the RotoHeat team’s consensus Dynasty Rookie Rankings. In the initial installment of this season long series, I take a look at the Top-20 ranked, list their Week one projection and give you my thoughts on their match-up. As the season progresses the Rookies will be re-ranked based on their year-to-date performance. We review their previous week and take a look at the week to come as we follow this draft class that comes with so much hype and promise.

Top 20 Rookies

James Robinson – RB Jacksonville Jaguars
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 39
Current Rank: 1
Week 6 Projection: 17.40
Week 6 Actual: 15.30
Season to Date Actual: 101.90
Weekly Average: 16.98
Week 7 Projection: 18.30

James Robinson rushed 12 times for 29 yards in the Jaguars’ Week 6 loss to the Lions, adding four receptions for 24 additional yards and a touchdown. For the second straight week, Robinson struggled running the football, against a bad run defense. He continues to hold value due to his work in the receiving game. Robinson has at least four catches in four straight games. The shine is slowly coming off the apple here, and Robinson will be a mid-low-end RB2 for Week 7 vs. a Chargers defense that will be coming off its bye week.

Justin Jefferson – WR Minnesota Vikings
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 8
Current Rank: 2
Week 6 Projection: 14.60
Week 6 Actual: 39.60
Season to Date Actual: 101.70
Weekly Average: 16.95
Week 7 Projection: Bye Week

Justin Jefferson caught 9-of-11 targets for 166 yards and two touchdowns in the Vikings’ Week 6 loss to the Falcons. Jefferson is quickly becoming one of the better route runners, playmakers, and downfield threats in the NFL, and the dude is only 21 years old. He saw a team-high 31% target share Sunday while Adam Thielen only had five targets. Jefferson needs the Vikings to pass more to have a high weekly floor. The good news is the Vikings defense is bad and a higher than expected passing volume should be rather consistent. The upside is obvious and appears like it is here to stay. Jefferson is the WR7 overall after 6 weeks of action and is averaging 22.43 PPR points a game in his last 4 weeks.

Joe Burrow – QB Cincinnati Bengals
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 14
Current Rank: 3
Week 6 Projection: 16.30
Week 6 Actual: 17.72
Season to Date Actual: 101.38
Weekly Average: 16.90
Week 7 Projection: 16.20

Joe Burrow completed 25-of-39 passes for 313 yards and one pick, and added a rushing score in Cincinnati’s 31-27 Week 6 loss to the Colts. Burrow was effective throwing downfield in this one, to Tee Higgins (6/125) and over the middle to A.J. Green (8/96). Joe Burrow got back into the 300+ passing yard category for the 4th time this season. Week 7 versus the Cleveland Browns is shaping up as a good match-up for Burrow and the Bengals. Joe be a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 against the Browns.

CeeDee Lamb – WR Dallas Cowboys
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 4
Current Rank: 4
Week 6 Projection: 14.70
Week 6 Actual: 13.40
Season to Date Actual: 99.00
Weekly Average: 16.50
Week 7 Projection: 14.40

CeeDee Lamb caught 7-of-10 targets for 64 yards in the Cowboys’ Week 6 loss to the Cardinals. His 10 targets were tied with Amari Cooper for second on the team behind Ezekiel Elliott’s 11 on a night Andy Dalton attempted 54 passes. It’s good thing that there are no pictures on the stat sheet as this one was extremely ugly. Lamb is going to see heavy volume with Dalton under center, maintaining his fantasy relevance. This offense however, is going to be so much worse without Dak Prescott. Lamb and the Cowboys face Washington in Week 7, and CeeDee will be a flex worthy WR.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7
ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK – OCTOBER 19: Clyde Edwards-Helaire #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs carries the ball against the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Bills Stadium on October 19, 2020 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – RB Kansas City Chiefs
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 2
Current Rank: 5
Week 6 Projection: 18.70
Week 6 Actual: 20.90
Season to Date Actual: 95.20
Weekly Average: 15.87
Week 7 Projection: 17.20

Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed 26 times for 161 yards in the Chiefs’ Week 6 win against the Bills, adding eight yards on four catches. CEH could do no wrong against Buffalo. He had five carries go for 10 or more yards including a 31-yard run in the 1st quarter that set the tone for the night. The 26 carries and 161 yards were both season highs and the second time this season that CEH has eclipsed 100 rushing yards. The touchdown remains his missing link. For the second straight week he scored only to have it called back by penalty. Season to date he remains stuck on one touchdowns despite having 128 touches. Le’Veon Bell is set to join the team this week but this CEH performance may have earned him a larger split over Bell. Moving forward I see both Chiefs backs as RB2’s.

Justin Herbert – QB Los Angeles Chargers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 26
Current Rank: 6
Week 6 Projection: Bye week
Week 6 Actual: Bye Week
Season to Date Actual: 90.30
Weekly Average: 22.58
Week 7 Projection: 18.50

Justin Herbert returns from his bye week to lead the Los Angeles Chargers into battle against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Herbert is averaging 299 passing yards, 2.8 touchdown passes and 22.56 fantasy points a game since taking hold of the starting role in LA. He will pencil in as a high end QB2 this week with certain QB1 upside.

Chase Claypool – WR Pittsburgh Steelers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 21
Current Rank: 7
Week 6 Projection: 11.90
Week 6 Actual: 18.10
Season to Date Actual: 88.60
Weekly Average: 17.72
Week 7 Projection: 14.90

So its probably time that I accept that Chase Claypool is a feature part of this Pittsburgh Steelers offense. Claypool caught all four of his targets for 74 yards in the Steelers’ Week 6 win over the Browns, adding two rushing attempts for seven yards and one touchdown. Once again, Claypool led the Steelers in receiving yards, and was tied for second with Eric Ebron and Juju Smith-Shuster behind James Washington for targets. Claypool has quickly become a high-upside WR3. In Week 7 versus the Titans he needs to be in your starting lineups.

Jonathan Taylor – RB Indianapolis Colts
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 1
Current Rank: 8
Week 6 Projection: 17.00
Week 6 Actual: 15.50
Season to Date Actual: 86.90
Weekly Average: 14.48
Week 7 Projection: Bye Week

Jonathan Taylor rushed 12 times for 60 yards, adding in four receptions for 55 receiving yards in Indianapolis’ Week 6 win over the Bengals. Taylor averaged 5.0 yards per carry but continues to not get the workload his fantasy mangers crave. He had a total of 12 carries in this one. The positive is he had a 72.7% backfield touch rate, (12 of 13 carries, 16 of 22 touches) which was his season’s-high. He’s Indianapolis’ clear RB1 based on the usage he’s received the past two weeks. Look for him to explode as a potential league winner when the Colts return from their bye in Week 8.

Antonio Gibson – RB Washington Football Team
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 19
Current Rank: 9
Week 6 Projection: 14.40
Week 6 Actual: 9.50
Season to Date Total: 74.00
Weekly Average: 12.33
Week 7 Projection: 13.60

Antonio Gibson rushed nine times for 30 yards in Washington’s Week 6 loss to the Giants, adding four catches for 25 yards.
Gibson was relegated to committee back duties once again this week. His nine carries were only one more than J.D. McKissic, who also saw more targets than Gibson. Kyle Allen’s propensity to dump the ball off generated 12 running back targets for Washington but Gibson saw less than half of them. He currently projects as a RB3 in PPR leagues. Gibson and the Football Team face off against Dallas Sunday, who just got shredded by Kenyan Drake and the Arizona Cardinals.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7
INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA – OCTOBER 18: Tee Higgins #85 of the Cincinnati Bengals makes a reception Rock Ya-Sin #26 of the Indianapolis Colts during the first half at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 18, 2020 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7

Tee Higgins – WR Cincinnati Bengals
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 15
Current Rank: 10
Week 6 Projection: 12.00
Week 6 Actual: 18.70
Season to Date Actual: 69.40
Weekly Average: 11.57
Week 7 Projection: 12.00

Tee Higgins caught 6-of-8 targets for a season-high 125 yards in the Bengals’ Week 6 loss to Indianapolis. Higgins has morphed into the Bengals’ No. 2 threat behind Tyler Boyd in this Bengal offense. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was to pass Boyd in the coming weeks. He has a great rapport with fellow rookie Joe Burrow. Higgins has another plus match-up against the beat-up Cleveland Browns secondary in Week 7 against the Browns. I would expect Higgins to exceed his projection and be a low end WR2 in this one.

D’Andre Swift – RB Detroit Lions
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 7
Current Rank: 11
Week 6 Projection: 6.40
Week 6 Actual: 27.30
Season to Date Actual: 68.90
Weekly Average: 13.70
Week 7 Projection: 12.90

Well now, that is more like it. Sunday is what D’Andre Swift Fantasy Managers have been waiting for. Swift rushed 14 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns and adding three receptions for seven additional yards in the Lions’ Week 6 win over the Jaguars. Swift’s 14 carries more than doubled his previous season total. Adrian Peterson remained involved for a team-leading 15 carries, which is frustrating. Regardless, Swift finally demonstrated upside on all three downs, he is now a safe FLEX option. He will be a top-24-30 back in Week 7 vs. a Falcons defense that gives up RB receptions like no other.

Laviska Shenault Jr. – WR Jacksonville Jaguars
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 12
Current Rank: 12
Week 6 Projection: 12.30
Week 6 Actual: 4.10
Season to Date Actual: 65.40
Weekly Average: 13.78
Week 7 Projection: 11.1

Laviska Shenault caught 3-of-7 targets for 10 yards in the Jaguars’ Week 6 loss to the Lions. With the hype growing coming off back-to-back 79-yard receiving efforts, Shenault took a backseat to Keelan Cole and D.J. Chark. Cole went off for 143 yards while Chark drew 14 targets. Shenault has done well to establish his upside, but his floor remains close to zero points. He will be a risk/reward WR4 for Week 7 vs. the Chargers.

Brandon Aiyuk – WR San Francisco 49ers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 13
Current Rank: 13
Week 5 Projection: 11.30
Week 5 Actual: 9.20
Season to Date Actual: 55.40
Weekly Average: 11.08
Week 6 Projection: 9.4

This was a quiet night for Brandon Aiyuk outside of his touchdown. Aiyuk caught 2-of-3 targets for 12 yards and a touchdown in Week 6 against the Rams. It’s the first receiving touchdown for Aiyuk, who has two rushing scores. Aiyuk was out-targeted by both George Kittle (10) and Deebo Samuel (6). He’s a low-floor WR4 for a matchup with the Patriots in Week 7. Do your best to leave him on your bench.

Jerry Jeudy – WR Denver Broncos
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 5
Current Rank: 14
Week 6 Projection: 9.50
Week 6 Actual: 5.20
Season to Date: 49.60
Weekly Average: 9.92
Week 7 Projection: 10.80

Jerry Jeudy caught 2-of-5 targets for 32 yards in Week 6 against the Broncos. Jeudy struggled to get open when he was on Stephon Gilmore’s side of the field. His targets have been trending down despite KJ Hamler and Noah Fant missing time, with just eight over the last two games. Jeudy’s role could further decline if Hamler returns in Week 7. It’s been a frustrating year thus far for the rookie, dealing with nagging injury, numerous sub par quarterbacks and schedule alterations. I expect the remainder of the season to be an improvement over the first five games.

2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7
PHILADELPHIA, PA – OCTOBER 18: J.K. Dobbins #27 of the Baltimore Ravens runs the ball against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on October 18, 2020 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7

J.K. Dobbins – RB Baltimore Ravens
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 3
Current Rank: 15
Week 6 Projection: 10.10
Week 6 Actual: 4.90
Season to Date Actual: 45.80
Weekly Average: 7.63
Week 7 Projection: Bye Week

J.K. Dobbins rushed nine times for 28 yards in the Ravens’ Week 6 win against the Eagles, adding two catches for one yard.
The Ravens seemed intent on working Dobbins into the offense early against the Eagles, to no avail. He struggled to find open running lanes, often forced to spring east and west. If Mark Ingram misses Week 8 with an ankle injury, Dobbins could be in line for a few more touches against the Steelers. He’s only startable for the running back desperate manager however.

Gabriel Davis – WR Buffalo Bills
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 40
Current Rank: 16
Week 6 Projection: 7.80
Week 6 Actual: 1.70
Season to Date Actual: 45.40
Weekly Average: 7.57
Week 7 Projection: 4.40

With WR John Brown back in the Bills lineup, it was back to fantasy irrelevance for Gabriel Davis. Davis caught his only target for 7 yards on Monday night. The previous week with Brown out of the lineup, Davis had 5 catches for 58 yards on a season high 9 targets. He remains a solid Dynasty stash one WR injury away from fantasy relevance.

Darnell Mooney – WR Chicago Bears
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: NR
Current Rank: 17
Week 6 Projection: 8.20
Week 6 Actual: 6.60
Season to Date Actual: 43.30
Weekly Average: 7.22
Week 7 Projection: 7.70

Darnell Mooney caught 3-of-5 targets for 36 yards in the Bears’ Week 6 win over the Panthers. The Bears simply did not need a ton of offensive output, but Mooney continues to solidify his place as the team’s No. 2 option on the outside. The fifth-round rookie has certainly been a pleasant surprise this season. He has seen at least five targets in four straight games. Mooney is another solid Dynasty asset who at times might slide into your roster as a flex during heavy bye weeks.

Joshua Kelley – RB Los Angeles Chargers
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 27
Current Rank: 18
Week 6 Projection: Bye week
Week 6 Actual: Bye week
Season to Date Actual: 39.60
Weekly Average: 7.92
Week 7 Projection: 6.90

The Chargers return from their Bye week to face Jacksonville in Week 7. In Week 5, Kelley struggled in his first game without Austin Ekeler riding shotgun. It was Justin Jackson who emerged as the lead back for no for the Chargers. The Jaguars are a welcoming opponent to opposing RB’s and I wouldn’t be surprised if both backs give you a decent fantasy day. With the RB landscape looking like it does, he’s a flex if nothing else this week.

Henry Ruggs – WR Las Vegas Raiders
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 9
Current Rank: 19
Week 6 Projection: Bye Week
Week 6 Actual: Bye Week
Season to Date Actual: 30.80
Weekly Average: 10.27
Week 7 Projection: 8.20

The Raiders Week 6 bye was well times for Henry Ruggs as he continues to make his way thru his hamstring issue. Rest is never a bad thing. Ruggs enters Week 6 with a total of 6 receptions for 177 yards and a touchdown. With 29.5 yards per catch its been all or nothing for Ruggs so far in 2020. With Tampa Bay coming to town in Week 7, its going to be hard to get Ruggs into your lineups unless you are stuck at the WR position.

Devin Duvernay – WR Baltimore Ravens
RotoHeat Rookie Ranking: 29
Current Rank: 20
Week 6 Projection: 5.60
Week 6 Actual: 6.10
Season to Date Actual: 29.20
Weekly Average: 4.867
Week 7 Projection: Bye Week

Devin Duvernay caught 3-of-3 targets for 31 yards in the Ravens’ Week 6 win over the Eagles. The Ravens continue to use Duvernay and his speed in short yardage situations. He didn’t see a deep target against the Eagles, which seems like a missed opportunity. Duvernay should be picked up in 14-team redraft leagues as a receiver who could see more opportunity should Marquise Brown miss any time this season. Other than that he is a Dynasty stash with what appears a solid future.

Thank you for reading 2020 Rookie Fantasy Tracker Week 7. Good luck in Week 6 everyone!

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