The 2020 Fantasy Wide Receivers Consistency Report is meant to help gauge just how valuable wide receivers are on a weekly basis in our starting lineups. When we looked at this for 2019, we learned that outside of Michael Thomas, consistency at the wide receiver position varied greatly. Some, like Amari Cooper, were more consistent than perceived and many others were less consistent.
The first thing we have to look at is that not every week is created equal. For example, in one week a receiver could score 18.40 points and be a WR1, but in another, they would’ve had to score over 22.29 to qualify.
Rank | Min | Max | Average |
---|---|---|---|
WR1 | 18.4 | 23.3 | 20.8 |
WR2 | 14.1 | 17.4 | 15.7 |
WR3 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 12.1 |
Looking at the 2020 numbers, the first thing to point out is that we saw a pretty solid difference between 2019 & 2020. In 2019, the worst WR1 threshold was 16.5, and in 2020 that was 1.9 points higher at 18.4. The average for WR1 entry jumped from 19.8 to 20.8, and the average to be a top 36 wide receiver moved from 10.9 to 12.1. Unsurprisingly, wide receivers are scoring more points than ever.
8. Fantasy Wide Receivers: Weekly Rankings
Just like 2019, there were 13 receivers that had five or more WR1 weeks.
Player | #WR1 Weeks | #WR1 AVG (20.8 Pts) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
Davante Adams | 8 | 8 | Even |
DeAndre Hopkins | 8 | 8 | Even |
Tyreek Hill | 7 | 7 | Even |
Adam Thielen | 6 | 6 | Even |
Calvin Ridley | 6 | 5 | -1 |
Diontae Johnson | 6 | 6 | Even |
A.J. Brown | 6 | 6 | Even |
Stefon Diggs | 5 | 6 | +1 |
Justin Jefferson | 5 | 6 | +1 |
D.K. Metcalf | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Allen Robinson | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Tyler Lockett | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Keenan Allen | 5 | 5 | Even |
Seven of the 13 receivers had the same amount of WR1 weeks when considering weekly rankings and the yearly average WR1 threshold. Two receivers, Stefon Diggs and Justin Jefferson, actually had one additional week where they scored the 20.8 points needed to qualify for the yearly WR1 threshold. Four receivers–Calvin Ridley, D.K. Metcalf, Allen Robinson and Tyler Lockett–actually lost a WR1 week.
The following wide receivers had more WR1 weeks based on the yearly average than via weekly rankings.
Player | #WR1 Weeks | #WR1 AVG (20.8 Pts) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
Justin Jefferson | 4 | 5 | +1 |
Stefon Diggs | 3 | 4 | +1 |
Will Fuller | 3 | 4 | +1 |
Nelson Agholor | 2 | 3 | +1 |
Curtis Samuel | 2 | 3 | +1 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 2 | 3 | +1 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 2 | 3 | +1 |
Chase Claypool | 1 | 2 | +1 |
Marquise Brown | 1 | 2 | +1 |
We also see 14 players, that were not in the tables above who lost at least one WR1 week compared to the average.
Player | #WR1 Weeks | #WR1 AVG (20.8 Pts) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
D.J. Moore | 4 | 2 | -2 |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 3 | 1 | -2 |
Mike Evans | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Cole Beasley | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Tyler Boyd | 3 | 2 | -1 |
Julio Jones | 3 | 2 | -1 |
CeeDee Lamb | 3 | 2 | -1 |
Travis Fulgham | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Russell Gage | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Keelan Cole Sr. | 2 | 1 | -1 |
DeVante Parker | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Antonio Brown | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Collin Johnson | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Adam Humphries | 1 | 0 | -1 |
7. Looking at WR2 & WR3 Weeks
Here all the players with at least four WR2 weeks.
Player | #WR2 Weeks | #WR2 AVG (15.7 Pts) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs | 6 | 5 | -1 |
Amari Cooper | 6 | 5 | -1 |
Robby Anderson | 6 | 6 | Even |
Mike Evans | 5 | 5 | Even |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 5 | 5 | Even |
Chris Godwin | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Tyreek Hill | 4 | 4 | Even |
Calvin Ridley | 4 | 6 | +2 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Curtis Samuel | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Chase Claypool | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Gabriel Davis | 4 | 4 | Even |
John Brown | 4 | 4 | Even |
Kenny Golladay | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Marquise Brown | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Not every +/- is equal. Some of the receivers gained a WR2 week from losing a WR1 week and some were gained from a WR3 week jumping to a WR2 week.
Here are the eight receivers with 4 or more WR3 weeks.
Player | #WR3 Weeks | #WR3 Avg (12.7 Pts) | Difference |
---|---|---|---|
Cooper Kupp | 5 | 4 | -1 |
Emmanuel Sanders | 5 | 5 | Even |
Allen Robinson | 4 | 4 | Even |
Brandin Cooks | 4 | 4 | Even |
Jarvis Landry | 4 | 2 | -2 |
Terry McLaurin | 4 | 4 | Even |
Marquise Brown | 4 | 5 | +1 |
Stefon Diggs | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Again, when it comes to WR3 weeks, the difference can be made up by both moving down from WR2 weeks and up from WR4 weeks.
6. Combined WR1-WR3 Weeks
All my leagues start 3 WRs. Having guys that hit that threshold consistently are important. Obviously, the numbers aren’t equal as WR1 weeks are worth more than WR3 weeks, but this gives us an idea of who is a safe play week-to-week.
Here are the 32 players that were WR1-WR3 in a 50%+ of their teams games.
Player | WR1 | WR2 | WR3 | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
Tyreek Hill | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
Davante Adams | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
Calvin Ridley | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
Terry McLaurin | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
Allen Robinson | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
Amari Cooper | 3 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
D.K. Metcalf | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
A.J. Brown | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
Keenan Allen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
Diontae Johnson | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
DeAndre Hopkins | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Justin Jefferson | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
Mike Evans | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
Robby Anderson | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
Chris Godwin | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Brandin Cooks | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
Cooper Kupp | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
Curtis Samuel | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
Chase Claypool | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
Robert Woods | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
Will Fuller | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
Corey Davis | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
Emmanuel Sanders | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
Adam Thielen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
D.J. Moore | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
Jarvis Landry | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
Tyler Boyd | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
CeeDee Lamb | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
Marquise Brown | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Tee Higgins | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
And here is how that list changes when factoring in the average threshold for each of WR1, WR2, & WR3 on the season.
Player | WR1 (20.8) | WR2 (15.7) | WR3 (12.1) | Total | +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefon Diggs | 6 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -1 |
Tyreek Hill | 7 | 4 | 2 | 13 | Even |
Amari Cooper | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Calvin Ridley | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | Even |
Allen Robinson | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | Even |
D.K. Metcalf | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | Even |
Davante Adams | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 | -1 |
Terry McLaurin | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | Even |
A.J. Brown | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | Even |
DeAndre Hopkins | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | Even |
Diontae Johnson | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | Even |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | Even |
Justin Jefferson | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | Even |
Keenan Allen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | Even |
Mike Evans | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10 | Even |
Adam Theilen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +1 |
Brandon Cooks | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | Even |
Chris Godwin | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | Even |
Marquise Brown | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
Robby Anderson | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -1 |
Robert Woods | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | Even |
Will Fuller | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | +1 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | Even |
CeeDee Lamb | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Even |
Chase Claypool | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -1 |
Cooper Kupp | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1 |
Curtis Samuel | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -1 |
D.J. Moore | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Even |
Marvin Jones | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +2 |
Tee Higgins | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | Even |
Tyler Boyd | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | Even |
As you can see, Marvin Jones (+1) jumps into the top 31 with Jarvis Landry (-2), Emmanuel Sanders (-1), and Corey Davis (-1) dropping out. The biggest mover was Marvin Jones who only had 6 WR1-WR3 weeks, yet scored 12.1 pts (WR3 Average) in 8 games.
5. Fantasy Wide Receiver Consistency Value Metric
Here is the value metric to determine our WR consistency value.
- WR1 = 6
- WR2 = 4
- WR3 = 2
Included in this, we also give a 4pt bonus for “game winning” weeks of 30+ PPR points. Here are the 30+ point weeks:
Player | 30+ Point Weeks |
---|---|
Davante Adams | 6 |
Tyler Lockett | 3 |
Adam Thielen | 2 |
Brandin Cooks | 2 |
Calvin Ridley | 2 |
Justin Jefferson | 2 |
Kennan Allen | 2 |
Tyreek Hill | 2 |
A.J. Brown | 1 |
Amari Cooper | 1 |
Antonio Brown | 1 |
Chase Claypool | 1 |
Chris Godwin | 1 |
Corey Davis | 1 |
D.K. Metcalf | 1 |
DeAndre Hopkins | 1 |
Isaiah McKenzie | 1 |
Julio Jones | 1 |
Marvin Jones | 1 |
Michael Gallup | 1 |
Mike Evans | 1 |
Odell Beckham Jr. | 1 |
Richie James Jr. | 1 |
Robert Woods | 1 |
Stefon Diggs | 1 |
Sterling Shepard | 1 |
Travis Fulgham | 1 |
Will Fuller | 1 |
After factoring all that in, I averaged their normal score with their average rank score and came up with the following.
4. The WR1s
Player | Score |
---|---|
Davante Adams | 90 |
Tyreek Hill | 76.5 |
Stefon Diggs | 73 |
Calvin Ridley | 70 |
DeAndre Hopkins | 63 |
Justin Jefferson | 60 |
Keenan Allen | 59 |
A.J. Brown | 58 |
Adam Thielen | 56.5 |
D.K. Metcalf | 56.5 |
Amari Cooper | 56 |
Mike Evans | 53 |
The list changes a little when we divide their score by games played to get their per game average score.
Player | Per Game Score |
---|---|
Davante Adams | 6.43 |
Tyreek Hill | 5.10 |
Calvin Ridley | 4.67 |
Stefon Diggs | 4.56 |
Keenan Allen | 4.21 |
A.J. Brown | 4.14 |
Will Fuller | 4.05 |
DeAndre Hopkins | 3.94 |
Julio Jones | 3.78 |
Adam Thielen | 3.77 |
Justin Jefferson | 3.75 |
Chris Godwin | 3.63 |
3. The WR2s
Players | Score |
---|---|
Diontae Johnson | 51 |
Allen Robinson | 50.5 |
Tyler Lockett | 50.5 |
Terry McLuarin | 49.5 |
Robert Woods | 49.5 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 49 |
Brandin Cooks | 48.5 |
Will Fuller | 44.5 |
Chris Godwin | 43.5 |
Curtis Samuel | 42 |
Chase Claypool | 42 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 41 |
And the per game WR13-WR24
Player | Per Game Score |
---|---|
D.K. Metcalf | 3.53 |
Amari Cooper | 3.50 |
Brandon Aiyuk | 3.42 |
Diontae Johnson | 3.40 |
Mike Evans | 3.31 |
Terry McLaurin | 3.30 |
Brandin Cooks | 3.23 |
Allen Robinson | 3.16 |
Tyler Lockett | 3.16 |
Robert Woods | 3.09 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 3.06 |
Antonio Brown | 2.94 |
2. The WR3s
Player | Score |
---|---|
Marvin Jones | 40 |
Robby Anderson | 39.5 |
D.J. Moore | 39 |
Corey Davis | 38.5 |
Tyler Boyd | 37 |
CeeDee Lamb | 37 |
Tee Higgins | 36 |
Cooper Kupp | 35 |
Julio Jones | 34 |
Jamison Crowder | 34 |
Cole Beasley | 33.5 |
Nelson Agholor | 32.5 |
And the per game WR25-WR36
Player | Per Game Score |
---|---|
Jamison Crowder | 2.83 |
Curtis Samuel | 2.80 |
Corey Davis | 2.75 |
Chase Claypool | 2.63 |
D.J. Moore | 2.60 |
Marvin Jones | 2.50 |
Robby Anderson | 2.47 |
Tyler Boyd | 2.47 |
Sterling Shepard | 2.38 |
Cooper Kupp | 2.33 |
CeeDee Lamb | 2.31 |
John Brown | 2.28 |
1. In Conclusion
Looking back at the 2019 Consistency Report, we find that this is a relatively sticky stat. 4/12 wide receivers from 2019 found themselves back in the WR1 consistency ranks in 2020, while 4 others only dropped to WR2’s.
- The WR1s (2019/2020)
- Davante Adams: 4.21/6.43
- DeAndre Hopkins: 4.30/3.94
- Julio Jones: 4.23/3.78
- Chris Godwin: 4.64/3.63
The WR1s that moved to WR2s (2019/2020)
- Amari Cooper: 3.66/3.50
- Mike Evans: 3.96/3.31
- Allen Robinson: 3.63/3.16
- Robert Woods: 3.63/3.09
The 4 that didn’t make the cut.
- Michael Thomas: 6.57/1.93 (WR44/Injury)
- Cooper Kupp: 3.88/2.33 (WR34)
- DeVante Parker: 3.81/2.11 (WR41)
- Julian Edelman: 3.69/1.50 (WR60/Injury)
WR2s that moved to WR1s (2019/2020)
- Tyreek Hill: 3.58/5.10
- Calvin Ridley: 3.35/4.67
- Keenan Allen: 3.31/4.21
- A.J. Brown: 3.00/4.14
WR3s that moved to WR1s (2019/2020)
- Stefon Diggs: 2.77/4.56
Looking at trends, while a short sample size, it looks that 2021 WR1s will likely have been at least a WR1 or WR2 in 2020, with 2/3 of the 2020 finishers fitting that mold. Stefon Diggs jumped from WR3 to WR1, with Will Fuller and Adam Thielen jumping from unranked. Justin Jefferson was the only rookie WR1, Brandon Aiyuk the only WR2, with Chase Claypool and CeeDee Lamb rounding out the rookies as WR3s.
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