Week 9 Start/Sit

There are four teams on bye in week 9; Atlanta, Cincinnati, Los Angeles Rams, and the New Orleans Saints.  Not all bye weeks are created equally.  This week there are a significant number of fantasy relevant players not available to you.

These teams are loaded with your weekly set it and forget it type of players.  Players like Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Drew Brees, Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara, Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, and Cooper Kupp to name a few.

1. Start of the Week:

JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA – OCTOBER 27: Le’Veon Bell #26 of the New York Jets runs the ball in the first quarter of a football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field on October 27, 2019 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Le’Veon Bell, NY Jets  RB19 97.60 PPR Fantasy Points

Le’Veon Bell is coming off his worst fantasy outing since week 1 of the 2017 season, last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Bell was limited to 12 touches and totaled 35 yards. 

What a difference a week can make.  Bell and the Jets offense go up against the worst defense in the NFL, and the defense that gives up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing RBs this season (31.0). Miami is fresh off giving up 158 yards to the Steelers and sit 31st in the NFL allowing 160.4 rushing yards per game.

After 109 carries, Bell is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry, easily a career low. However, I don’t see him struggling this Sunday afternoon against a porous Dolphins defense.  Start him with confidence.

2. Quarterbacks

ORCHARD PARK, NY – OCTOBER 27: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills runs the ball during the first half against the Philadelphia Eagles at New Era Field on October 27, 2019 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)

Start

Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills QB18 128.22 Fantasy Points

Allen faces the woeful Redskins in week 9.  Washington has been good against opposing quarterbacks in recent weeks.  In week 6 they held the combo of Josh Rosen and Ryan Fitzpatrick to 11.18, fantasy points, Jimmy Garoppolo to 7.04 in week 7, and Kirk Cousins to 11.60 in week 8.  Don’t be fooled, Miami is Miami, Garoppolo played the Skins in a rain storm, and Cousins shredded the Skins going 23/26.  They just didn’t score. 

Allen enters this one motivated after a poor performance (17.26 points) against the Eagles in week 8 loss.  I look for Allen to bounce back and use his legs in addition to his arm on route to his best fantasy outing of the season.

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions QB10 145.72 Fantasy Points

Matthew Stafford is quietly having one of his best seasons in recent memory.  He is currently on pace for 4784 yards and 37 touchdowns, which would be his best year since 2011 a season in which he threw for over 5000 yards with 41 touchdowns.  In week 9 he faces an Oakland team that has surrendered the second most fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s (24.5).  The run game in Detroit is broken, Kerryon Johnson is on IR and the replacements (Tra Carson, Ty Johnson, and J.D. McKissic) are not getting the job done.  The Lions will be a pass heavily team the rest of the season and week 9 is a week that they can take advantage. 

Sleeper

Gardner Minshew Jacksonville Jaguars, QB12 141.14 points

The “Mustache” bounced back last week against the Jets throwing for 279 yards and 3 scores while adding 28 rushing yards on route to his career best 23.96 fantasy points.  Week 9 the Jaguars face the Houston Texans and their depleted secondary.  Houston allows the 4th most points to opposing quarterbacks (123.2 points), and this week they will be without J.J Watt as well.

Sit

Phillip Rivers Los Angeles Chargers, QB17 132.00 Fantasy Points

Rivers is looking old and slow behind a terrible offensive line this season in Los Angeles.  The Chargers have a terrible run game and as a result the passing game has gone south recently.  In week 9 the Chargers host the Packers who are allowing 16.3 points (23rd) to opposing quarterbacks this season.  The Packers have been vulnerable in recent weeks, and the Chargers just made an Offensive Coordinator change this week, but it’s not enough for me to feel comfortable with Rivers guiding my lineup.  Leave him on the bench.

Mason Rudolph Pittsburgh Steelers, QB28 70.78 Fantasy Points

In the first half vs Miami on Monday night, Mason Rudolph played like he felt bad for Mitchell Trubisky and wanted him to feel better about himself.  In a word he was brutal. That my friends, was against the Miami Dolphins.  This week Rudolph faces the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are not world beaters by any means but they have what it takes to keep the Steelers QB in check this week.

Bust

Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals, QB9 147.42 Fantasy Points

Murray goes up against arguably the best pass rush in the league this Thursday night. I don’t think it will be pretty and this is a matchup to avoid. The 49ers currently give up the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs. It’s a good thing Kyler can run, because he will be running for his life in this one.

3. Running Backs

FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS – OCTOBER 27: Running back Nick Chubb #24 of the Cleveland Browns carries the ball against the New England Patriots in the first quarter of the game at Gillette Stadium on October 27, 2019 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Getty Images)

Start

Nick Chubb Cleveland Browns,  RB6 138.30 PPR Fantasy Points

Chubb ran all over the New England Patriots last week and had it not been for two unfortunate fumbles may have led his team to the ultimate upset.  The Patriots allow the least amount of yards (54/game) and fantasy points (12.7) to opposing running backs this season.  Chubb had 131 yards and 10.80 PPR fantasy points last week.  This week Chubb faces the Denver Broncos a team that is third best in the league against opposing quarterbacks and 3rd best vs the WR position.  This is a game that the Browns will be running in all day.  Chubb has that backfield job to himself and will have himself a day this Sunday.

Josh Jacobs Oakland Raiders, RB16 107.20 PPR Fantasy Points

The Raiders return home to Oakland after a 48 day road trip that took them to Minnesota, Indianapolis, London, Green Bay and Houston.  They also return home to face the defense that is allowing the most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season, the Detroit Lions (32.2).  Oakland will use the run game to attempt to keep the Lions offense on the sidelines thus giving them a chance to win this game.  Josh Jacobs has become a focal point in the Raiders offense, averaging 88.6 yards per contest and five yards per carry. Jacobs is in line for a busy day against a very accommodating opponent.

Sleeper

Jamaal Williams Green Bay Packers, RB27 83.50 PPR Fantasy Points

Jamaal Williams is having a nice season for the Green Bay Packers and his fantasy owners.  Williams is averaging double digit fantasy points this season (11.92), and despite the protest from Aaron Jones owners he has a role in this offense.  Williams is making the most of his 10 touches per week.  He is averaging 4.4 yards per carry and 6.7 yards per reception.  The Chargers are allowing 25.9 points per game to opposing running backs this season, more than enough to allow Williams to warrant a flex position this week.

Sit

Chris Carson Seattle Seahawks, RB8 126.80 PPR Fantasy Points

Carson has been a beast this season.  Watching him run, he is one of my favorite backs this season.  Carson never quits and runs angry.  His opponent this week the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is a team to sit him against, for two reasons.  1. The Bucs are excellent against the run. Tampa has the league’s top rush defense allowing a paltry 68.6 yards a game. 2 Their pass defense is a bad as their run defense is good.  Tampa allows 354.4 passing yards a game.  I see this as a game that the Seahawks pass and pass a lot, even though it’s not a part of their offensive DNA.

Kenyan Drake Arizona Cardinals, RB41 54.80 PPR Fantasy Points

Suggesting that you sit the 41st ranked running back would typically be some obvious advice.  When it comes to Drake, there may be the tendency to start the recently relocated RB.  Drake is a talented running back that has been misused for one reason or another for years in Miami.  A trade to Arizona this week and the opportunity to have the backfield to himself is intriguing.  The problem that I see here is twofold. 1. Drake faces the San Francisco 49ers this Thursday.  The Niners are allowing the second least amount of fantasy production to the RB position this season (15.1 points/game). 2 The Cardinals will be trailing basically from kickoff and will be passing all night long.  Drake is a solid pass catching RB, but I do not see him catching enough to warrant a start.

Bust

Jordan Howard Philadelphia Eagles RB21 96.10 PPR Fantasy Points

The Chicago Bears travel to face their former running back this Sunday.  The Bears are also an angry bunch.  Although the Bears are yielding 27 points per game to opposing running backs, it’s been thru the air, not on the ground.  The Bears are allowing only 86 yards rushing per game this season and rank 6th in the league.  Leave Howard on the bench and thank me later.

4. Wide Receivers

DETROIT, MI – OCTOBER 20: Marvin Jones #11 of the Detroit Lions celebrates his first quarter touchdown catch against the Minnesota Vikings at Ford Field on October 20, 2019 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images)

Start

Marvin Jones Detroit Lions, WR18 105.30 PPR Fantasy Points

Oakland allows the 6th most points to opposing WR’s this season.  Jones who is a week removed from a 4 touchdown performance vs Minnesota is in line for a nice day in Oakland.  Look for Jones to eclipse his weekly average of 15.04 PPR points/game in this one.

John Brown Buffalo Bills, WR21 103.10 PPR Fantasy Points

For all the reasons I am starting Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen, I am starting the Bills #1 WR as well.  The Redskins allow 36.7 points per game to the WR position and I do expect the Bills to exploit the Redskins with CB Josh Norman doubtful to suit up.

Sleeper

Robby Anderson New York Jets, WR64 57.90 PPR Fantasy Points

Anderson has posted single digit production in 5 of his 7 games this season.  He is averaging 8.27 PPR points a game.  A matchup against the Miami Dolphins is just what the fantasy doctor ordered here.  The Jets should have a motivated Sam Darnold under centre here after being mocked and ridiculed for “seeing ghosts” a few weeks back.   I expect the Jets offense to get it in gear over the next 6 weeks against favorable opponents, and that all start this week in Florida.

Sit

Larry Fitzgerald Arizona Cardinals WR25 94.70 PPR Fantasy Points

Larry Fitzgerald continues to amaze me.  The ageless WR continues to produce at the ripe old age of 36.  The sit here has much more to do with the Cardinals opponent than it does with the future first ballot hall of famer.  In addition to sitting the Cardinals quarterback and running game, I feel the need to sit the passing game as well.  San Francisco allows the least amount of fantasy points to opposing WR’s (25.5) a game.  The 49ers defense is the real deal and it will be a long day for those with the redbird on their helmets on Sunday.

Terry McLaurin Washington Redskins, WR19 103.80PPR Fantasy Points

“Scary” Terry McLaurin has been a pleasant surprise this season, and the only real viable fantasy asset in Washington.  With that being said, a matchup against the Buffalo Bills is not advantageous.  The Bills are allowing only 28.9 points per game to opposing teams WR’s this season, and we potentially are looking at a Dwayne Haskins led offense this week.  Umm, that’s a hard pass for me!

Bust

Corey Davis Tennessee Titans,  WR54 68.60 PPR Fantasy Points

It’s no surprise that Corey Davis’ year hasn’t gone according to plan, especially with another boring, average Titans offense. Even against a non-threatening Panthers pass defense, Davis isn’t an especially attractive start this Sunday. What’s most concerning is his inconsistency in fantasy value. In two of the past five games he’s put up 17 points, but the other three games saw Davis get 3.8, 5.1 and last week’s paltry 1.9 points. Stay away from Corey this week.

5. Tight End

HOUSTON, TX – OCTOBER 27: Darren Waller #83 of the Oakland Raiders celebrates after a touchdown in the second quarter against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on October 27, 2019 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)

Start

Darren Waller Oakland Raiders, TE3 114.30 PPR Fantasy Points

Well it’s appropriate that during Halloween week, that we start TE Darren Waller.  Waller is a WR disguised as a TE.  Through 7 games this season Waller has averaged 16.33 PPR fantasy points a game and is without a doubt the #1 WR on the Raiders.  Waller has posted double digits fantasy points every week with the exception of last week in which he scored 9.10.  This week he faces the Detroit Lions who have allowed on average 13.1 pints to the TE position which is 10th worse in the NFL this season.  Start Waller with confidence this week.

T.J Hockenson Detroit Lions, TE16 55.00 PPR Fantasy Points

Same game, different TE, T.J. Hockenson is in a great spot for a big game against the defense that allows the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing TE’s.  Hock is averaging 7.86 fantasy points per game and the Raiders are allowing 16.3 points per game to the TE.  Hockenson has been slumping as of late totalling 15.40 points in the past three weeks.   This week he will top that three week total as he bounces back in Oakland.

Sleeper

Jason Witten Dallas Cowboys, TE14 62.30 PPR Fantasy Points

Coming off a bye week, Jason Witten doesn’t have much buzz, but he’s shown some consistency in the Dallas Cowboys offense. The 37-year-old has been targeted at least four times with three receptions in each game.  Witten needs to score to be viable with his limited receiving yards. He’ll have a chance to cross the goal line against the Giants’ 25th-ranked pass defense. Witten scored touchdowns in consecutive games to open the season which included week 1 vs. the Giants.  If you’re struggling at tight end and need some production, Witten is capable of 10 points as a decent fill-in starter.

 Sit

Ricky Seals Jones Cleveland Browns, TE36 33.30 PPR Fantasy Points

RSJ is averaging 5.50 PPR fantasy points per game this season and is starting to lose some snaps to Demetrius Harris.  Denver has been much improved against the TE position in 2019.  Denver is allowing 11 points per game and is a middle of the road defense against the TE this season.  Seals Jones will have to score to be relevant in this one and I am banking on the fact he does not.

Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers, TE11 65.10 PPR Fantasy Points

Olsen enters week 9 averaging 9.3 PPR fantasy points a week, good for 11th in TE scoring.  This week he faces the Tennessee Titans and their 9th ranked defense.  The Titans are allowing 12.7 points per game, but this one shapes up as a game in which the Panthers will want to get their WR’s Curtis Samuel and DJ Moore more involved to go along with all world running back Christian McCaffrey.

Bust

Kyle Rudolph Minnesota Vikings, TE31 37.70 PPR Fantasy Points

Two weeks ago Kyle Rudolph posted his season high of 16.80 PPR fantasy points against the Detroit Lions.  Rudolph seemed to benefit from the absence of WR Adam Thielen.  I was all in on Rudy last week as a result.  He provided 4.70 fantasy points, which was his second best week of the season.  Rudolph is averaging 4.71 PPR points per game and 2.99 per game if you extract week 7.  Rudolph should be on your bench and if you are in redraft leagues he should be dropped entirely.

6. Kicker

GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – OCTOBER 14: Matt Prater #5 of the Detroit Lions lines up to attempted a 54-yard field goal in the fourth quarter against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on October 14, 2019 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images)

Start

Matt Prater Detroit Lions, K7 73 Fantasy Points  

Prater has connected on 82.4% of his field goal attempts and 94.7% of his PAT attempts this season.  What I like about Prater is his ability to hit from over 50 yards ( 5 of 6 on the season).  I expect the Lions to score some touchdowns which may limit his overall production but when called upon look for him to split the uprights.  Prater is averaging 10.4 points per game this season which is tops in the league.

Joey Slye Carolina Panthers, K8 72 Fantasy Points

Joey Slye has a leg on him man.  He has made 4 of 7 from beyond 50 yards this season and has looked good doing it.  In addition to all the star positional players on bye this week, we are also without 2 of the top 4 kickers in Will Lutz and Greg Zuerlein.  This one is a bit of a gut feel but I can see the Panthers and Titans game this week turn into a bit of a kicking contest.  As result fire up Mr. Slye here.

Sit

Dustin Hopkins Washington Redskins, K26 36 Fantasy Points

Look I am no kicking expert, but what I do know is you need an offense to get into field goal range and or score touchdowns.  With Dwayne Haskins potentially guiding the Redskins on Sunday I wouldn’t expect either to happen with any consistency. 

Eddie Pinero Chicago Bears,  K18 54 Fantasy Points

Pinero had a rough week last week vs the Los Angeles Chargers.  He doinked one off the upright, and followed it up with a wide right kick on a potential game winning attempt.  Kickers are strange cats and they tend to go on streaks both good and bad.   Philly isn’t the friendliest place to kick, and the Bears offense looks anemic.  I would suggest you find yourself another kicking option this week.

7. Defense

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 27: Nick Bosa #97 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrates after sacking Kyle Allen #7 of the Carolina Panthers (not pictured) during the first quarter at Levi’s Stadium on October 27, 2019 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Start

San Francisco DST2 102 Fantasy Points

On paper this one seems to be a little obvious.  The Arizona Cardinals however are only giving up 4.9 points to opposing team’s defense this season.  What that tells you is they don’t take a lot of sacks and they don’t turn the ball over with any regularity.  They also haven’t faced anything close to the San Francisco 49ers yet this season.  San Francisco allows the fewest total yards in the league (224.4), fewest passing yards (128.7) and the 11th fewest rushing yards (95.7) per game this season.  They are 4th in sacks with nearly 4 per game, and are also 4th in interceptions with 10 on the year. Fire up this potent defense vs a rookie quarterback on a short week.

Buffalo Bills DST14 54 Fantasy Points

Good defense vs bad offense = happy fantasy owner.  That is what is shaping up in Buffalo this Sunday.  As I have stated several times in this article, it is looking like the Washington Redskins will be starting rookie QB Dwayne Haskins vs the Bills.  Washington allows the 5th most points to opposing defenses and it should be ugly this week. Buffalo has 16 sacks and 6 interceptions on the season.  I would expect both of those numbers to increase this week.

Sit

Houston DST21 46 Fantasy Points

The Houston Texans are a beaten and battered defense.  They have basically lost their entire secondary that when healthy wasn’t overly good to begin with.  Gardner Minshew is my sleeper quarterback for a reason this week.  This game could be a shootout and as a result it’s a game to fade the Texans DST.

Tampa Bay DST20 47 Fantasy Points

Tampa allows the most points to opposing defenses this season.  The main reason is QB Jameis Winston is a turnover machine. Winston has 9 total turnovers in his past 8 quarters of play.  When he isn’t turning the ball over he is taking sacks, a total of 10 in the past two games.  There are not a lot of weeks that I am going to feel confident starting the Seattle Seahawks defense but this week is certainly one of them.

Best of luck in week 9 everyone.  If you are stuck and need some start sit advice prior to Sunday, hit me up on twitter @RotoHeat Sully.